13:55 Lingfield

Thursday 28 November 2019

All12:1012:4513:2013:5514:2515:0015:30
  • Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap
  • Class 3  |   1m 2f  |   Standard  |   8 Runners  |   Polytrack
  • Weighed In
  • Off time: 13:55  |   Winning time: 2m 2.85s
1
(1)
Lawn Ranger9
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-7| J: Kieren Fox| T: M J Attwater| OR:  93| C| D
7/1
Likes to race prominently and is well drawn to attack; displayed battling tendencies to repel all challengers (drew right away) when winning at Goodwood (1m1f, good) in August; 4lb higher; has done much of his AW racing at Kempton.
2
(4)
Stamford Raffles63
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-4| J: Darragh Keenan| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR:  90
25/1
Down the field in the Consolation Race for the Northumberland Plate (2m) when last racing on the AW; won a small field affair at Newmarket (1m4f, good to firm) subsequently; others appear to be better treated.
3
(7)
Time Changeb171
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-4| J: R Kingscote| T: R M Beckett| OR:  90| D
9/1
Comfortable winner of a Class 3 handicap at Bath (1m2f, good to firm) in August; has struggled to make her mark in Listed contests since; lightly raced on the AW (0-1) and this is a far more realistic assignment; blinkers are applied.
4
(5)
Universal Gleam12
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-3| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: K Dalgleish| OR:  89
5/1
4-13 on turf (0-3 on the AW); most effective between 1m and 1m1f; remains 2lb higher than when beating Star Shield by ¾L at Redcar (1m, good to firm) in August; won't be travelling south purely for the good of his health.
5
(2)
Mr Scaramanga12
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-1| J: L Morris| T: S Dow| OR:  87| C| D
16/1
Weakened quickly from the furlong pole when fifth of six to Crossed Baton in the Listed Churchill Stakes over C&D 12 days ago; this race represents an ease in grade; narrow winner at Epsom (1m2f, good) in July.
6
(8)
El Ghazwanit28
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-0| J: Jack Mitchell| T: H Palmer| OR:  86| CD
6/4
Unbeaten in three starts over C&D (promoted to first place on one occasion); 4lb lower than when landing the odds by a neck in April; produced a reasonably solid run at Kempton latest (didn't quite stay 1m3f?); holds every chance.
7
(3)
Michele Strogoff10
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-13| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR:  85| D
6/1
Hasn't won since the turn of the year but is impossible to knock for consistency; likes to force the early pace and paid the price for doing so when weakening late on (third) at his favoured Wolverhampton recently.
8
(6)
Sky Defender194
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-10| J: J Fanning| T: M Johnston| OR:  85| D
13/2
Authoritative winner of a Class 4 handicap at Bath (1m2f, firm) in May but absent since flopping in a stronger race at Newbury a few weeks later; is likely to face plenty of competition for the lead; vulnerable as a 3yo?

Betting

Forecast

El Ghazwani (6/4), Universal Gleam (5/1), Michele Strogoff (6/1), Sky Defender (13/2), Lawn Ranger (7/1), Time Change (9/1), Mr Scaramanga (16/1), Stamford Raffles (25/1)

Verdict

A quality handicap which promises to be run at a fierce pace with any number suited by front-running tactics, including the Goodwood scorer Lawn Ranger, the eased-in-grade Churchill Stakes fifth Mr Scaramanga and the Wolverhampton regular Michele Strogoff. Of the remainder, Hugo Palmer's El Ghazwani defends an unbeaten C&D record (3-3), while the Keith Dalgleish-trained Universal Gleam won't be making the long journey south simply for the good of his health. However, in a very tight and trappy race small stakes are aimed at the blinkered filly TIME CHANGE who has found Listed assignments overly competitive since scoring at Bath in August.
  1. Time Change
  2. El Ghazwani
  3. Universal Gleam

Prize Money

1st: £7,246.002nd: £2,169.003rd: £1,084.004th: £543.005th: £270.00

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