14:30 Newbury

Friday 19 July 2019

All14:0014:3015:0515:4016:1016:4017:15

bet365 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

Off time: 14:38 | Winning time: 1m 15.96s

(8)

Acquire

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: P J Dobbs| T: R Hannon

40/1

4,000gns foal, third foal; half-sister to multiple 7f-8.6f AW winner Fire Diamond and she is bred to be speedy. Yard have a 10% strike rate with their 2yos first time out but she may find others quicker here.

Form:

(9)

Dirty Dancer

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Harry Bentley| T: R M Beckett

8/1

€52,000 foal, €115,000 yearling and price taking a hike to €500,000 as a 2yo. Will want further than this in time, related to some smart sorts and given price tag, can expect a decent showing on debut for a yard that can get them ready first time.

Form:

(6)

Dutch Painting

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: M L W Bell

14/1

Dutch Art filly, 26,000gns foal, price rising 70,000gns yearling, third foal. Speed in the pedigree and she should find this a suitable test for debut, yard 8% with their 2yos first time out, so warrants a look in the market.

Form:

(12)

Elegant Erin⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: F Sweeney| T: R Hannon

12/1

Dandy Man filly that was relatively cheap at €21,000 but made a good return on that when third on debut here last month, beaten less than a length and doing some good late work. That stands her in good stead here, and she must be taken seriously.

Form: 3

(13)

Gently Spoken

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Tom Marquand| T: M Meade

20/1

42,000gns foal, half-sister to Italian 6f 2yo/1m winner Superhumans. Mix of speed and stamina in the pedigree and yard get the odd first time out winner, but on balance, others make more appeal.

Form:

(1)

Golden Cygnet

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: James Doyle| T: R M Beckett

20/1

First foal; dam unplaced 1m AW maiden and is a half-sister to 1m4f Group 3 winner Pollara and US 1m-8.5f stakes winner Stormina. Makes some appeal at this trip and yard do get first time out winners, but others preferred at this stage.

Form:

(11)

Greater Love

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Nicola Currie| T: J G Portman

100/1

Brazen Beau filly that was unsold as a 2yo, related to a few minor winners but yard 0-20 with them first time up as 2yos and she makes little appeal.

Form:

(7)

Nasaiym⁶²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: R L Moore| T: J Tate

6/4

More Than Ready filly out of a Group 1 placed mare, not cheap at 230,000gns as a 2yo. Made a very satisfactory debut when beaten less than a length at Thirsk, despite a slow start. That makes her the one to beat here, and she should improve again.

Form: 2

(5)

Nina Bailarina

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S W Kelly| T: E Walker

20/1

Lope De Vage filly, first foal, dam 6f 2yo winner and half-sister to 7f Group 3 winner Marenko. Nicely bred and should be up to winning races but yard don't have first time out 2yo winners and on that, is best watched today.

Form:

(2)

Run Wild^h1

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: J & T Gosden

5/1

Amaron filly, cost €160,000 as a yearling, 12th foal and related to plenty of black-type winners. Trip should be ideal for debut and yard can clearly ready them first time up, but slightly disconcerting to see the hood on so early.

Form:

(10)

Sorteo

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Rob Hornby| T: A M Balding

16/1

Invincible Spirit filly, 160,000gns yearling, 7th foal and is a half-sister to the very useful Broome. Likely to want further in time but yard have a good 14% strike rate with them first time out and on that, warrants a look in the market.

Form:

(3)

Spurofthemoment

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: K Shoemark| T: C Hills

25/1

Brazen Beau filly, cost £100,000 as a yearling and is a half-sister to the yard's useful sprinter Amomentofmadness. Should have some speed about her but yard rarely have first time out 2yo winners, so may be best watched today.

Form:

(4)

Time To Strike

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: J P Spencer| T: D M Simcock

12/1

Muhaarar filly, cost 70,000gns yearling third foal; half-sister to two winners including the yard's speedy sprinter Worship. Yard 13% strike rate with them first time out and she could be forward enough to take a hand.

Form:

Forecasts

Nasaiym (6/4), Run Wild (5/1), Dirty Dancer (8/1), Time To Strike (12/1), Elegant Erin (12/1), Dutch Painting (14/1), Sorteo (16/1), Nina Bailarina (20/1), Gently Spoken (20/1), Golden Cygnet (20/1), Spurofthemoment (25/1), Acquire (40/1), Greater Love (100/1)

There are some decent looking newcomers on pedigree here and no doubt the market will guide as to their chances. Run Wild is bred to do well but the fact she's making her debut with a hood suggests she might not be entirely straightforward. Dirty Dancer's price kept on rising as she went through the ring and she too makes plenty of appeal on her breeding. But NASAIYM went close to making a winning debut at Thirsk and she can put that experience to good use here.