13:45 Newmarket Sat 12 October 2019

  • Dubai Nursery (Class 2)
  • 7f, Soft
  • 12 Runners
  • Winner£12,450.002nd£3,728.003rd£1,864.004th£932.005th£466.006th£234.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 21.01sOff time:13:46:29
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
(6)
29-7OR: 90D
7/1

Landed a hat-trick on handicap debut on the July Course (7f, good to firm) two starts back before finding a step into Listed company at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) too much last time. Back down in grade but conceding weight all round won't be easy.

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2
(11)
29-4OR: 87
3/1

Made light work of a 6lb penalty at Newcastle (6f, Tapeta) to double his tally five weeks ago, form which has been subsequently franked by the runner-up. Fair opening handicap mark and dam won up to 1m3f, so this trip shouldn't be a problem.

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3
(10)
29-4OR: 87D
5/1

Value for more than ½L margin of victory on handicap debut at Chester (7f, good) four weeks ago. Up 6lb and more on his plate today but evidently still improving and is one for the shortlist.

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4
(12)
29-4OR: 87
8/1

Excuses for his runs at Goodwood and Deauville but better over 6½f at The Curragh (good) two starts back and here over 1m (good) recently when he was too keen. Drop in trip and a stronger gallop may help his cause but more exposed than some.

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5
(8)
29-4OR: 87
16/1

Impressive winner by 6L at Nottingham (6f, good to soft) on second start but underwhelming in two subsequent defeats at Epsom and Ripon. Handicap debut today but questions to answer after his recent performances.

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6
(9)
29-3OR: 86D
25/1

Well placed but didn't need to improve to win a valuable prize in Sweden at Bro Park (7f, good) recently. Had been disappointing in three defeats before that, including on handicap debut, and further improvement is required up in grade here.

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7
(3)
29-1OR: 84
16/1

Set a stiff task in Group 3 company at York after winning his second start at Salisbury (6f, good to firm). Never landed a blow at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) last time but was too keen that day and, if settling better, there may be more to come.

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8
(7)
29-1OR: 84
20/1

Improved significantly on his third start at Windsor (6f, good) back in August but was never involved on his handicap debut at Chester (6f, soft). Promising apprentice back aboard and his dam was a multiple-winning miler, so extra yardage a plus.

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9
(13)
29-1OR: 84D
14/1

Improved since switching to handicaps and saw off an in-form rival when winning a competitive heat at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) 31 days ago. Going the right way and despite a 6lb rise is respected in a similar contest here.

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10
(2)
29-0OR: 83BF
7/1

Won comfortably at Nottingham (6f, good) back in July before being narrowly defeated by Tomfre on handicap debut (weighted to reverse the form). Slightly disappointing last time behind Hariboux and that gives him work to do with Bravo Faisal.

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11
(1)
28-10OR: 79
9/1

Shaped with promise when beaten ¾L by a subsequent winner at Ascot (7f, good to firm) three runs back but disappointing on both starts since, including his handicap debut here (1m, good) two weeks ago. Needs rapid improvement to be involved.

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12
(5)
28-8OR: 77
20/1

Three creditable runs thus far, including when second at Chelmsford (6f, Polytrack) most recently. Makes his handicap debut in a good heat here but open to further improvement over this trip (his dam won over 1m).

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Non-Runners

13
(4)
Commit No Nuisance27
28-4OR: 73
T: W J KnightJ: David Egan

Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
2Caballero28-124/1Full Result
T: K DalgleishJ: J Fanning

Betting

Forecast

Ascension (3/1), Powertrain (5/1), Tomfre (7/1), Visible Charm (7/1), Milltown Star (8/1), What An Angel (9/1), Bravo Faisal (14/1), Be Prepared (16/1), Ethic (16/1), Winning Streak (20/1), Shoot To Kill (20/1), Commit No Nuisance (20/1), Old News (25/1)

Verdict

As with most two-year-old handicaps this is a tricky opener with ASCENSION given the nod to land a hat-trick. He has been impressive in both recent outings, including beating a subsequent winner under a penalty last time out. Bravo Faisal has the beating of some of his rivals in this via both direct and indirect form lines from Doncaster recently and is steadily progressive whilst there are plausible reasons in defeat for Ethic the last twice, and he can make the frame.
  1. Ascension
  2. Bravo Faisal
  3. Ethic

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F: 11/43-

T: Tom Lacey

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F: 3/UU428-

T: Jedd O'Keeffe

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F: 1-

T: Owen Burrows

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F: 21-52

T: R Varian

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F: -

T: J C Rouget