13:50 Catterick

Saturday 22 September 2018

All13:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:4517:2017:50

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes

Off time: 13:55 | Winning time: 1m 15.44s

(1)

Fognini¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-10| J: Hollie Doyle| T: A Watson| OR: 83| BF| D

7/4

Dual winner over this trip on good/good to firm, including under a penalty. Another very good effort again last time, when going close under a double penalty. Claims.

Form: 31212

(11)

Autumn Flight⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-9| J: Jason Hart| T: T D Easterby

13/2

Improved on a promising debut with success at Hamilton (5f, soft) last week, when plenty of use was made of him. Penalised for that, so will need to step up again and has a tough draw to overcome.

Form: 21

(6)

Gainsborough Hat²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: F Norton| T: C & M Johnston

16/1

Made good improvement for his Goodwood debut when stepped up to 7f (good) at Musselburgh last time. Drops back in trip here and is another who will need to make another step forward to have a major say, but not written off.

Form: 05

(3)

Highwaygrey²³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: D Fentiman| T: T D Easterby

100/1

Beat just one home when 80-1 on his Carlisle debut. Likely to have to wait for other days.

Form: 0

(4)

Jagerbond¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: M Stainton| T: A Crook

66/1

Made a bit of improvement from his first start to his second, when 200-1 on both occasions. Needs to step up significantly on the latest to figure.

Form: 65

(2)

Napanook⁵³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: S A Gray| T: B J Meehan| OR: 79

11/10

Has shown a fair degree of promise in all four starts, though has yet to win one. Best effort came on fast ground at Epsom (6f) two starts ago. Clearly vulnerable, but nonetheless has to be respected.

Form: 2324

(9)

Rusper Dreams¹⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: D C Costello| T: J A Osborne

50/1

Showed a bit more at Windsor last time than he had on debut. Needs a big step up on that to figure today and should make more appeal in nurseries.

Form: 99

(7)

No Bills¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Cam Hardie| T: M & D Easterby

9/1

Not devoid of promise on debut, but sent off 7-2 and took a backward step here over C&D (good) last week. Much more needed in this line-up.

Form: 53

Non-Runners

(10)

Aristomachos¹⁹

Weight: 9-2| Age: 2

T: P & O Cole J: Non Runner

(8)

Ganton Eagle¹⁵

Weight: 9-2| Age: 2

T: M & D Easterby J: A Mullen

(5)

Mythical Pursuits¹⁰

Weight: 8-11| Age: 2

T: T D Easterby J: Robert Dodsworth

Forecasts

Napanook (11/10), Fognini (7/4), Autumn Flight (13/2), No Bills (9/1), Aristomachos (14/1), Gainsborough Hat (16/1), Rusper Dreams (50/1), Mythical Pursuits (50/1), Jagerbond (66/1), Ganton Eagle (66/1), Highwaygrey (100/1)

A race thin on the ground with obvious contenders and from an inside draw, FOGNINI may be able to take full advantage and defy a double penalty. That will be tough, of course, but his level of form is very good in context. Autumn Flight has a poor draw and it won't be easy to get a good position from so wide with the run to the bend being short enough, but if he does overcome that then expect him to have a big say. Napanook should be thereabouts again, while Aristomachos, Gainsborough Hat and Mythical Pursuits are others of interest.