15:55 Chester

Saturday 28 September 2019

All13:3514:1014:4515:2015:5516:3017:05

ESL Group Novice Stakes

Off time: 15:58 | Winning time: 1m 40.58s

(5)

Notwhatiam⁹⁰

Age: 9| Weight: 9-5| J: P Mathers| T: A Berry

40/1

Winning hurdler/chaser; has left the care of Dan Skelton since finishing sixth of 15 in the Listed Bet365 Summer Cup at Uttoxeter (3m2f) in June; makes no appeal whatsoever on Flat debut.

Form:

(3)

Prince Consort^b³²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: G Lee| T: J S Wainwright| OR: 44

50/1

27-race maiden (44-rated); placed at odds of 200-1 in a Beverley seller (7½f, good to firm) in July; stablemate of Just Heather; holds no realistic chance.

Form: 030658

(1)

Toronado Queen¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey

15/8

Toronado filly (€25,000 yearling); impressive when making a winning debut at Haydock (7f fillies' novice, good) in August; third behind Bin Suroor and Gosden-trained fillies' at Chelmsford (1m) a fortnight ago; boasts very strong claims.

Form: 13

(6)

Andies Armies^p³⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Phil Dennis| T: L Williamson| OR: 38

100/1

A 12-race maiden with little worthwhile form; can be very swiftly dismissed; stablemate of Hillbre Lake, Celerity and Isabella Ruby.

Form: 978707

(13)

Bullington Boy¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Ray Dawson⁽⁵⁾| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR: 67

7/1

Nine-race maiden (is yet to make the frame either); has run to a consistent level of form in his more recent starts - stayed on well (beaten 2L) when fourth to Hunterwali in a 7f Class 5 handicap at Chelmsford latest.

Form: 640574

(10)

Corrida De Toros^p⁵²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: S A Gray| T: E De Giles| OR: 66| BF

12/1

Six-race maiden; had appeared to be gradually getting the hang of things until flopping (11th of 12; 3-1f) in a 1m Class 6 handicap at Bath 52 days ago; on a recovery mission.

Form: 4-84560

(4)

Hilbre Lake¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: J F Egan| T: L Williamson| OR: 35

100/1

Eight-race maiden (35-rated); triple figure odds in each of his last four appearances; stablemate of Andies Armies, Celerity and Isabella Ruby.

Form: 708098

(9)

James Park Woods^b1³⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: S M Levey| T: R M Beckett| OR: 74| BF

2/1

Has shown a reasonable standard of form, knocking at the door on various occasions (four placings); overcame a tardy start when a weakening third to Song Of The Isles at Salisbury (7f, good) five weeks ago; blinkers are now applied.

Form: 736243

(2)

Isabella Ruby^p,h⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Thomas Greatrex⁽⁵⁾| T: L Williamson| OR: 44

20/1

20-race maiden (44-rated); 50-1 runner-up to Symphony (stablemates third and fourth) in a Class 4 C&D novice in June (good to firm); is versatile in terms of underfoot conditions.

Form: 269240

(14)

Just Heather^v⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: Harrison Shaw⁽³⁾| T: J S Wainwright| OR: 40

100/1

33-race maiden (40-rated); hasn't beaten a single rival in five of her last six starts; stablemate of Prince Consort; holds no conceivable chance.

Form: 075009

(11)

Loveatfirstlight¹⁶⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: David Probert| T: J W Unett

40/1

Unseated her rider on debut at Wolverhampton (6f) last September, and was virtually un-steerable back there in April (7f); off since (165 days); very risky; evidently isn't the solution on turf debut.

Form: U-0

(7)

Society Guest^p⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: F Norton| T: M R Channon| OR: 66

3/1

Her limitations are exposed as an 11-race maiden, but in all fairness, she's consistent and has more solid claims than the vast majority; beaten 1¼L by Kyllachys Tale in a Class 5 handicap at Ffos Las (1m, good) penultimate.

Form: 530623

Non-Runners

(12)

Mr Carpenter²²

Weight: 9-1| Age: 3

T: D R Lanigan J: Daniel Muscutt

(8)

Celerity³⁰

Weight: 9-0| Age: 5

T: L Williamson J: Aled Beech

Forecasts

Toronado Queen (15/8), James Park Woods (2/1), Mr Carpenter (11/4), Society Guest (3/1), Bullington Boy (7/1), Corrida De Toros (12/1), Isabella Ruby (20/1), Loveatfirstlight (40/1), Notwhatiam (40/1), Prince Consort (50/1), Celerity (50/1), Andies Armies (100/1), Just Heather (100/1), Hilbre Lake (100/1)

A race which features a plethora of lowly-rated maidens and a host of low-level handicappers with the vast majority swiftly dismissed from calculations. Blinkers could aid the consistent James Park Woods, while the David Lanigan-trained Mr Carpenter has improved since dropping back in trip, and doesn't meet anything like the calibre of opponent as Shauyra here. However, the suggested advice is to stick with the Richard Fahey-trained filly TORONADO QUEEN. She created a striking impression when winning on debut, is well drawn and lost little in defeat behind a couple of potentially useful fillies' (Perfect Number and New Angel) over 1m at Chelmsford a fortnight ago.