17:25 Southwell Thu 5 December 2019

  • Betway Novice Stakes (Class 5)
  • 6f 16y, Standard
  • 9 Runners
  • Winner£3,429.002nd£1,020.003rd£510.004th£255.00
  • Surface: Fibresand
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Winning time:1m 15.35sOff time:17:26:24
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1
(6)
39-9OR: C
11/8

Switched to Fibresand and down 2f in trip from his turf (Leicester) debut he had a very easy task defeating three poor rivals by 8L making all. Course form will stand him in good stead but this is tougher back up in trip under a penalty.

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2
(5)
39-2OR:
11/1

Made a belated debut in August when looking in need of the run over 7f on the AW (with Ed Dunlop at the time); failed to back that run up switched to turf next time over the same trip. Drops in trip (may not suit) for Fibresand/stable debut.

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3
(8)
49-2OR: 45
33/1

Showed his first form whilst making his Fibresand debut last time over this trip having every chance to win the race despite his 66-1 SP. Eased in the dying strides (should have taken second); admirable as that was more is demanded here.

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4
(9)
39-2OR:
150/1

Dropped out tamely when making his debut over C&D in October finishing last of eight and not showing much ability. Fared no better here last time when dropped to 5f; would be a surprise to see him involved.

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5
(2)
39-2OR:
10/1

The sole newcomer in the field his price has fallen markedly in the sales ring (6,500 guinea 3yo). Pedigree has winners amongst it including a sprinting winner in Entertaining Ben; this isn't a deep contest, deserves a second glance in the market.

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6
(1)
39-2OR:
9/2

Offered something to work on when making his belated debut at Newcastle (6f) late last month, finished second. Has to prove that he can repeat that form switching to a new surface although his sire (Mayson) suggests he should be at home on Fibresand.

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7
(4)
39-2OR: 62
9/2

Taken modest steps forward on each of his three starts resulting in his best performance last time when third over 7f here. Lacked the pair that finished ahead of him but further progress is possible; may well be better in handicaps though.

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8
(3)
38-11OR:
50/1

Ran to a modest level on his C&D debut and failed to improve on that performance when stepped up to 7f here last time. Now equipped with first-time cheekpieces she's not shown enough to be of interest at this level.

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9
(7)
38-11OR: BF
10/1

Ran well below market expectations when sent off odds-on favourite on her Tapeta debut at Newcastle over 6f; looked in need of the experience. Would be a surprise if she's not capable of better for a yard that do well at this venue.

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Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Sommer Katze (11/8), Six Til Twelve (9/2), Redesdale Rebel (9/2), Milagre Da Vida (10/1), Mr Millarcky (10/1), Alameery (11/1), Hellofagame (33/1), Inn With The Gin (50/1), Henry The Sixth (150/1)

Verdict

The penalised Sommer Katze hardly earned his penalty with an easy defeat of three poor rivals over 5f here last time; the extra impost and a far deeper contest may make him vulnerable. Six Til Twelve is likely to give his running but may be better once he has a mark while the nicely bred Milagre De Vida should step forward from her rather below-par according to the market debut at Newcastle last time, her yard have a good record here. REDESDALE REBEL isn’t typical of the runners from his yard but his debut certainly showed that he could do better and his pedigree suggests he’ll be at home on Fibresand. Mr Millarcky is a very interesting newcomer and any positive market vibes should be noted.
  1. Redesdale Rebel
  2. Mr Millarcky
  3. Sommer Katze

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