19:15 Chelmsford City

Tuesday 19 November 2019

All16:1516:4517:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:45

Christmas Party Nights Handicap

Off time: 19:16 | Winning time: 3m 2.05s

(7)

Affluence^p²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 10-1| J: H Crouch| T: Martin Smith| OR: 66

5/2

1m2f and 1m4f winner this summer appeared to stay this trip when fourth at Wolverhampton last month (first try). Third since over hurdles so in decent order although welter burden demands a lot.

Form: 011244

(2)

Heron^p⁴⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: B R Johnson| OR: 65| CD

8/1

Winner over this trip at Southwell in May ran a rare below par race at Kempton latest over 1m4f. Better suited by this trip and may strip fitter today given latest was his first run in two months.

Form: 121630

(5)

Sea Of Mystery^t³¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-12| J: Mark Crehan⁽⁵⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 63

14/1

Stepping back from 2m to 1m2f saw him finally get a first career score at Leicester in September. Well held the last twice but tries another different trip here and one which might just suit.

Form: 212377

(1)

Bill Cody²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: Miss J A Camacho| OR: 58| D

5/1

Winless since notching up a 1m6f double at Redcar last summer and now 9lb below the mark of the second of those. Hit and miss this season and on AW in general but well enough treated to merit respect.

Form: 095635

(11)

Extreme Appeal^v1¹⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 9-7| J: Laura Pearson⁽⁷⁾| T: Miss Kelly Morgan| OR: 58

20/1

Won twice in the spring over both 1m4f and 2m but struggled to replicate that level since. Fair sixth over 2m at Kempton most recently but drop back in trip not a positive so better needed in the first-time visor.

Form: 7/41166

(10)

Konigin^p,t³¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Nicola Currie| T: John Berry| OR: 57

16/1

Still a maiden and tried over all manner of different trips. Recent form concerning but ran well twice over C&D and once here over 1m5f last winter so wouldn't be surprised if she outran likely big odds.

Form: 5-33500

(6)

Homesick Boy^v²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Jason Watson| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 58| CD

4/1

16/1 when winning for the first time latest over C&D and he came from a long way back with a withering run to get up. Looks open to plenty of improvement now over staying trips and could easily overcome 8lb rise.

Form: 563591

(4)

Olaf^b1⁴⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: B A Curtis| T: G Boughey| OR: 53

16/1

Winner of a 1m1f Lingfield claimer in August and only ran twice since including handicap debut at Wolverhampton latest when sixth over 1m1½f. Massively up in trip now and pedigree/racing style cast plenty of doubts he'll stay.

Form: 0126

(8)

Ignatius²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Joey Haynes| T: J R Best| OR: 51| BF

5/1

Finally found a level of consistency since upped to this sort of trip and front-running with three thirds from 1m6f-2m most recently. Third to Homesick Boy latest and 9lb better off for 5L defeat so weighted to go close.

Form: 455333

(9)

Que Quieres³³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: L Morris| T: S Dow| OR: 48

12/1

Upped fully 5f to 2m for his handicap debut latest he kept on for second of five behind an easy winner. Still very unexposed at this stage and a more strongly run race may suit (keen latest). Interesting contender.

Form: 00-82

Non-Runners

(3)

Carvelas¹³

Weight: 8-13| Age: 10

T: J R Jenkins J: N Mackay

Forecasts

Affluence (5/2), Homesick Boy (4/1), Bill Cody (5/1), Ignatius (5/1), Heron (8/1), Que Quieres (12/1), Carvelas (12/1), Sea Of Mystery (14/1), Konigin (16/1), Olaf (16/1), Extreme Appeal (20/1)

Stepping up to this trip latest brought about huge improvement in HOMESICK BOY who powered clear to win going away. He looked a horse to stay on the right side of in staying handicaps beyond 1m4f there and is fancied to follow up today. Third to the selection and now 9lb better off Ignatius may prove the biggest danger especially if Joey Haynes can get a soft lead and dictate his own fractions. Unexposed Que Quieres looks a whole lot more appealing after his step forward last time out.