17:00 Chepstow

Monday 24 June 2019

All14:0014:3015:0015:3016:0016:3017:00

Alan Bushell On Course Bookmaker Handicap

Off time: 17:05 | Winning time: 58.80s

(6)

Arnoul Of Metz^p1²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Dylan Hogan⁽⁵⁾| T: H Spiller| OR: 55

13/2

Wears cheekpieces for the first time, which may give him an extra concentration element after two near misses last month; not yet won over the minimum trip but went close on his penultimate start. worth considering.

Form: 000-023

(1)

Stoneyford Lane^v¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Toby Eley⁽⁷⁾| T: Steph Hollinshead| OR: 53| D

7/2

Form and rating have been on a downward spiral for a while (last win came from a 24lb higher mark in 2017); poor recent form suggests others will be more involved near the finish.

Form: 6-98007

(4)

Wild Flower^b⁷⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-2| J: E J Walsh| T: J C Fox| OR: 50

12/1

Has won on turf but not since landing a brace over 6f in the summer of 2017; poor form on the AW back April is uninspiring but has been given a short break since. Still has a lot to prove though.

Form: 7627-39

(2)

Broadhaven Dream⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: K T O'Neill| T: R Harris| OR: 55

7/2

On a reasonably lenient mark for an unexposed handicapper and wasn't disgraced when fifth on his debut run - in a race of this nature - nine days ago. His yard has won this twice in the last ten years, so he's one to monitor closely in the betting.

Form: 0-045

(10)

Red Allure⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: A Mullen| T: M Mullineaux| OR: 46

5/1

The Mayson filly has never tried this trip before and three 6f runs have been poor this season. Others make more appeal.

Form: 630-9U0

(14)

Swendab^b,h⁶⁵

Age: 11| Weight: 8-12| J: Kate Leahy⁽⁷⁾| T: J G M O'Shea| OR: 46| CD

22/1

Won 17 of his 141 previous races and merits the respect of a betting check given that he's now on a career lowest mark; recent evidence doesn't suggest the eleven-year-old is well treated from his current rating though.

Form: 0-97300

(9)

Aquadabra³¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: Callum Shepherd| T: C Mason| OR: 46| D

16/1

Been on a steady decline for a while and is another who finds herself on a career lowest rating as a result. Difficult to make a solid case for the filly after three poor runs this season.

Form: 009-589

(8)

John Joiner^v¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-12| J: Josephine Gordon| T: S L Keightley| OR: 45| D

12/1

Inconsistent but can figure at this level when he gets the breaks in running. Wasn't beaten too far at Nottingham last time out but is currently 10lb below his last winning mark; out of the weights here though; the market can guide.

Form: 76-0003

(7)

Picc And Go⁶⁴⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 8-12| J: Racheal Kneller⁽⁵⁾| T: Mat Salaman| OR: 45

50/1

Not seen out since September 2017 and is yet to make any sort of impact in a handicap. Not hard to overlook here. (Out of the weights.)

Form: 64878/

(16)

Bluella^v⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: David Probert| T: R Brisland| OR: 45

9/1

0-12 and hard to see the filly finding the requisite improvement on these terms. Did tun well at Catterick last time but will struggle to make all the running on this undulating surface and would do well to hold on anyway from out of the weights.

Form: 430002

(11)

Burauq^v¹⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 8-12| J: Poppy Bridgwater⁽⁵⁾| T: J M Bradley| OR: 45

25/1

Low key performer who has generally been out of form for so long that he's almost impossible to recommend; even though he ran well above expectations in his penultimate start.

Form: 007750

(12)

Tally's Song^p¹⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 8-12| J: J Quinn| T: G Harris| OR: 45

33/1

Best efforts have arguably taken place at this course but she's still 0-44 so far and isn't one to have on the shortlist under any circumstances.

Form: 004780

(3)

Hellofagame¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: Ellie Mackenzie⁽⁷⁾| T: R J Price| OR: 45

40/1

Finished seventh behind Sovereign State here earlier this month and not hard to put a line through his chances given the amount of improvement required to reverse the form.

Form: 09-07

(13)

Swiss Miss⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: R Ffrench| T: J Gallagher| OR: 45

14/1

At the foot of the weights (in a race where the bottom 6 on the card are out of the weights) for a good reason. Makes no appeal whatsoever on this season's form.

Form: 87-8900

Non-Runners

(15)

Staffa⁴

Weight: 9-8| Age: 6

T: D J Coakley J: Michael Pitt

(5)

Sovereign State¹⁶

Weight: 9-7| Age: 4

T: A G Newcombe J: Rossa Ryan

Forecasts

Sovereign State (3/1), Broadhaven Dream (7/2), Stoneyford Lane (7/2), Red Allure (5/1), Arnoul Of Metz (13/2), Bluella (9/1), Wild Flower (12/1), John Joiner (12/1), Swiss Miss (14/1), Staffa (14/1), Aquadabra (16/1), Swendab (22/1), Burauq (25/1), Tally's Song (33/1), Hellofagame (40/1), Picc And Go (50/1)

This is well within the compass of SOVEREIGN STATE, who relished this C&D last time under Rossa Ryan and a 6lb higher mark might not be enough to hold him back in this modest company. Arnoul Of Metz could be revved up by racing in cheekpieces for the first time and can make a good fist of things, while Broadhaven Dream represents a yard that has a good record in this particular race and is another to bear in mind. John Joiner and Bluella look the pick of the bottom six on the race card, whose chances are all compromised by being set to race from out of the handicap.