15:10 Ayr

Thursday 11 October 2018

All13:3514:0514:3515:1015:4016:1016:4517:15

Western House Hotel Handicap

Off time: 15:10 | Winning time: 1m 15.62s

(5)

Nuns Walk¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 80| D

7/2

All three turf wins have been on good to soft, but she acts on softer ground. 5lb higher than her most recent win at Hamilton (6f) in August. Competitive, but more needed for another success.

Form: 441327

(6)

Chookie Dunedin^h1¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: D C Costello| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 80| CD

14/1

C&D scorer on debut last year, but is without further success in 10 more starts, albeit facing some stiffish tasks. Best efforts this season have been with cut in the ground at Musselburgh. Exposed and an each-way player.

Form: 865355

(1)

Falmouth Light⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: I Jardine| OR: 79

3/1

Has won over 1m2f on soft ground, but was last seen beaten just over 1L here from this mark last week, when he led just over 1f out. Not implausible that he might have the speed to win this.

Form: 7-10533

(11)

Inexes^p⁹^{(ex 6)}

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: Jason Hart| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife| OR: 72| CD

8/1

C&D scorer last week (good to soft), who won't mind any further rain. Carries penalty for that win. Won from higher mark last season, so entitled to claims here, but has yet to win two races in succession.

Form: 873621

(8)

Militia¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 78| CD

8/1

Made all to score in a 0-85 over C&D (good) in July, when 1lb lower. Has had some tough tasks since, but unlikely to be far away now back at this level, provided he handles soft.

Form: 121030

(9)

Primo's Comet^p¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Phil Dennis⁽³⁾| T: J S Goldie| OR: 77

14/1

Scored over 5f at Musselburgh (good) last month, when 4lb lower. Produced a similar effort over this trip at Haydock (good to soft) last time. More needed, but not ruled out.

Form: 135714

(7)

Handsome Dude^b¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: B A Curtis| T: T D Barron| OR: 76| D

20/1

Scored over this trip at Haydock (soft) last year, when 8lb higher. Added to that on Fibresand in January. Well below that level on turf this season and hard to fancy at present.

Form: 100000

(3)

Van Gerwen¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: M Stainton| T: J L Eyre| OR: 76| D

14/1

Soft ground suits this 5f and 6f winner, who is 1lb higher than his best recent winning mark today. Will need to be at his best, but can't rule him out.

Form: 209617

(2)

Feebs^b1¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Nathan Evans| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 73| D

9/1

Haydock maiden winner (6f, heavy) 13-months ago. Went close in a soft ground Wetherby handicap in April, when 1lb higher, but has only once come close to repeating that. Blinkers on today, which could help with a revival. Not ruled out.

Form: 204500

(10)

Rastacap³⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 72| D

33/1

Scored over 7f (good to firm) at Chepstow in July, when 2lb lower. Well held in all starts since and this is competitive enough again. May find a few too good. Handles soft.

Form: 421449

(4)

T For Tango⁴⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: T Hamilton| T: R O'Brien| OR: 70

8/1

Won a Naas maiden (5f, yielding) on debut last year, but losing run since then is now at 12. Went very close at Leopardstown (6f, good to firm) in July. Yet to fully prove himself on soft ground.

Form: 086268

Forecasts

Falmouth Light (3/1), Nuns Walk (7/2), T For Tango (8/1), Inexes (8/1), Militia (8/1), Feebs (9/1), Chookie Dunedin (14/1), Primo's Comet (14/1), Van Gerwen (14/1), Handsome Dude (20/1), Rastacap (33/1)

Plenty of these have a chance if producing their best, including Primo's Comet, Inexes, Van Gerwen and Feebs. Chookie Dunedlin is a probable each-way player, but FALMOUTH LIGHT is unexposed over this trip and his latest run suggests that he might have enough toe to win now dropped to it.