14:50 Chepstow

Tuesday 17 September 2019

All14:2014:5015:2015:5016:2016:5017:20

Pete Smith Car Sales Selling Stakes

Off time: 14:53 | Winning time: 2m 4.75s

(6)

Renegade Master^p1²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Cieren Fallon⁽³⁾| T: George Baker| OR: 77| D

8/1

Drops markedly in trip as he returns to 1m2f after failing to beat a rival on each of his last three starts in handicaps. Shown at the start of the year he possesses more than enough ability to win a race of this nature. Could get back on track.

Form: 2-11076

(5)

Mustadun²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: F Norton| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 63| BF

13/2

Massively underwhelming favourite (11/10f) when third in a claimer at Lingfield (1m1f; good to firm) most recently. Not been campaigned as ruthlessly as most from this yard tend to be, so still has potential upped in trip. Does need to bounce back.

Form: 299803

(3)

Bonneville^b¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: B R Millman| OR: 48

10/1

Looked to finally be getting the hang of things back in April/May time, but he has been woefully out of form of late, suffering heavy defeats the last twice. Drop to this grade could see him feature more competitively, but leap of faith required.

Form: 223607

(8)

Lord Howard^p1²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: M R Channon| OR: 46

20/1

Only had the three starts but showed no improvement for the switch to this grade when only sixth at Goodwood (1m3f; good). Work to do to reverse the form with Elegant Love on the basis of that effort. Place claims at best.

Form: 0-66

(9)

Lippy Lady^h¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Rhiain Ingram⁽⁵⁾| T: Paul George| OR: 54

10/1

Narrow winner three starts back when dropped into this grade. Not as good since returning to handicaps the last twice, but she has to be afforded respect back in this grade. Makes debut a 1m2f which could bring out some improvement.

Form: 203150

(7)

Elegant Love⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Harry Bentley| T: P D Evans| OR: 64

1/1

Has more to recommend than most. Bumped into one when runner-up in this company at Goodwood (1m3f; good). Then produced a fair effort when behind the exciting Strelka on the AW at Kempton (1m4f; standard to slow) last time. Strong claims.

Form: 644424

(4)

Miss Elsa¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Georgia Dobie⁽⁷⁾| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR: 60

7/1

0-11 and has been well-held the last twice. Been running over a variety of trips in recent months and now makes debut at 1m2f. Major improvement required on the bare form of her latest effort in particular. Look elsewhere.

Form: 435550

(2)

Olwen's Dream¹⁹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: William Cox⁽³⁾| T: J D Frost| OR: 41

66/1

Makes stable debut but has shown virtually nothing in eight career starts. Also needs to prove she can deal with the step up to 1m2f. Not one to place full faith in.

Form: 060-070

(1)

Quare Lucky^b⁵⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: K T O'Neill| T: Peter Fahey| OR: 43

10/1

0-9 and has her first run on these shores for Irish trainer. Suspicion that she may be better on the AW, and others look to be more solid. Market check advised.

Form: 9-00600

Forecasts

Elegant Love (1/1), Mustadun (13/2), Miss Elsa (7/1), Renegade Master (8/1), Bonneville (10/1), Lippy Lady (10/1), Quare Lucky (10/1), Lord Howard (20/1), Olwen's Dream (66/1)

A low-grade affair in which preference is for ELEGANT LOVE. The selection is still searching for her elusive first career success after 15 attempts, but the form she has shown the last twice, including when finishing in fourth behind the hugely exciting Strelka would entitle her to go very close. The top-weight Renegade Master is also a player, despite having something to prove after finding the step up to Class 4 company beyond him of late. He should fare far more competitively back in these calmer waters, while Mustadun should also be thereabouts despite producing an underwhelming run most recently at Lingfield when a below-par third.