20:15 Chelmsford City

Saturday 26 January 2019

All16:4017:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:15

Black Notley Handicap

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 7  |   1m 2f  |   Standard  |   16 Runners  |   Polytrack  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 20:17  |   Winning time: 2m 7.37s
The word Sky in blue and Bet in white with a red background.
The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
(16)
Horse silk
Don't Do It11
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-6| J: L Morris| T: M Appleby| OR:  50| BF
12/1
Best of four runs for current stable when second of 13 over slightly shorter at Wolverhampton. Competes off the same mark, but record of 0-17 does not inspire confidence.
2
(9)
Horse silk
Affluence14
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-6| J: A Kirby| T: Martin Smith| OR:  50
5/2
Solid displays on last two outings over C&D and at Lingfield. Races off 1llb lower mark, but remains a maiden after 17 attempts.
3
(7)
Horse silk
Highwaymanh14
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-6| J: J F Egan| T: D Thompson| OR:  49
7/1
Only two wins from 33 starts over a wide variety of distances. Fair effort to be fifth of 13 over 1m at Newcastle last time and has been dropped 2lb.
4
(14)
Horse silk
Mulsanne Chasep22
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-5| J: Rossa Ryan| T: C R Dore| OR:  48| D
20/1
Sole win in 20 races came on turf, but he has some fair efforts to his name on the AW and his handicap mark is one he may be able to exploit at some stage. Not disgraced when fifth of 13 over C&D last month.
5
(12)
Horse silk
Ertidaadv16
Age: 7|  Weight: 9-5| J: E J Walsh| T: Emma Owen| OR:  48| C
33/1
Winner over 7f at this track last month, but well held over 1m on return visit recently. Takes another step up in distance.
6
(3)
Horse silk
Prerogativep14
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-5| J: Poppy Bridgwater(5)| T: A W Carroll| OR:  48
7/2
Without a win after 27 starts on the Flat, 10 of them on AW surfaces. Fair effort to be third of 14 over this distance at Lingfield last time and runs off the same mark.
7
(13)
Horse silk
Cold Fire9
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-4| J: K T O'Neill| T: R Brisland| OR:  47
14/1
Has failed to hit the frame in six races, but was a respectable fourth of 13 over 1m at Newcastle nine days ago. Still early days for him and 2lb lower mark should help over this longer trip.
8
(4)
Horse silk
Clive Clifton14
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-4| J: Charlie Bennett| T: W M Brisbourne| OR:  47
7/1
Out of the frame, but not disgraced, in three AW starts since joining this stable from Phil York's yard. Handicap mark continues to fall and he is 15lb lower than for his only victory at Lingfield in 2016.
9
(11)
Horse silk
Gannicusp,t20
Age: 8|  Weight: 9-3| J: S W Kelly| T: B G Powell| OR:  46
12/1
Five career wins, but long time since he got his head in front and latest effort over 7f at this venue was only fair. Others make more appeal.
10
(15)
Horse silk
Imperial Acth112
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-3| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding| OR:  47
8/1
No wins in nine starts for David Simcock and Patrick Chamings. Stable debut and first run since October so worth a check in the betting.
11
(5)
Horse silk
Solitary Sister11
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-2| J: Nicola Currie| T: John Berry| OR:  45
25/1
Second of two starts for this trainer since leaving Richard Spencer's yard when beaten a long way at Kempton. Needs to bounce back from that run off the same mark.
12
(1)
Horse silk
Rocket Ronniep22
Age: 9|  Weight: 9-2| J: Hollie Doyle| T: A Wintle| OR:  45
16/1
Running creditably over hurdles before returning to AW Flat action with a third 13 over this C&D last month. Not so good at Kempton last time, but may do better returned to this surface.
13
(6)
Horse silk
Velvet Voice60
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-2| J: M M Monaghan| T: M H Tompkins| OR:  45
22/1
Pulled up in a maiden hurdle when last seen in action at Lingfield in November. Earlier efforts on the level give her plenty to find.
14
(2)
Horse silk
Nicky Babyp16
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-2| J: R Havlin| T: D K Ivory| OR:  45
20/1
No wins in 20 races and has been placed only once. Recent efforts at this venue do not suggest a change of outcome is on the cards.
15
(10)
Horse silk
Outlaw Torn31
Age: 10|  Weight: 9-2| J: Philip Prince| T: R C Guest| OR:  45| CD
33/1
Veteran who has 19 wins to his credit. Looks to be on a downward curve, but was not disgraced at Wolverhampton last time.
16
(8)
Horse silk
Understory94
Age: 12|  Weight: 9-2| J: M Dwyer| T: T D McCarthy| OR:  45| D
66/1
Oldest runner in the race and clearly not as good as he was despite fair seventh of 14 over C&D when last seen in October. Likely to find younger legs too fast.

Forecasts

Affluence (5/2), Prerogative (7/2), Highwayman (7/1), Clive Clifton (7/1), Imperial Act (8/1), Don't Do It (12/1), Gannicus (12/1), Cold Fire (14/1), Rocket Ronnie (16/1), Mulsanne Chase (20/1), Nicky Baby (20/1), Velvet Voice (22/1), Solitary Sister (25/1), Ertidaad (33/1), Outlaw Torn (33/1), Understory (66/1)

Verdict

A moderate finale with plenty of horses readily opposed. Those who do make some appeal are headed by Mulsanne Chase, Prerogative, Cold Fire, Imperial Act and ROCKET RONNIE, with a speculative vote going to the latter, who has been in good form over hurdles and shaped well over C&D two starts ago. Ertidaad should be on the premises if staying this longer distance.
  1. Rocket Ronnie
  2. Mulsanne Chase
  3. Imperial Act

Prize Money

1st: £2,911.002nd: £866.003rd: £433.004th: £216.00

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