13:50 Ludlow

Thursday 15 November 2018

All13:2013:5014:2514:5515:3016:00

Jelf Insurance Brokers Novices' Handicap Chase

Off time: 13:50 | Winning time: 3m 56.75s

Inch Lala²¹²

Age: 6| Weight: 12-2| J: Adam Wedge| T: Evan Williams| OR: 107

14/1

Has shown some promise for previous yards but all the evidence suggests she wants a stiffer test on softer ground than she will get here on chasing debut.

Form: 6/3035P-

Amirr^v1²¹

Age: 8| Weight: 12-1| J: Daniel Sansom⁽⁵⁾| T: J W Mullins| OR: 106| D

16/1

Winner of a very modest maiden hurdle at Uttoxeter in June and made no impact on subsequent starts including her chase debut. Visor fitted this time.

Form: 0-417FP

Keep Moving³⁵⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 12-1| J: T J O'Brien| T: P Hobbs & J White| OR: 106

13/8

Showed his best form to date in better company than this at Exeter when last seen a year ago. Stable in form so hard to rule out completely in such weak company.

Form: 5435/32-

Comber Mill^h,t⁴³

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: Andrew Tinkler| T: A Ralph| OR: 103| CD

12/1

Triple winning hurdler has only completed half his starts over fences despite being backed as though better was expected. Particularly disappointing last time but possible this track may help him more.

Form: 19-2UU7

Dartagnan Le Dun^t²²²

Age: 5| Weight: 11-11| J: Kielan Woods| T: A M Hales| OR: 102

14/1

French import, hasn't shown much since joining current trainer. Comes here on the back of an absence and receives a watching brief on chase debut.

Form: 569P77-

Cap St Vincent²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 11-11| J: Alan Johns| T: Tim Vaughan| OR: 102

6/1

Would have claims on some of his hurdling form and he shaped as though in need of the experience when a remote third to a stable companion on chasing debut. Will know more this time and yard landed this two years ago.

Form: 943-563

Daylami Kirk²⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 11-9| J: Matt Griffiths| T: R J Hodges| OR: 100

25/1

Third in a Warwick hurdle in May but pulled up and tailed off last of seven on both starts over fences.

Form: 0R4-3P7

Sadma¹⁰

Age: 9| Weight: 11-1| J: Pte Alexandra Bell⁽⁷⁾| T: N Lampard| OR: 92| D

14/1

Fair over hurdles back in 2015 when he won a couple of races. Fair third at Startford in October and pulled up on chase return 10 days ago when his saddle slipped.

Form: 4/PP-83P

Centreofexcellence^h,t¹⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 10-10| J: Max Kendrick⁽⁵⁾| T: S Flook| OR: 87

5/2

Left clear at the last to score at Bangor two weeks ago. An 8lb rise looks harsh but the opposition here is weak.

Form: 8P8531

Forecasts

Keep Moving (13/8), Centreofexcellence (5/2), Cap St Vincent (6/1), Comber Mill (12/1), Inch Lala (14/1), Sadma (14/1), Dartagnan Le Dun (14/1), Amirr (16/1), Daylami Kirk (25/1)

This will take little winning and provides Centreofexcellence with an opportunity to follow up his Bangor success. An 8lb rise should make this harder, however the opposition is mediocre and he would still be expected to go close. Keep Moving has been absent for a year since a career best, however that was on soft ground at Exeter and this will be more of a speed test. The vote goes to CAP ST VINCENT who came from a long way back to finish third behind a stable companion on his chase debut. Some of his hurdles form shows him to be well-handicapped and he can go close if ridden more positively.