15:40 Lingfield Sat 15 September 2018
On a fair mark if recapturing his best but below par for much of the season and constant changing of headgear is a worry. Has to prove his effectiveness on this surface too, and overall there's too many risks with him at present.
Often travels strongly in his races, as was the case again at Newbury last time out but doesn't always put it in when push comes to shove. Quicker they go on the front the better his chances, but will need to be produced at the right time.
Three times a winner last year but yet to recapture that form in two starts this, although has possibly needed those runs to achieve fitness. On a fair mark if he can bounce back though, and handles the surface, so one to monitor in the market.
Only 2lb higher than last win in March but efforts since then mixed, to say the least, and hard to know what to expect here. Trip probably short enough for him these days and percentage call is to pass him over.
Run of paced efforts at Brighton not quite as good as it looks, well beaten third of four latest and although he handles this surface and trip is fine, could be that the handicapper has him where he wants him at present.
Can be keen in his races and needs dropping out at the back more often than not, capable enough when it falls right for him, as he showed when winning from a 2lb lower mark in May but overall strike rate (2-23) is offputting.
Didn't need to improve to take a Newcastle maiden last time out but does at least look mildly progressive, which counts for something, and might be a bit more straightforward than a few of these. Could go on again from that win.
His defeat of the progressive Protected Guest here last year reads well now, and he probably needed the run at Newbury last time after an absence. Ought to have more improvement in him and hard to discount totally.
Last Year's Winner
Burford Brown (11/4), Zalshah (3/1), Saluti (9/2), Areen Heart (6/1), Dark Profit (9/1), Mamillius (10/1), Connaught Ranger (10/1), Dark Alliance (16/1)
- Burford Brown
- Connaught Ranger
- Dark Profit
Log in for access to this exclusive content.
Ben Linfoot seeks out the value in the William Hill Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap on Friday with an unexposed sprinter from Newmarket taken to land the spoils.
Keith Hamer reckons Karl Burke's fine run of form can continue at Ayr on Friday - he has a tip for every race.
Ben Linfoot heads to Ayr for the Sporting Life Daily Nap selection on Friday with his Value Bet selection running in the William Hill Ayr Bronze Cup.