13:30 Ayr

Thursday 20 September 2018

All13:3014:0014:3015:0515:3516:1016:4517:20

EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

Class 4  |   1m  |   Soft (Heavy in places)  |   11 Runners  |   Turf

Weighed In

Off time: 13:31  |   Winning time: 1m 46.97s

1
(8)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-8  |  J: Harry Bentley |  T: C Hills
11/10

Slowly away and detached early on, but finished runner-up in a Salisbury Listed contest last month (1m, good); previously a debut winner on good to soft (Ffos Las), so can be expected to handle the underfoot conditions.

2
(10)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: Connor Beasley |  T: K Dalgleish
100/1

Started 50/1 when finishing last of nine on debut at Musselburgh (7f, good) behind stablemate Caballero; massive improvement required.

4
(4)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: T Eaves |  T: M Dods|  OR: 77
9/1

€100,000 yearling; has shown reasonable form in all three career starts (7f-1m+); ultimately proved no match for the Roger Varian-trained Three Comets at Hamilton latest (1m+ good to soft), but that was a fair effort in the context of today's race.

5
(1)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: D Tudhope |  T: D Carroll
14/1

60,000gns yearling; first foal by an unraced dam (Tooraweeenah) who was a half-sister to the 1m juvenile Group 1 winner Mus-If and the 1m2f Listed winner Jammaal; market helpful in assessing the credentials of this late emerging juvenile.

6
(3)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: Nathan Evans |  T: M W Easterby
100/1

8,000gns foal (£11,000 vendor yearling); first foal out of the 7f Fibresand/1m turf winner Combustible; others likely far stronger and streetwise.

7
(7)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: Kevin Stott |  T: K A Ryan
9/2

Kingman colt, €130,000 yearling (€145,000 juvenile); half-brother to two winners; pitched in deep on debut at York (7f, good to firm) behind the ill-fated Commanding Officer (sixth); shaped encouragingly, so of major interest despite slower ground.

8
(11)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: Jamie Gormley |  T: I Jardine
100/1

Unraced ninth living foal by Bella Chica (5f-6f juvenile winner); half-brother to three winners including Sleepy Sioux (5f-6f); others far more appealing over this trip on soft ground; trainer doubly represented.

9
(2)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: C Lee |  T: K R Burke
28/1

65,000gns foal, €35,000 yearling; showed early speed on his second start at Kempton recently (1m), before weakening to finish eight of 11 to Artois; not achieved enough thus far.

10
(5)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: David Probert |  T: A M Balding
13/2

€30,000 yearling; half-brother to three winners; started 9/2 on debut at Goodwood (1m, good to soft) last month when beaten 6¾L (third) by Two Blondes; further progress anticipated, but is required.

11
(12)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: D Allan |  T: I Jardine
28/1

Ninth foal; half-brother to five Flat winners including in this ownership Good Boy Alfie (1m1f) and Costa Percy (1m4f+); 12/1 on debut at Musselburgh (7f, good) last month, and in finishing sixth of nine looked in need of that experience.

12
(13)
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: David Egan |  T: R Varian
15/2

€230,000 yearling; tenth foal; half-brother to six winners including Seeharn (6f-7f); improved on his Wolverhampton debut when staying on to finish 4½L third to winning newcomer Global Hero at Salisbury (1m good to firm); further improvement likely.

Non-Runners

13
(9)
Arctic Fox17
Weight: 8-11|  Age: 2
T: R A Fahey  J: T Hamilton
3
(6)
Be Proud9
Weight: 9-2|  Age: 2
T: R M Smith  J: P Mathers
Betting

Forecast

Dark Jedi (11/10), George Mallory (9/2), Lariat (13/2), Takumi (15/2), Bullion Boss (9/1), Arctic Fox (10/1), Deebee (14/1), Jacko (28/1), My Little Orphan (28/1), Be Proud (33/1), Elysian Flame (100/1), Beechwood Jude (100/1), God Of Dreams (100/1)

Verdict
The Western Meeting of 2018 kicks-off with a 1m juvenile contest, and it's a guessing game as to which of these youngsters will best handle the rain-softened ground. Those with obvious form claims include the Salisbury Listed runner-up Dark Jedi (Charles Hills), the steadily improving €230,000 yearling Takumi (Roger Varian), and the exciting looking Kingman colt GEORGE MALLORY (Kevin Ryan). Although the top-weight is the safest overall option, his price will reflect that fact, so we'll side with the Ryan-trained runner who looked to be a horse in development when highly tried behind the ill-fated Commanding Officer in York's Convivial Maiden Stakes (7f).
  1. George Mallory
  2. Takumi
  3. Dark Jedi
Prize Money
1st:
£6,474.00
2nd:
£1,939.00
3rd:
£969.00
4th:
£485.00
5th:
£242.00
6th:
£122.00

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