16:55 Redcar
Friday 19 October 2018
All13:4514:1514:4515:2015:5016:2016:5517:25
Racing UK's Biggest Ever Flat Season Novice Stakes
- 3YO plus | Class 5 | 5f 217y | Soft (Good to Soft in places) | 12 Runners | Turf | Weighed In
- Off time: 16:56 | Winning time: 1m 12.4s
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
Related to the useful Look Busy, a winner at Group 2 level for this yard, but showed very little to get enthusiastic about when last of six on debut at Newcastle. The switch to turf may help but a big improvement is required.
Yard highly respected and this half-brother to five winners - including God Willing (7f-1m) and Gillburg (6f) - has been found a weak race in which to start his racing career. A market move could be very persuasive.
Cost €21,000 but not shown much so far. Slight improvement over 1m at Pontefract last time was encouraging but the drop back to this distance is a concern. The betting can help determine stable confidence (also send out Yorkshire Pudding).
Dam was placed at Listed level but this gelding looked a far cry from that achievement when he finished a well-beaten last of six on debut in a C&D maiden. Best watched just for the time being.
Not managed a win from 25 previous starts and is another who would be in receipt of more weight if contesting a handicap against some of these. Not too difficult to omit from the betting plans.
Placed in a maiden over C&D last May and generally been consistent since. Had just two starts this season and possible she still rang rusty here last time out. Worth considering if the betting suggests she is more wound up this time.
Out of a Turtle Island mare - a winner over 1m1f - and likely to handle a bit of give underfoot if she follows family traits. Yard quiet just now and this 6f trip is probably going to be an inadequate test of her stamina.
A half-sister to 5f-6f winner Danzeno ( a Group 3 winner in his time) and a number of other versatile types, the Denounce filly represents an in-form yard. Introduced at a modest level and merits a betting check at least.
Cost 24,000 gns as a foal but went for £45,000 as a yearling; her dam was placed in a Listed race in France and won over 1m4f on turf. Yard going well and worth taking notes for future reference at least.
Not shown much in three starts this terms and even the switch to a new yard has yet to work the oracle in terms of raising her profile. Others appear to hold stronger claims.
Didn't appear to act on the surface at Newcastle last time and may prove to be a good bit better than the bare form. However, her overall rofile says she's been on a downward spiral since her return in April and she now has something to prove.
Well beaten in three starts so far (allowed to start at odds of 100/1 when held over C&D last time) and not difficult to overlook at present.
Non-Runners
1
(8)
Iconic Figure34
Weight: 9-3| Age: 5
T: L R James J: Non Runner
NR
Forecasts
Bielsa (5/2), Danzena (7/2), Yorkshire Pudding (4/1), Montana Dawn (4/1), Inching Closer (8/1), Henrietta's Dream (16/1), It's A Wish (25/1), Ginger Jam (25/1), Blame It On Me (33/1), Bharanian Breeze (40/1), Red Allure (66/1), Iconic Figure (66/1), Red Hot Fusion (100/1)
Not too much strength-in-depth here, which may pave the way for BIELSA to get off the mark at the first time of asking. The betting will be an informative tool as Danzena is another interesting debutante that could make life tough for the selection. Stablemates Yorkshire Pudding and Blame It On Me are a couple of others worth considering if the market vibes suggest either could make the frame.
- Bielsa
- Danzena
- Yorkshire Pudding
Prize Money
1st: £4,528.002nd: £1,348.003rd: £673.004th: £337.00
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