12:35 Nottingham

Wednesday 7 November 2018

All12:0512:3513:0513:4014:1514:5015:2015:50

B&M Installations Maiden Stakes (Div 1)

Off time: 12:41 | Winning time: 1m 45.45s

(16)

Aweedram¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: M Harley| T: A King

5/1

Third in both runs so far, producing similar efforts. Looks to have claims on that bare form, so any improvement is likely to make him a major player.

Form: 33

(10)

Baasem²⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: David Probert| T: Owen Burrows

40/1

16-1 and never a factor when beaten 8L on debut at Chelmsford recently. Switches to turf, and can't rule out improvement this time.

Form: 7

(11)

Durston²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: J P Spencer| T: D M Simcock

20/1

7-1 and made a promising debut at Bath (1m2f, good to soft) last month. Drops slightly in trip, but can't rule out a better effort. Competitive.

Form: 3

(4)

Entrusting

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: P J McDonald| T: J R Fanshawe

28/1

Cost 110,000gns as a yearling. Out of a Group-placed 6f winner. Stable 8% with juveniles this season. Market check.

Form:

(15)

Funny Man

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: James Doyle| T: W J Haggas

14/1

Distorted Humor half-brother to 1m winner Three Weeks out of an unraced half-sister to smart 1¼m-1½m winner Princess Highway. Nice pedigree. Withdrawn after being unruly here last week.

Form:

(17)

Gold Arch

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: S Donohoe| T: D R Lanigan

80/1

7,000gns foal. 35,000gns yearling. Half-brother to three winners, out of 2m winner. Stable 1-12 with turf juveniles this season. Probably best watched on debut.

Form:

(8)

Land Of Winter²²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: L Morris| T: Rae Guest

150/1

50-1 and beaten 25L on debut at Leicester (1m, good to soft) last month. Can only watch this time.

Form: 9

(5)

Mukha Magic⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Josephine Gordon| T: Miss Gay Kelleway

150/1

100-1 both starts so far and has not achieved much. Up in trip, but looks likely to appeal more when he has a handicap mark to work with.

Form: 89

(7)

Palladium²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Rob Hornby| T: M Meade

12/1

4-1 and made an encouraging debut when staying on well for third at Goodwood (1m1f, soft). Holds a Derby entry and looks likely to be one of the leading players in this.

Form: 3

(13)

Rhythmic Intent²⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: R Kingscote| T: S C Williams

7/1

Belied odds of 40-1 on debut, when just over 2L behind Surfman in a C&D maiden (good). Can improve for that experience and mount a more serious challenge.

Form: 5

(2)

Shir Khan

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: P Hanagan| T: P & O Cole

50/1

48,000gns foal. 50,000gns yearling. Half-brother to two winners, out of a Listed-placed 1m winner, who stayed 1m2f. Stable 12% with turf two-year-olds this season. Market check.

Form:

(14)

Spargrove¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Charlie Bennett| T: H Morrison

100/1

25-1 and well held on debut at Newbury recently. Can improve, but watching brief looks prudent this time.

Form: 0

(9)

Surfman²⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: R Varian

10/11

9-2 and ran well when beaten just ½L over C&D (good) on recent debut. That looks strong form in context. Should be thereabouts.

Form: 3

(1)

Beguile

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden

18/1

Dam unraced half-sister to Listed-placed 1m winner Illusion, out of 1m Listed winning half-sister to Cherry Hinton winner Dazzle and 7f Listed winner (at two) Hypnotize. Stable 23% with juveniles this season. Can make good debut.

Form:

(3)

Nabvutika²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Tim Clark⁽³⁾| T: J Butler

250/1

Beaten 36L on debut for this stable over C&D (soft) last month. Can only watch.

Form: 80

(6)

Perfect Showdance

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: A Kirby| T: C G Cox

33/1

Half-sister to three winners, out of a 7f-1m winner (inc. Listed/ at two). Stable 14% with turf juveniles this season and newcomers always respected. Market check.

Form:

Non-Runners

(12)

Dear Miriam¹¹

Weight: 9-0| Age: 2

T: M R Channon J: F Norton

Forecasts

Surfman (10/11), Aweedram (5/1), Rhythmic Intent (7/1), Palladium (12/1), Funny Man (14/1), Beguile (18/1), Durston (20/1), Dear Miriam (25/1), Entrusting (28/1), Perfect Showdance (33/1), Baasem (40/1), Shir Khan (50/1), Gold Arch (80/1), Spargrove (100/1), Mukha Magic (150/1), Land Of Winter (150/1), Nabvutika (250/1)

Newcomers Perfect Showdance, Funny Man and perhaps more so Beguile should be monitored in the market here. It would be no surprise to see that trio go well, but preference is for SURFMAN, who has the benefit of a good C&D run to draw upon. That should also bring Rhythmic Intent into calculations, while Aweedram and Palladium are others of interest.