15:40 Ayr Thu 11 October 2018

  • Christmas Day At Western House Hotel Handicap (Div 1) (Class 6)
  • 7f 50y, Soft (Heavy in places)
  • 13 Runners
  • Winner£3,170.002nd£943.003rd£471.004th£300.005th£300.006th£300.007th£300.008th£300.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 35.17sOff time:15:43:31
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
(4)
Redarna9(ex 6)
49-13OR: 60CD
5/2

Dual winner over this trip on good to soft, including last time over C&D. Carries a penalty for that. Follow-up not ruled out, but more needed from this career-high mark.

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2
(14)
49-7OR: 60D
9/1

6f and 7f scorer on a sound/fast surface. Beaten ½L by Redarna from 1lb higher in July. Not as good in two subsequent starts. More needed.

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3
(2)
79-7OR: 60CD
25/1

Multiple winner from 7f-1m, mostly on softer ground. Last three wins have come from higher marks than this, but recent efforts offer little encouragement.

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4
(12)
49-5OR: 58C
40/1

1-18, that success coming here over 1m1f (good to firm), when 2lb higher. Well beaten in all starts since, all at this venue (including over C&D and from this mark). Major revival needed.

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5
(3)
49-4OR: 57D
5/1

Dual soft ground winner (7f/1m) last year, the latter from 2lb lower. Beaten 1L from this mark at Beverley in June and has since scored at Southwell. Inconsistent, as shown last time at Leicester last time. Claims if at his best.

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6
(1)
Majdoole/s19
59-4OR: 57D
16/1

0-14 on turf. A repeat of his Musselburgh run in August, when 5lb higher, would give him a chance, but needs to better than both runs since.

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7
(5)
39-2OR: 57
14/1

Eight-race maiden who went close at Southwell three rimes in succession in the spring. Still early days in turf handicaps and a 3lb drop plus his favoured soft ground could bring him into this.

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8
(10)
69-1OR: 54
6/1

Showed some promise on her second start, but well held either side of that. Initial mark fair based on her best effort, but whether she can reproduce that remains to be seen. Market check could be prudent to gauge expectations.

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9
(9)
68-13OR: 52C
12/1

Stays 1m, but scored over 6f (soft) at Hamilton last time, when 4lb lower, in a 0-65. Some of his form from earlier in the season gives him a chance of following up, if he can produce another similar effort.

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10
(6)
58-9OR: 48
6/1

0-29. Reasonable effort from this mark (7f, good to firm) last time. Acts on soft ground. Each-way claims.

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12
(13)
78-7OR: 46C
50/1

Course winner over 1m (soft) in 2016, when 13lb higher. Not as good these days, but has twice won from 4lb higher on AW this year. Well below par of late and others preferred.

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13
(11)
48-7OR: 45
50/1

0-9. Former Andrew Balding inmate who is plummeting in the handicap after showing precious little this year. Interesting jockey booking, but looks very risky on recent evidence.

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14
(7)
38-5OR: 46
18/1

Went very close from this mark at Musselburgh in August (1m, good). Entitled to consideration if she could repeat that, but has been unable to do so over this trip in two subsequent runs.

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Non-Runners

11
(8)
Orientelle15
48-7OR: 46
T: R M WhitakerJ: Cam Hardie

Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Redarna (5/2), Break The Silence (5/1), Colour Contrast (6/1), Long Wood (6/1), Acadian Angel (9/1), Tadaany (12/1), Gleaming Sun (14/1), Majdool (16/1), Eva Docc (18/1), Orientelle (20/1), Dark Crystal (25/1), Pudding Chare (40/1), Bay Watch (50/1), Gone With The Wind (50/1)

Verdict

Very modest fayre. Gleaming Sun is of interest in these conditions, while Eva Docc should be thereabouts if able to reprise her Musselburgh efforts. Break The Silence would have a chance if at his best, while Redarna is much repected. However, TADAANY has conditions to suit and also enough on his CV this season to suggest that he could follow up his Hamilton success.
  1. Tadaany
  2. Redarna
  3. Gleaming Sun

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