17:30 Kempton

Wednesday 6 March 2019

All16:5517:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Matchbook Time To Move Over Handicap

Off time: 17:30 | Winning time: 1m 39.63s

(3)

Jai Hanuman^h,t⁵^{(ex 6)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-11| J: F Norton| T: M Wigham| OR: 48| D

13/8

His win at Newcastle last time out had been coming, quickened clear to win easily there and every chance again under a penalty tonight if in the same form. Well drawn and a big player tonight.

Form: 2042-21

(11)

Purple Paddy⁶^{(ex 6)}

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: J P Fahy| T: J C Fox| OR: 45| CD

10/3

Winner here last week and had a bit in hand as well, so having to carry the penalty for that is no issue. Not drawn as well here though, so may need to step up again, but nevertheless in good heart and taken seriously.

Form: 0870-71

(4)

Woggle^b³⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: K T O'Neill| T: G Deacon| OR: 49

12/1

Nothing went right for her at Wolverhampton last time out and neither did it the time before when third over C&D here, yet she still produced a solid effort. Conditions fine again and if getting the breaks, has chances.

Form: 7353-39

(2)

Shyarch^p¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: E J Walsh| T: Mrs C A Dunnett| OR: 48

12/1

Just the one win in 20 starts, not beaten far on either of his last two outings but giving the impression the handicapper rather has him in his sights and may have to settle for the places at best,

Form: 536-045

(9)

Mr Potter^v⁴²

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: Tom Marquand| T: R C Guest| OR: 48

40/1

Just the four wins in 66 starts, mark is falling quickly at the moment but that's because he's not in any great form, and has never won at this trip either. Others readily preferred.

Form: 2533-09

(7)

Gracie Stansfield⁴²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: George Downing| T: A W Carroll| OR: 48

33/1

Going nowhere quickly at present and was well beaten over 12f here last time out. Drops back in trip but that needs to have a massive impact.

Form: 8875-60

(5)

Jeremy's Jet^t⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 9-4| J: R Kingscote| T: A W Carroll| OR: 47

6/1

Often well backed but fails to deliver, has ground to make up with Purple Paddy on their running here last week and no great reason why he should reverse the form. Others preferred.

Form: 42-0564

(10)

Madame Jo Jo^p³⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Katherine Begley⁽⁵⁾| T: Sarah Hollinshead| OR: 47

25/1

Belied 40-1 price tag to go close at Wolverhampton last time, but that was only a seller and the bottom line is that she's still a maiden after 23 goes. Could hit the frame but others preferred for win purposes.

Form: 039-772

(12)

Ahfad^b⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: H Crouch| T: G & J Moore| OR: 47

16/1

Stuck to the task to run on for second over C&D last time out but the coals were being shovelled on early and he looks a hard ride. Is at least open to improvement though, so can't be discounted.

Form: 020-742

(6)

Dawn Commando^b²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: A Kirby| T: D & C Kubler| OR: 46

9/1

Only had the seven starts, so may yet do a bit better, and stayed on nicely from the rear without ever threatening to get involved at Chelmsford latest. Good jockey booking and has a squeak.

Form: 060-076

(8)

Runaiocht^b⁴⁷

Age: 9| Weight: 9-3| J: Oisin Murphy| T: B Forsey| OR: 46| C| D

25/1

Just 4 wins in 69 starts an obvious worry and the fact he's not in any great form at present is more than enough to make you look elsewhere for the winner.

Form: 4898-58

(1)

Fearaun^p1,t1¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: P Mathers| T: Mrs Stella Barclay| OR: 45

25/1

Fallen a long way very quickly in the handicap but well beaten all starts this winter and now headgear and a tongue-tie given a go. Needs huge improvement for them.

Form: 00-9047

Non-Runners

(14)

Sir Jamie³⁰

Weight: 9-4| Age: 6

T: A W Carroll J: L Morris

(13)

Lone Voice⁶

Weight: 9-2| Age: 4

T: A W Carroll J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Jai Hanuman (13/8), Purple Paddy (10/3), Jeremy's Jet (6/1), Dawn Commando (9/1), Shyarch (12/1), Woggle (12/1), Ahfad (16/1), Sir Jamie (16/1), Runaiocht (25/1), Madame Jo Jo (25/1), Fearaun (25/1), Gracie Stansfield (33/1), Lone Voice (33/1), Mr Potter (40/1)

Not only is this a very weak race, but it's further complicated by the fact that nothing looks like it will make the pace, and those two factors together make this a race to treat very carefully. If WOGGLE doesn't miss the break, she'll have every chance to lead and might be able to male all the running as a result. She's worth chancing, as the market is likely to favour the last time out winners Jai Hanuman and Purple Paddy. Both of them are obvious dangers but are far from certain to get this run to suit.