16:00 Churchill Downs

Saturday 3 November 2018

All14:4515:1516:0016:3817:1618:0418:4619:3620:1620:5621:4422:22

Race 3 - Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (Grade 1)

  • 3YO plus  |   7f  |   Fast  |   14 Runners  |   Dirt  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 16:05  |   Winning time: -
The word Sky in blue and Bet in white with a red background.
The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
(1)
Horse silk
Selcourt224
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-12| J: Tyler Baze| T: John Sadler| OR:  116| D
9/2
Landed a hat-trick over this trip at Santa Anita last time in Grade 2 company. That was impressive, still unexposed and can take this step up in trip in her stride.
2
(2)
Horse silk
Miss Sunset28
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-12| J: Kent Desormeaux| T: J Bonde| OR:  114| BF| D
28/1
Narrowly denied in a Keeneland Grade 1 earlier in the campaign. Not beaten far when bidding to follow up a Del Mar success last time in a Grade 2 and can't be ruled out from an ideal draw if she can find some improvement.
3
(3)
Horse silk
Happy Like A Fool28
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-10| J: Luis Saez| T: Wesley Ward| OR:  113
40/1
Two-time Grade 3 winner but couldn't land a blow when stepped up in class at Keeneland Grade 2 last time and others bring stronger form into this.
4
(4)
Horse silk
Kirby's Penny41
Age: 5|  Weight: 8-12| J: John Velazquez| T: Wesley Ward| OR:  104| D
40/1
Grade 3 winner at Belmont Park earlier in the year but only moderate efforts up in class on her last two runs. Needs to improve.
5
(5)
Horse silk
Golden Mischief28
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-12| J: Florent Geroux| T: B Cox| OR:  109| D
8/1
Improving at present and produced a career best in a Grade 2 at Keeneland last time. Only narrowly got up and will need more here but more improvement entirely possible.
6
(6)
Horse silk
Chalon28
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-12| J: Javier Castellano| T: Arnaud Delacour| OR:  113| D
16/1
Narrowly denied by Golden Mischief last time in a career best effort. Has run well over this trip before and could easily strip fitter for that run; each-way claims.
7
(7)
Horse silk
Skye Diamonds27
Age: 5|  Weight: 8-12| J: Tiago Pereira| T: W Spawr| OR:  112| D
25/1
Disappointed here earlier in the year in a Grade 1 and has been a little hit and miss since. Produced a better effort last time but this is much tougher.
8
(8)
Horse silk
Mia Mischief62
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-10| J: Ricardo Jr Santana| T: Steven Asmussen| OR:  109| BF| D
16/1
Only narrowly denied over this trip in a Saratoga Grade 1 in August and ran well again in defeat back at that course last time. Has a Grade 2 C&D win back in May and while she needs a career best here, she's still improving.
9
(9)
Horse silk
Stormy Embrace56
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-12| J: Tyler Gaffalione| T: Kathleen O'Connell| OR:  107| BF| D
28/1
Very impressive when bolting up in a Gulfstream Park Grade 2 in June on yard debut. Beaten back at that course last time out in lesser company but that was probably just a prep for this and she's capable of running well.
10
(10)
Horse silk
Highway Star14
Age: 5|  Weight: 8-12| J: Jose Ortiz| T: Rodrigo Ubillo| OR:  106| D
28/1
Relataively consistent sort who ran a fair race down in class last time at Belmont Park but she's yet to land a blow at this level and this is competitive.
11
(11)
Horse silk
Finley'sluckycharm70
Age: 5|  Weight: 8-12| J: Brian Jr Hernandez| T: W Calhoun| OR:  112| D
8/1
Game winner of a Keeneland Grade 1 in April and has an excellent record here. Disappointed at Saratoga last time but she rates as the type to bounce back and her proven class at this level makes her interesting.
12
(12)
Horse silk
Anonymity27
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-12| J: Flavien Prat| T: R Mandella| OR:  114| BF| D
20/1
Placed in a pair of Grade 3 races on her last couple of starts but hard to fancy up in class here, particularly from this draw.
13
(13)
Horse silk
Marley's Freedom70
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-12| J: Mike Smith| T: Bob Baffert| OR:  118| D
6/4
Very impressive when bolting up in a Saratoga Grade 1 last time out back at this trip and that's just about the best form on offer here. Wide draw tempers enthusiasm but she's an exciting prospect who warrants plenty of respect.
14
(14)
Horse silk
Shamrock Rose14
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-10| J: Irad Ortiz Jr| T: Mark Casse| OR:  105| D
20/1
Career best when winning a Grade 2 at Keeneland last time. More needed and wide draw not ideal but not one to completely put a line through.

Non-Runners

15
(15)
Horse silk
Dream Pauline93
Weight: 8-10|  Age: 3
T: Kiaran McLaughlin  J: Non Runner
NR

Forecasts

Marley's Freedom (6/4), Selcourt (9/2), Golden Mischief (8/1), Finley'sluckycharm (8/1), Chalon (16/1), Mia Mischief (16/1), Shamrock Rose (20/1), Anonymity (20/1), Skye Diamonds (25/1), Miss Sunset (28/1), Stormy Embrace (28/1), Highway Star (28/1), Dream Pauline (30/1), Happy Like A Fool (40/1), Kirby's Penny (40/1)

Verdict

It might be worth taking a chance on MIA MISCHIEF in the first of Saturday's Breeders' Cup races. She was impressive over course and distance earlier in the campaign and she could represent some value in a competitive contest. Marley's Freedom is an obvious threat but Mike Smith will have to be at his best to defy a wide draw. Finley'sluckycharm is proven at this level and can be forgiven a below par effort last time out.
  1. Mia Mischief
  2. Marley's Freedom
  3. Finley'sluckycharm

Previous Winners

2017
Bar Of Gold
Weight: 8-12  |Age: 5
33/1

Prize Money

1st: $630,000.002nd: $200,000.003rd: $100,000.004th: $70,000.00

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