16:10 Newbury

Saturday 20 July 2019

All13:5014:2515:0015:4016:1016:4517:20

bet365 EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

Off time: 16:15 | Winning time: 1m 17.10s

(14)

Dandy Dancer⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: F Sweeney| T: R Hughes

33/1

Beaten 10L and 11L in two starts to date and both likely in weaker contests than this. Makes little appeal here.

Form: 65

(3)

Fantasy Believer

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: P Hanagan| T: C Hills

20/1

£38,000 Make Believe yearling; first foal; dam placed 1m-1m4f. Yard run two debutants so he and Giuseppe Cassioli's market strength may be indicative of their merits at home.

Form:

(2)

Fox Duty Free

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S De Sousa| T: A M Balding

5/2

280,000gns yearling by crack sire Kingman; fourth foal; half-brother to winners George Of Hearts (6f AW) and Dubai Hero (7f 2yo); dam Italian 7f-1m 2yo winner (inc Group 3). From a top yard and Derby entered, bold bid on debut likely.

Form:

(1)

Giuseppe Cassioli

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: R Winston| T: C Hills

20/1

60,000gns yearling by Bated Breath; fifth foal; half-brother to winners Redgrave (7f AW/1m turf), Wajeeh (1m AW) and Olympic Duel (7f AW). Yard also run Fantasy Believer, perhaps the market can guide as to the pecking order.

Form:

(11)

Good Earth¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Nicola Currie| T: J A Osborne| OR: 78

10/1

Placed in all three starts so far with his neck defeat at Windsor latest the best so far. May need another step forward here with some appealing newcomers but surprise if he doesn't make a bold bid.

Form: 332

(9)

Hello Baileys⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: C & M Johnston

5/1

Well related sort made a pleasing debut seven days ago when a close fourth at York behind an odds-on previous winner. Can progress now and looks a leading contender for his prolific yard.

Form: 4

(6)

Optio

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Jim Crowley| T: B J Meehan

22/1

£50,000 yearling by Equiano; second foal; dam placed 6f turf/7f AW. Yard's two-year-old tend to need first run so best watched.

Form:

(5)

Owney Madden²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Jason Watson| T: M Meade

17/2

Fourth at Goodwood and third at Salisbury so far but well held in both of them and will need to improve to make the frame again here.

Form: 43

(4)

Sir Oliver⁶⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S W Kelly| T: R Hughes

9/2

Full-brother to dual Nunthorpe winner Mecca's Angel and very smart 6f/7f winner Markaz showed hints of his illustrious sibling speed when sixth of 12 in a C&D maiden in May. Should improve for the run and has place claims now.

Form: 6

(13)

Station To Station

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: James Doyle| T: C G Cox

16/1

68,000gns yearling son of Cacique; third foal; half-brother to winners Royal Residence (6f) and Indian Horseman (6f-1m Qatar). Market can guide as to expectations for yard capable with newcomers.

Form:

(7)

Timon¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Scott McCullagh⁽⁵⁾| T: M R Channon

40/1

42,000 gns yearling never featured on debut when ninth of 11 at Windsor and is best watched here.

Form: 9

(12)

Written Broadcast¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: R Hannon

6/1

Ran well considering he was the only newcomer in the contest when third of four over 6½f at Doncaster on debut and this half-sister to Group 2 winner Signora Cabello should come forward plenty now and make a bold bid.

Form: 3

Non-Runners

(8)

Cheat⁹

Weight: 9-0| Age: 2

T: R Hannon J: P J Dobbs

(10)

Island Warrior

Weight: 9-0| Age: 2

T: H Main J: Charlie Bennett

Forecasts

Fox Duty Free (5/2), Sir Oliver (9/2), Hello Baileys (5/1), Written Broadcast (6/1), Owney Madden (17/2), Good Earth (10/1), Station To Station (16/1), Fantasy Believer (20/1), Giuseppe Cassioli (20/1), Cheat (20/1), Optio (22/1), Dandy Dancer (33/1), Island Warrior (33/1), Timon (40/1)

It may pay to chance the debutant FOX DUTY FREE who is beautifully bred and represents top connections; his Derby entry is presumed a positive as to what this 280,000gns yearling has shown at home. Once raced pair Written Broadcast and Hello Baileys should come forward plenty and both have legitimate claims here also.