15:35 Ffos Las Sun 11 November 2018

  • Beggars Belief Handicap Chase (Class 4)
  • 2m 7f 177y, Heavy
  • 9 Runners
  • Winner£6,758.002nd£1,984.003rd£992.004th£496.005th£450.006th£450.007th£450.008th£450.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:6m 36.2sOff time:15:35:20
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
1011-12OR: 115CD
12/1

Enjoyed a really good 2015/16 campaign that yielded even chase wins at up to 3m5f for Paul Morgan. Not seen for almost two years. Returns on a feasible mark if ready on his stable debut. Market check.

Last RunWatch last race
2
811-10OR: 113BFD
14/1

Seems to go best at Uttoxeter, but was well below par there on his reappearance last month. Stable has been in good form of late, so he may well be capable of a revival with cheekpieces now on. Not ruled out.

Last RunWatch last race
3
1311-9OR: 112D
13/2

Not seen in a chase under rules since 2015, having been prolific between the flags since then. More needed on his return to this sphere, but can't write him off.

Last RunWatch last race
4
911-7OR: 110CD
16/1

Dual course winning-mare who is 2lb higher than her last success at Hereford in March. Well held on her recent return, though that trip was probably a bit short, so significantly better effort not ruled out.

Last RunWatch last race
5
1011-7OR: 110BFD
6/5

Unable to win under rules so far, but has won 10 of his 19 point-to-points, so there is some ability within. May do better now switching to this trainer.

Last RunWatch last race
6
911-5OR: 108CD
14/1

Scored over hurdles at Exeter in December and followed up in a Chepstow chase, when 4lb lower. However, handicapper looks to have had his measure since.

Last RunWatch last race
8
1011-0OR: 103D
12/1

Sole chase win came at Chepstow in first-time blinkers almost two years ago. In and out since then and pulled up on return from a wind op last time. Bit to prove.

Last RunWatch last race
9
810-11OR: 100BFD
12/1

Placed in a hunter chase at Chepstow in April and drops 2lb for this return to rules racing for a different trainer. Tongue tie added. Can't write him off, but others make stronger cases.

Last RunWatch last race
10
810-0OR: 89BFCD
3/1

Won this last year when fresh, from 1lb higher and scored from 9lb higher back here (2m4f, heavy) two starts later. Form then tailed off. Needs to bounce back, but another who is far from written off.

Last RunWatch last race

Non-Runners

7
Sideways2
811-4OR: 107
T: Christian WilliamsJ: Non Runner

Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
Steel Native610-512/1
T: D A ReesJ: T E Whelan

Betting

Forecast

Jepeck (6/5), Steel Native (3/1), Sir Du Bearn (13/2), Kilcrea Bridge (12/1), Conas Taoi (12/1), Allchilledout (12/1), Market Road (14/1), Lunar Flow (14/1), Misty Mai (16/1), Sideways (16/1)

Verdict

Steel Native would be very interesting if supported here, which may hint at confidence in a second successive win in this race, while Jepeck is interesting now with this trainer and could go close to breaking his rules duck. Conas Toi is on a feasible mark if straight enough after a long time off, while Misty Mal is another of interest. However, the suggestion is LUNAR FLOW, whose trainer has been on decent form since his reappearance, and he may be able to bounce back in a new headgear combination.
  1. Lunar Flow
  2. Steel Native
  3. Jepeck

Video Replay

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