14:30 Chepstow

Thursday 18 July 2019

All14:0014:3015:0015:3016:0016:3017:05

Total Home UK Ltd Handicap

Off time: 14:33 | Winning time: 1m 22.05s

(8)

Kafeel^b,t⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-9| J: Cieren Fallon⁽⁵⁾| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 56| D

10/1

On a very fair mark if he can recapture best form, and comes here off the back of a couple of reasonable efforts in similar company. Another change of headgear tried, good jockey takes a useful 5lb off, and he looks to hold a chance.

Form: 00-P054

(4)

Papa Delta²⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: George Downing| T: A W Carroll| OR: 56| D

4/1

Winner over 6f at Lingfield last time but does just about get 7f, slight concern that he might be happier on the all-weather rather than turf but this is not a strong event and has to come into calculations.

Form: 131-821

(2)

Pike Corner Cross¹⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-7| J: Oisin Murphy| T: P D Evans| OR: 54

5/1

Wins in his turn and probably on a good mark if he can get it together, but this trip has to be a major concern, with wins coming at 1m. However, not been with yard long, and excellent jockey booking, so hard to dismiss.

Form: 446633

(11)

Miss Icon¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: L P Keniry| T: P R Chamings| OR: 53| D

8/1

Well handicapped on old form and her midfield effort at Lingfield after a long absence last month wasn't terrible. Should come on for that and if so, with trip, track and ground ideal, might take a hand in the finish.

Form: 35299/9

(14)

Little Miss Kodi^t⁵⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: R Kingscote| T: D M Loughnane| OR: 49| D

6/1

Overall record of 2 wins from 37 starts doesn't inspire a lot of confidence but she went close to winning a couple of times in the spring and she's well enough handicapped if you're willing to forgive a couple of poor efforts in May. Risky.

Form: 242760

(15)

Captain Sedgwick¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: Jane Elliott⁽³⁾| T: J L Spearing| OR: 46| CD

7/2

One win in two starts at the track (and ran well on the other occasion), but came back off an absence to run well at Lingfield last month and she really wouldn't need a lot more than that to take a hand here. Conditions fine and good draw too.

Form: 53889-5

(9)

Herringswell⁴⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: J F Egan| T: H Spiller| OR: 45| D

12/1

Just the one win in 16 starts but going nowhere quickly at present and although this drop back to 7f will help her cause (having not stayed 10f last two starts), others much more persuasive.

Form: 075090

(10)

Gulland Rock²⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 8-12| J: William Cox⁽³⁾| T: A Carson| OR: 45| D

20/1

Popped up off a much higher mark at Yarmouth around this time last year and trip/ground both fine, but has looked regressive for some time now and can't really be entertained in current form.

Form: 460-059

(6)

Indian Affair^b,t⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 8-12| J: Rossa Ryan| T: J M Bradley| OR: 45| C| D

14/1

Unseated rider in a rough race here last week but clearly none the worse for that, overall record is most inconsistent though and he might be happier at 6f rather than 7f these days anyway. Makes only minimal appeal.

Form: 66780U

(5)

Mahna Mahna²³

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: Ellie Mackenzie⁽⁷⁾| T: David Drinkwater| OR: 45

33/1

No wins or places in 12 starts and takes a huge drop back in distance here, not beaten far over this trip last December at Lingfield but that's his only real piece of form, and he's not hard to pass over.

Form: 0/7-0868

(3)

Innstigator¹⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: David Probert| T: Mrs S Gardner| OR: 45

22/1

Just the one place to show for his 14 starts so far, going nowhere quickly at present but shrewd yard haven't had him long, and he takes a big drop back in trip here, which may help. Worth a look in the market for support if nothing else.

Form: 5360-08

(7)

Spirit Of Ishy⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: Hollie Doyle| T: W S Kittow| OR: 45

33/1

No win and just one place in 14 starts, but she did show a little more at Bath last time (5½f) and is worth another try at this trip. Young enough to improve and not the total no-hoper her form makes her look.

Form: 4-02005

(13)

Burauq^p¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 8-12| J: L Morris| T: J M Bradley| OR: 45

50/1

Four wins in 75 starts immediately shows you the issue, he simply doesn't win enough, and given he's going nowhere form-wise at present, it's really not hard to look elsewhere for the winner.

Form: 775080

(1)

Longville Lilly¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: Racheal Kneller⁽⁵⁾| T: T Wall| OR: 45

100/1

Well beaten all four starts at big prices and has yet to beat a horse home. Might be more of the same here unless finding dramatic improvement from somewhere, and that looks very unlikely.

Form: 00-05

Non-Runners

(12)

Your Pal Tal⁷³

Weight: 9-3| Age: 9

T: J F Levins J: Donagh O'Connor

Forecasts

Captain Sedgwick (7/2), Papa Delta (4/1), Pike Corner Cross (5/1), Little Miss Kodi (6/1), Your Pal Tal (7/1), Miss Icon (8/1), Kafeel (10/1), Herringswell (12/1), Indian Affair (14/1), Gulland Rock (20/1), Innstigator (22/1), Mahna Mahna (33/1), Spirit Of Ishy (33/1), Burauq (50/1), Longville Lilly (100/1)

Hard to know where to begin with this, as none of them are that consistent, and most of them find poking their head in front tricky. Gulland Rock looks sure to get an easy lead and that probably counts for something, but his profile suggests he'll find a few too good come the business end. Money for Innstigator would need to be heeded, as the yard know the time of day, but CAPTAIN SEDGWICK could be well drawn and ran with some promise at Lingfield last time. A repeat of that might be enough. Miss Icon looks a possible improver, and Kafeel has the in-form Cieren Fallon to do the steering, which is a plus.