19:45 Chelmsford City

Thursday 4 October 2018

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15

Irish Lotto At totesport.com Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 19:48 | Winning time: 2m 6.2s

(10)

Candesta^t¹⁴¹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-7| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: Miss J Feilden| OR: 60| C

50/1

4-36 on the AW, and a 25/1 runner-up over 1m (same mark) here in March; off the track since finishing an eased (tailed-off) last of 11 at Yarmouth (1m, firm) in May.

Form: 1-92760

(5)

Intermodal¹⁶⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Charles Bishop| T: J Tuite| OR: 59| BF

4/1

AW regular; hasn't won since December 2016 (juvenile); easing in the weights, and raced over 1m6f on his last visit to this track (penultimate start) in April; off the track for 169 days.

Form: 456455

(11)

Contingency Fee^p³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Rossa Ryan⁽³⁾| T: P S McEntee| OR: 62| D

7/2

Found improvement from somewhere of late, winning a 1m Brighton seller for Brian Meehan last month (sold for 4,200gns at the auction), and also placed off this mark on stable debut at Kempton (1m3f) since.

Form: 866613

(8)

Rainbow Jazz^b,e/s³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Charlie Bennett| T: A West| OR: 61| D

16/1

Inching up the weights after regularly finding one stronger, including over this trip at Lingfield (AW) on his penultimate start; slowly away and always behind on turf at Bath on Monday.

Form: 522520

(2)

Carvelas³⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 9-3| J: David Probert| T: J R Jenkins| OR: 56

7/1

Old-timer (4-32 on the AW); continuing to run with credit, and twice placed over C&D in August - headed on the line when beaten a short-head by Dora's Field in a selling handicap (penultimate start).

Form: 376328

(9)

Voice of A Leader^h¹⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 9-3| J: Joey Haynes| T: P Howling| OR: 56

33/1

97-rated at his best in 2015, but hasn't seen much racing in recent years, leaving the care of Andi Brown after winning at Wolverhampton (1m1f+) in March 2017; 0-3 for Paul Howling.

Form: 9/1-7567

(3)

Dance Me^p1¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: David Egan| T: S Kirk| OR: 59

8/1

13-race maiden (0-8 AW); drops to a career low mark of 59 following a fairly unspectacular midfield finish at Brighton (7f) latest; combination of cheekpieces and a longer trip worth trying.

Form: 648675

(7)

Ruby's Gem¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: S De Sousa| T: P J McBride| OR: 52

8/1

12-race maiden; slipped to a career low mark of 52, but that's unsurprising following three poor efforts (7f-1m1f) since mid June; the only obvious positive is the booking of Silvestre De Sousa.

Form: 893780

(6)

Molten Lava¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 8-7| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: S Gollings| OR: 46

4/1

Both wins have come over 1m (in 2015), but back to form with a ½L defeat by Castle Talbot at Yarmouth (1m1f) in August; finished third to Henry Croft over C&D latest, and whilst feasibly treated on AW (8lb lower than on turf), his record is 0-19.

Form: 90-6203

(4)

Alucinado^b²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: Hollie Doyle| T: B R Millman| OR: 47

12/1

Lightly-raced filly; standout best effort came when finishing third on handicap debut at Lingfield (1m2f) last month; seemingly didn't stay 1m4f at Ffos Las latest.

Form: 09935

(1)

Star Of Assisi^v1¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-3| J: Hayley Turner| T: J Ryan| OR: 45

16/1

Seven-race maiden with an unappealing overall profile; connections turn to the visor seeking at least a glimmer of hope for the future.

Form: 003498

Forecasts

Contingency Fee (7/2), Intermodal (4/1), Molten Lava (4/1), Carvelas (7/1), Dance Me (8/1), Ruby's Gem (8/1), Alucinado (12/1), Rainbow Jazz (16/1), Star Of Assisi (16/1), Voice of A Leader (33/1), Candesta (50/1)

A low-grade contest in which the most appealing option is the in-form CONTINGENCY FEE. He's found improvement from somewhere of late, and has taken the switch from Brian Meehan to Phil McEntee (bought out of a Brighton seller for 4,200gns) in his stride, and this is a realistic race in which to seek a second career win. Others of note are Rainbow Jazz and Molten Lava, although neither horse necessarily appeals as a winner in waiting.