14:20 Redcar

Tuesday 28 May 2019

All14:2014:5015:2015:5016:2016:5017:2017:55

Longines Irish Champion Weekend EBF Fillies' Novice Median Auction Stakes (Plus 10)

  • 2YO only  |   Class 5  |   5f 217y  |   Good to Firm (Watered)  |   11 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 14:26  |   Winning time: 1m 14.32s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
(13)
Horse silk
4/1
One to consider based on her win at Thirsk earlier this month. Not inconvenienced stepping up in trip last time when beaten a neck over course and distance. Arguments against include her penalty and possibly her draw.
3
(8)
Horse silk
5/1
Improved on her debut run at Pontefract when going down by a length at Beverley last time out. Likely to be suited to this step up in trip.
4
(5)
Horse silk
7/1
Missed the break on her only start at Hamilton 11 days ago but finished well when seeing some daylight. Expected to improve over this trip and clearly has an excellent chance.
5
(12)
Horse silk
11/1
Second foal; half-sister to 5f winner Friendly Advice; half-sister to useful 7f-1m winner Sound Advice out of 6f-1m winning sister to 5f-1m winner Goodbye Cash. Not ideally drawn but market check recommended.
6
(7)
Horse silk
33/1
8,000gns yearling; third foal; dam 7f 2yo winner, half-sister to Listed-placed 1m4f winner Acquainted out of 1m4f Group 3 winner.
7
(4)
Horse silk
4/1
Kept on well on her debut on possibly unsuitable dead ground. This extra furlong look likely to suit but needs to improve again to be in the shake up.
8
(3)
Horse silk
100/1
Unfancied and no show on her debut at Southwell. Nothing on that run to recommend her here up against some more experienced rivals despite being favourably drawn.
9
(11)
Horse silk
12/1
Cheaply bought filly with little to recommend her on breeding. Market support would be surprising but significant.
11
(9)
Horse silk
Rusalka14
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-0| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby
33/1
Ran green on her debut at Beverley for apprentice two weeks ago. Should improve on that effort and bred to stay this trip but others make more appeal.
12
(10)
Horse silk
33/1
Equiano filly; Half-sister to useful two-year-old Ingenuity. Market should give the best indication to her likely chances.
13
(1)
Horse silk
66/1
No market support and weakened in the closing stages beaten 10 lengths on her debut at Beverley three weeks ago. No obvious reason to see her improving enough to take a hand here despite being well drawn.

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to board prices only - deduction 45p in the pound

Rule 4 applies to all bets - deduction 25p in the pound

Non-Runners

2
(2)
Horse silk
Three Coins18
Weight: 9-7|  Age: 2
T: R A Fahey  J: Sean Davis
WD
10
(6)
Horse silk
Quiet Word18
Weight: 9-0|  Age: 2
T: A Watson  J: D Tudhope
WD

Forecasts

Quiet Word (3/1), Insania (4/1), Microscopic (4/1), Amnaa (5/1), Three Coins (13/2), Bella Brazil (7/1), Fashion Advice (11/1), Moonlighting (12/1), Rusalka (33/1), Secret Identity (33/1), Fulbeck Rose (33/1), South Light (66/1), Mist In The Valley (100/1)

Verdict

BELLA BRAZIL showed enough on her debut to suggest she is capable of landing a race of this quality, staying on well in the closing stages. The two fillies with penalties Three Coins and Insania look the obvious dangers with the former expected to progress over this longer trip if suited by the expected faster ground.
  1. Bella Brazil
  2. Three Coins
  3. Insania

Previous Winners

2018
Jensue
Weight: 9-0  |Age: 2
5/2

Prize Money

1st: £5,175.002nd: £1,540.003rd: £770.004th: £385.00

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