16:30 Ayr

Monday 8 July 2019

All14:0014:3015:0015:3016:0016:3017:0017:30

toteplacepot Handicap

Off time: 16:31 | Winning time: 2m 49.59s

(4)

Dr Richard Kimble^p1²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Jane Elliott⁽³⁾| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife| OR: 70

66/1

Last win came at Ripon (1m4f) last August. Has struggled on turf since then, including latest when fourth of eight at Catterick (1m4f). Is now 2lb below last winning mark but has to improve. Cheekpieces on for first time. Others preferred.

Form: 98-8884

(3)

Mapped^b¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Jamie Gormley| T: I Jardine| OR: 70

12/1

0-10 so far on turf. Has been down the field on his five starts this year. Had just one rival behind him last time at Ripon (1m4f). Down 3lb to a career low mark. Needs to produce a lot more. Not one that stands out.

Form: 5-90765

(1)

Sarvi⁷⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: J S Goldie| OR: 69| C

40/1

Dual-purpose horse who won at this course last year over 1m2f on soft ground. Recently finished eighth of 11 over hurdles at Perth (2m). Cheekpieces on for first time. One to watch on her return to the Flat.

Form: 96518-7

(2)

Corton Lad^p,t⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 9-5| J: K Stott| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 68| C| D

14/1

Experienced gelding whose last victory was in May 2017. Went close at this track earlier in this season when second over the shorter trip of 1m2f. Was fourth of five last time at Hamilton (1m5f). More needed to be in the mix.

Form: 024554

(5)

Ad Libitum^p⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: B A Curtis| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 67

10/1

Won twice last season but so far this year has failed to shine. Was seventh of 11 last time at Doncaster (1m4f) when going off at 8/1. Has now gone down 3lb which will help and is up in trip. Others preferred today.

Form: 47-7077

(11)

Reassurance^p²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 65

14/1

Still a maiden after nine races. Has yet to show an improvement in form after two runs for new yard. Was ninth of 11 last time at Thirsk (1m4f). Been helped by the handicapper once again with a 2lb drop in the weights. One to watch.

Form: 5043-59

(8)

Machiavelli^b¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Gary Halpin| T: D Hogan| OR: 63| BF

9/1

Been running consistently well this season without success so far. He was fifth of 12 last time at Ballinrobe (1m5f) when going off as the 7/2 favourite. He did not get a clear run in the closing stages of his last race. One for shortlist today.

Form: 934325

(6)

Sbraase¹⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 8-12| J: J P Sullivan| T: N C Kelly| OR: 61| D

10/1

On a hat-trick bid after wins at Sligo (1m4½f) and Ballinrobe (1m5f) respectively. Gone up 7lb for latest narrow win. Was rated much higher than this earlier in his career so he is capable. One to consider.

Form: 867811

(7)

Lever Du Soleil⁵^{(ex 5)}

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: C Lee| T: G P Cromwell| OR: 54| BF

4/6

Won over 2m at Musselburgh just five days ago where he justified going off as the 5/6 favourite. Stepping down in trip here which should not be a problem. Rated far higher over hurdles. 6lb penalty but more likely to come from him. Leading player.

Form: 33133-1

(10)

Donnachies Girl^v¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 8-9| J: Rowan Scott⁽³⁾| T: A C Whillans| OR: 58| BF| D

16/1

Has not been successful since November 2017 but did hit the frame over this C&D two starts back when going off as the 7/2 favourite. Could only finish fourth of eight last time at Hamilton (1m5f). Each-way claims.

Form: 633-534

(9)

Pammi^p⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-4| J: Phil Dennis| T: J S Goldie| OR: 53

33/1

Has three wins to her name but all those have come in class six races. Was sixth of 10 last time at Musselburgh (1m4½f) and she remains off that same mark today. Needs to improve. Others preferred.

Form: 684566

Forecasts

Lever Du Soleil (4/6), Machiavelli (9/1), Sbraase (10/1), Ad Libitum (10/1), Mapped (12/1), Corton Lad (14/1), Reassurance (14/1), Donnachies Girl (16/1), Pammi (33/1), Sarvi (40/1), Dr Richard Kimble (66/1)

LEVER DU SOLEIL can take advantage of this much lower mark on the Flat to record his second consecutive win here. The step down in trip and 6lb penalty shouldn't be a problem. Machiavelli would have finished better than fifth place last time if he wasn't short of room in the closing stages so he looks well treated off this mark, while Sbraase is unlikely to be far away on his hat-trick big despite his 7lb rise up the weights.