15:05 Warwick

Monday 31 December 2018

All12:2512:5513:3014:0014:3515:0515:35

LPS Handicap Chase

Off time: 15:05 | Winning time: 5m 17.5s

Vivaccio^p1³⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 11-13| J: Aidan Coleman| T: Miss V Williams| OR: 106

5/1

Hasn't won since scoring twice at Ludlow in 2014 (2m, good to soft) despite a gradual fall in the weights; cheekpieces are now applied and his trainer is steadily hitting form; could prove sharper for his reappearance run.

Form: 33345-4

Whin Park^b³³

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: David Bass| T: B Pauling| OR: 105

16/1

Broke his duck under rules when winning at Ludlow (3m, good) in October, but has failed to complete on both subsequent outings and needs to bounce back in refitted headgear.

Form: 11-31FP

Full Shift^p,t⁴³

Age: 9| Weight: 11-12| J: P J Brennan| T: Mrs S Leech| OR: 105| D

11/1

Fairly useful performer in his younger days for Nicky Henderson but without a win since Boxing Day 2015; joined this trainer for £5,000 in August (from Ben Haslam), and went close (wandered in front) at Fontwell (2m5f+) latest.

Form: 574552

Modeligo^p,t⁴⁰

Age: 9| Weight: 11-11| J: Stan Sheppard⁽³⁾| T: M Sheppard| OR: 104| C| D

22/1

6-33 over fences and 2lb below his last winning mark (May 2018); finished a never dangerous sixth (beaten in excess of 16L) over C&D on his penultimate start.

Form: 325568

Boughtbeforelunch^p²²

Age: 5| Weight: 11-9| J: R P McLernon| T: P R Webber| OR: 102| BF| D

8/1

Got no further than the first (unseated rider) when bidding to follow up his November Southwell win (2m4f+, good) at Huntingdon recently; still early days over fences (and wearing cheekpieces); chance.

Form: 73571U

Orchardstown Cross⁴⁴⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 11-7| J: Rex Dingle⁽⁷⁾| T: J Scott| OR: 100

2/1

PTP winner for Tom Malone in January 2017; ran his best race under rules so far when finishing a distant second to Eddy at Exeter (2m5f+ novices' handicap hurdle) 14 months ago; off since and has switched stables from Tim Vaughan.

Form: 3/2-

Ask Catkin^t1²⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 11-7| J: James Nixon⁽⁷⁾| T: T Symonds| OR: 100

25/1

Eight-race maiden, albeit with limited experience over fences (0-1); tongue-tied for the first time on her third start since wind surgery; 2m4f on good to soft/soft ground is fine; others preferred.

Form: 4450-36

Charlie Papa Lima^t³²

Age: 7| Weight: 11-5| J: Lorcan Williams⁽⁵⁾| T: B Barr| OR: 98

20/1

Not always consistent, but has run some reasonable races when on song without winning under rules (0-15); staying on second (beaten ¾L by Mister Maker) over an extended 2m5f at Taunton (good) last month.

Form: 2-PP062

Redmond^t⁴⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 11-2| J: Nick Scholfield| T: Jack Barber| OR: 95| BF

10/1

The handicapper seemingly has him where he wants him and although an all the way winner off a similar mark at Fontwell (2m5f+, heavy) in February, he shouldn't quite prove good enough; generally jumps well.

Form: 2133-37

Lady Master²³

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: S Bowen| T: Mrs Caroline Bailey| OR: 93

5/1

Ready winner on her chasing debut at Wetherby (2m3f+, soft) 23 days ago; that race lacked any real substance and she competes off a 7lb higher mark today, albeit you can do no more than beat what is placed in front of you.

Form: 7864-01

Spock³³

Age: 13| Weight: 10-9| J: Miss L Brooke⁽⁷⁾| T: Lady S Brooke| OR: 88| D

66/1

Veteran who is struggling to recapture his peak form from earlier in the calendar year; feasibly might've needed the run at Hereford (3m1f) last month; difficult to enthuse over.

Form: 5-24RPP

Arquebusier^t,v⁴³

Age: 8| Weight: 10-7| J: Jamie Bargary| T: Mrs E Bishop| OR: 86| BF| CD

12/1

Beaten just under 5L when finishing fourth to Native Robin in this race in 2017 (also finished third in 2016); evidently appreciates racing at this track (C&D winner); held valid excuses latest (badly hampered by a faller mid-race).

Form: 2P6P-56

Cranbrook Causeway^b¹⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-5| J: Max Kendrick⁽⁵⁾| T: D Killahena & G McPherson| OR: 84

16/1

Lightly-raced over hurdles, but has taken a slight backward step over fences more recently; made mistakes when finishing a distant fourth of six to Inchcolm at Hexham (3m, soft) 19 days ago; dropped in trip.

Form: P9P-544

Little Jimmy^p,t²⁷

Age: 11| Weight: 10-4| J: R T Dunne| T: T R Gretton| OR: 83| D

25/1

8-40 over fences but hasn't won anywhere since March 2016; advancing in years and more of a 2-miler than anything else; all hopes are pinned on him having needed the run at Fakenham recently (his first start since June); look elsewhere.

Form: 233-3P5

Forecasts

Orchardstown Cross (2/1), Lady Master (5/1), Vivaccio (5/1), Boughtbeforelunch (8/1), Redmond (10/1), Full Shift (11/1), Arquebusier (12/1), Cranbrook Causeway (16/1), Whin Park (16/1), Charlie Papa Lima (20/1), Modeligo (22/1), Little Jimmy (25/1), Ask Catkin (25/1), Spock (66/1)

Lady Master was a pleasing winner on her chasing debut at Wetherby earlier this month but that race lacked any real substance and there's every likelihood that she'll be found wanting off a 7lb higher mark. Arquebusier is a regular in this particular race and generally appreciates his visits to Warwick, so is more than capable of making the frame, whilst Boughtbeforelunch will be ultra-competitive with a clear round of fencing. However, with the Venetia Williams string hitting form, the eased in the handicap top-weight VIVACCIO can go well in newly-applied cheekpieces with the benefit of his seasonal reappearance run under his belt.