15:25 Newcastle

Friday 16 November 2018

All12:0012:3013:0513:4014:1514:5015:25

Logico Standard Open NH Flat Race

Off time: 15:25 | Winning time: 4m 3.90s

Beauty Dragon

Age: 6| Weight: 10-12| J: Joe Williamson⁽⁷⁾| T: Gary Sanderson

40/1

Fetched 75,000gns in November 2012; has clearly had issues and makes his belated first racecourse appearance in a bumper at the age of six, for a trainer who has saddled just one previous runner under National Hunt rules.

Form:

Dothraki Prince

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Sean Quinlan| T: C Grant

10/1

Cost £4,500 as a yearling (sold unraced for €5,000 in August 2017); half-brother to the bumper winner Harambe; trainer not known for supplying winners in these type of events (17-375 (5%) since 1995).

Form:

Fast And Friendly^h¹⁸⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Colm McCormack⁽³⁾| T: Kenneth Slack

40/1

Half-brother to the 1m1f-2m winner Fourth Generation and also the bumper scorer Grandmaster George; hooded on debut at Sedgefield in May (9/2), finishing a hopelessly tailed-off eleventh of 12 to Master Debonair (raced far too keenly early on).

Form: 0

Just Call Me Al²²²

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Ross Chapman⁽³⁾| T: G Boanas

3/1

Out of an unraced dam who was a half-sister to the bumper and 2m4f hurdle winner Ravens Rock; started 8/1 on debut at Carlisle (2m1f, soft) in April when finishing 8¾L fourth to Largy Glory.

Form: 4-

Little Bavington⁴⁸⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Thomas Dowson⁽³⁾| T: Mrs A Hamilton

40/1

Mixed stamina messages in his pedigree and his form thus far in bumpers is exceptionally poor; first run for Ann Hamilton after leaving the care of Phil Kirby; not considered on first outing for 485-days.

Form: 86-

Look Now²⁰¹

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Lucy Alexander| T: J Ewart

25/1

Half-brother to a couple of dual purpose scorers; joined James Ewart for £2,500 in May 2018; beaten 22L in a PTP bumper at Garthorpe (soft) for previous trainer Peter Mason.

Form: 4

Malystic

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Henry Brooke| T: P D Niven

13/2

Half-brother to the 70-rated jumps maiden Haafaprincess (0-5); debuts for North Yorkshire trainer Peter Niven (4-40 (10%) in NHF races over the last five seasons).

Form:

Wilhelm Vonvenster

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: B S Hughes| T: N G Richards

4/6

Cost €28,000 as a 3yo and has attracted plenty of newspaper column inches as a Rich Ricci-owned Northern-trained jumps runner; dam was a French Flat (1m4f) and hurdles (2m1f) scorer; standout contender in a very weak looking bumper.

Form:

Lucyhilucylow

Age: 6| Weight: 10-5| J: Callum Bewley| T: F Watson

40/1

Her dam Shardda was a Barathea mare, but showed little under rules (12-race maiden for this trainer between 2003 and 2006); impossible to build any sort of realistic case regarding her chances.

Form:

Piccalilli Pie

Age: 4| Weight: 10-5| J: Jonathan England| T: S England

50/1

Third foal from an unraced dam (Piece of Pie); trainer yet to saddle a winner of a NHF race since taking out her training license in 2015 (0-7).

Form:

Forecasts

Wilhelm Vonvenster (4/6), Just Call Me Al (3/1), Malystic (13/2), Dothraki Prince (10/1), Look Now (25/1), Fast And Friendly (40/1), Beauty Dragon (40/1), Little Bavington (40/1), Lucyhilucylow (40/1), Piccalilli Pie (50/1)

Early days for these young horses with 60% of those declared seeing the racecourse for the very first time. However, based upon pedigrees and sales values this doesn't look like being a race which will provide a regular source of future winners. The ground conditions will be plenty quick enough for WILHELM VONVENSTER, but he's by far the likeliest winner. His trainer Nicky Richards saddled a potentially useful NHF winner (Ribble Valley) at Ayr recently and boasts an impressive 30% strike-rate in bumpers (24-81) over the past five seasons.