19:36 Churchill Downs

Saturday 3 November 2018

All14:4515:1516:0016:3817:1618:0418:4619:3620:1620:5621:4422:22

Race 8 - Breeders' Cup Mile (Grade 1)

Off time: 19:37 | Winning time: -

(1)

One Master²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: James Doyle| T: W J Haggas| OR: 112

12/1

Won a Group 3 at Tipperary prior to an impressive French Group 1 success last time, showing a useful turn of foot in rain softened conditions. Not a performance that should be underestimated and shapes like she will get the extra furlong.

Form: 1-43411

(2)

Next Shares²⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: Tyler Gaffalione| T: R Baltas| OR: 117| D

12/1

Surprise winner of a Grade 1 at Keeneland last time out and feasible that some cut in the ground may be the key to him. Arrives in good form and shouldn't be ruled out from an ideal draw.

Form: 736011

(3)

Happily²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Wayne Lordan| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 94| D

8/1

Finished an excellent second in a Newmarket Group 1 two starts back and harshly withdrawn at Ascot on Champions' Day. Moore prefers Gustav Klimt but she's dangerous to rule out and drawn well to go from the front again here.

Form: 334552

(5)

Oscar Performance⁴⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Jose Ortiz| T: Brian Lynch| OR: 117| D

5/1

Multiple Grade 1 winner who was impressive when making all at Woodbine last time out. Not guaranteed to appreciate testing ground given all his best efforts have come on a firm surface but he's a live player if he handles conditions.

Form: 139-191

(6)

Almanaar²⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Joel Rosario| T: Chad Brown| OR: 115| D

22/1

Grade 1 winner last year and while capable on his best form, he's been below par this campaign. Probably better over a bit further than this and hard to fancy after a poor run last time out.

Form: 3/21-128

(7)

Expert Eye⁵⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: L Dettori| T: Sir Michael Stoute| OR: 119

9/2

Has won twice at Group 3 level in the UK this term and not disgraced when stepped back up in class at Longchamp last time but probably better over 7f than this trip. Both the ground and the sharp nature of this track possibly not ideal.

Form: 201213

(8)

I Can Fly¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: J P Spencer| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 116| D

8/1

Produced a huge effort when runner-up to a multiple Group 1 winner on Champions' Day at Ascot. May be seen at her best over a bit further than this but she's improving at present and will be doing all her best work in the finish.

Form: 415142

(10)

Catapult⁷⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: Drayden Dyke Van| T: John Sadler| OR: 120| D

12/1

Arrives in the form of his life but he would need another sizable step forward from his Del Mar win last time to play a part here.

Form: 412-211

(11)

Lightning Spear¹⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: D M Simcock| OR: 120| D

14/1

Only narrowly denied in the Lockinge earlier in the season and gained compensation when winning a Goodwood Group 1 in August, narrowly getting the better of Expert Eye. That wasn't a strong renewal though and the draw isn't ideal here.

Form: 0-23157

(12)

Analyze It²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Irad Ortiz Jr| T: Chad Brown| OR: 118| BF| D

11/1

Grade 3 winner at Keeneland on return but he's been a beaten favourite on each of his last four starts, most recently when fourth of 13 in a Keeneland Grade 1. Wide draw is no help here and others preferred.

Form: 1-12224

(13)

Gustav Klimt²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: R L Moore| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 116

8/1

Returned to form with an excellent third in a Haydock Group 1 over 6f two starts back but finished in behind One Master at Longchamp last time. Won't mind this ground and a sharp mile probably ideal but he has a tough ask from this draw.

Form: 234534

(14)

Mustashry³⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: W Buick| T: Sir Michael Stoute| OR: 115| D

16/1

Seemingly thriving at present and arrives on the back of a pair of Group 2 wins in UK. That's some useful form but both soft ground and wide draw temper enthusiasm.

Form: 17-1211

(15)

Divisidero⁴⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Jevian Toledo| T: Kelly Rubley| OR: 112| D

33/1

Grade 3 winner at Arlington Park earlier in the campaign but he hasn't been able to build on that in two runs since and looks up against it here.

Form: 4-24135

(16)

Clemmie²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 111

40/1

Very smart two-year-old but there's a suspicion she hasn't trained on and she was disappointing at Newmarket last time. Needs to bounce back.

Form: 1-95338

Non-Runners

(4)

Polydream²⁷

Weight: 8-8| Age: 3

T: F Head J: Non Runner

(9)

Hunt⁷⁶

Weight: 9-0| Age: 6

T: Philip D Amato J: Flavien Prat

Forecasts

Expert Eye (9/2), Polydream (5/1), Oscar Performance (5/1), Gustav Klimt (8/1), Happily (8/1), I Can Fly (8/1), Analyze It (11/1), Catapult (12/1), One Master (12/1), Next Shares (12/1), Lightning Spear (14/1), Mustashry (16/1), Almanaar (22/1), Hunt (25/1), Divisidero (33/1), Clemmie (40/1)

William Haggas is enjoying a fine season and it might be worth taking a chance on ONE MASTER who is set to appreciate the step up in trip here and won't mind conditions. Gustav Klimt is Aidan O'Brien's first sting and while he's been dealt a blow by a wide draw, he's another who will appreciate some cut underfoot. Next Shares shouldn't be ruled out after a career best effort last time.