15:40 Ayr

Thursday 11 October 2018

All13:3514:0514:3515:1015:4016:1016:4517:15

Christmas Day At Western House Hotel Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 15:43 | Winning time: 1m 35.17s

(4)

Redarna⁹^{(ex 6)}

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: G Lee| T: Mrs Dianne Sayer| OR: 60| CD

5/2

Dual winner over this trip on good to soft, including last time over C&D. Carries a penalty for that. Follow-up not ruled out, but more needed from this career-high mark.

Form: 915481

(14)

Acadian Angel⁴¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Jason Hart| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 60| D

9/1

6f and 7f scorer on a sound/fast surface. Beaten ½L by Redarna from 1lb higher in July. Not as good in two subsequent starts. More needed.

Form: 764238

(2)

Dark Crystal⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-7| J: Ben Robinson⁽³⁾| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 60| CD

25/1

Multiple winner from 7f-1m, mostly on softer ground. Last three wins have come from higher marks than this, but recent efforts offer little encouragement.

Form: 28-0608

(12)

Pudding Chare^t1⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Andrew Breslin⁽⁵⁾| T: R M Smith| OR: 58| C

40/1

1-18, that success coming here over 1m1f (good to firm), when 2lb higher. Well beaten in all starts since, all at this venue (including over C&D and from this mark). Major revival needed.

Form: 758909

(3)

Break The Silence^p¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Theodore Ladd⁽⁵⁾| T: S Dixon| OR: 57| D

5/1

Dual soft ground winner (7f/1m) last year, the latter from 2lb lower. Beaten 1L from this mark at Beverley in June and has since scored at Southwell. Inconsistent, as shown last time at Leicester last time. Claims if at his best.

Form: 552817

(1)

Majdool^e/s¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: Phil Dennis⁽³⁾| T: N Wilson| OR: 57| D

16/1

0-14 on turf. A repeat of his Musselburgh run in August, when 5lb higher, would give him a chance, but needs to better than both runs since.

Form: 60-7435

(5)

Gleaming Sun⁶⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Nathan Evans| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 57

14/1

Eight-race maiden who went close at Southwell three rimes in succession in the spring. Still early days in turf handicaps and a 3lb drop plus his favoured soft ground could bring him into this.

Form: 9-22297

(10)

Long Wood³⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: Ray Dawson⁽⁵⁾| T: J Feane| OR: 54

6/1

Showed some promise on her second start, but well held either side of that. Initial mark fair based on her best effort, but whether she can reproduce that remains to be seen. Market check could be prudent to gauge expectations.

Form: 609

(9)

Tadaany^b¹⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 8-13| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 52| C

12/1

Stays 1m, but scored over 6f (soft) at Hamilton last time, when 4lb lower, in a 0-65. Some of his form from earlier in the season gives him a chance of following up, if he can produce another similar effort.

Form: 968441

(6)

Colour Contrast¹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: Jamie Gormley⁽³⁾| T: I Jardine| OR: 48

6/1

0-29. Reasonable effort from this mark (7f, good to firm) last time. Acts on soft ground. Each-way claims.

Form: 867334

(13)

Gone With The Wind^p¹⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 8-7| J: A Mullen| T: Rebecca Bastiman| OR: 46| C

50/1

Course winner over 1m (soft) in 2016, when 13lb higher. Not as good these days, but has twice won from 4lb higher on AW this year. Well below par of late and others preferred.

Form: 367700

(11)

Bay Watch^b⁴²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: P Hanagan| T: T Reed| OR: 45

50/1

0-9. Former Andrew Balding inmate who is plummeting in the handicap after showing precious little this year. Interesting jockey booking, but looks very risky on recent evidence.

Form: 975-790

(7)

Eva Docc^p²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: J Fanning| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 46

18/1

Went very close from this mark at Musselburgh in August (1m, good). Entitled to consideration if she could repeat that, but has been unable to do so over this trip in two subsequent runs.

Form: 364250

Non-Runners

(8)

Orientelle¹⁵

Weight: 8-7| Age: 4

T: R M Whitaker J: Cam Hardie

Forecasts

Redarna (5/2), Break The Silence (5/1), Colour Contrast (6/1), Long Wood (6/1), Acadian Angel (9/1), Tadaany (12/1), Gleaming Sun (14/1), Majdool (16/1), Eva Docc (18/1), Orientelle (20/1), Dark Crystal (25/1), Pudding Chare (40/1), Bay Watch (50/1), Gone With The Wind (50/1)

Very modest fayre. Gleaming Sun is of interest in these conditions, while Eva Docc should be thereabouts if able to reprise her Musselburgh efforts. Break The Silence would have a chance if at his best, while Redarna is much repected. However, TADAANY has conditions to suit and also enough on his CV this season to suggest that he could follow up his Hamilton success.