17:50 Newcastle

Friday 21 September 2018

All17:5018:2018:5019:2019:5020:2020:5021:20

Ideal Boilers Handicap

Off time: 17:50 | Winning time: 3m 38.64s

(2)

Tuff Rock²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: J P Spencer| T: D M Simcock| OR: 83

5/2

Disappointing that he's yet to add to maiden win having often shaped well in handicaps. Raced too keenly when upped in trip last start and may be vulnerable again over further still.

Form: 426204

(6)

Archippos³⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-13| J: A Mullen| T: P A Kirby| OR: 82

33/1

Just 1lb higher than when winning at Doncaster in March but very disappointing when well beaten on last three starts and recent form remains a concern.

Form: 5-13909

(7)

Airton^p¹²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: J D Bethell| OR: 78| C| D

4/1

Two career wins have come at this track and just 2lb higher than last success on turf. Soft ground was against him at York and should be competitive.

Form: 641459

(5)

Mambo Dancer¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 75| CD

9/1

C&D winner who again went close here on return from a break although does go particularly well fresh. A touch high in the weights but should be involved again.

Form: 660562

(1)

Sugarloaf Mountain^p,t¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Ben Robinson⁽³⁾| T: B Ellison| OR: 74| CD

7/1

Strong stayer who gained a second C&D win when beating Mambo Dancer last time. Only 1lb worse for a half length success and still open to improvement.

Form: 4-19751

(4)

Tetradrachm³²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: Cam Hardie| T: M E Sowersby| OR: 72

125/1

Didn't add to sole success for David Lanigan when racing for David Simcock last season. Likely best watched on stable debut and first run since last November.

Form: 366993-

(3)

Altra Vita^p⁵^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: L Morris| T: Sir Mark Prescott| OR: 70| D

13/8

Much improved since moving up in trip and saw out two miles well on recent win at Ffos Las. Now won five from six in handicaps and should make a bold bid under a 6lb penalty.

Form: 111311

Forecasts

Altra Vita (13/8), Tuff Rock (5/2), Airton (4/1), Sugarloaf Mountain (7/1), Mambo Dancer (9/1), Archippos (33/1), Tetradrachm (125/1)

Altra Vita is a typically progressive stayer for connections and the narrow margins of her five wins has made it hard for her handicapper to catch up with. It's hard not to see her going close again while Airton can be forgiven his last run and should be better back at his favoured track. Mambo Dancer is respected but may find it difficult to reverse C&D form with SUGARLOAF MOUNTAIN who took another step forward in that success and remains lightly-raced for his age.