16:05 Doncaster

Thursday 13 September 2018

All13:5014:2515:0015:3516:0516:4017:10

Silk Series Lady Riders' Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders' Race)

Off time: 16:13 | Winning time: 1m 12.46s

(12)

Eastern Impact^b²²

Age: 7| Weight: 10-7| J: Megan Nicholls⁽⁵⁾| T: R A Fahey| OR: 90| D

13/2

Very well-handicapped on old form, although hasn't won since 2015. Revived by blinkers when good sixth of 19 at York last time, and even better than bare result there, so holds a fair chance from this further reduced mark.

Form: 024506

(14)

Dougan²⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 10-7| J: Poppy Bridgwater⁽⁷⁾| T: P D Evans| OR: 90| D

6/1

Runner-up from a 3lb higher mark over C&D in June (good to firm) - form which ties in closely with Related; historically tends to go well at Doncaster (4,2,3,0,2); handles cut, and fully entitled to be competitive.

Form: 529055

(16)

Oeil De Tigre²⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 10-3| J: Miss S A Coll⁽⁷⁾| T: A W Carroll| OR: 86| D

28/1

Has enjoyed a hugely productive season with a hat-trick of Goodwood wins (5f-6f) during May and June; runner-up in the Stewards Cup Consolation on his penultimate start, but not so sharp latest and that's a minor concern.

Form: 111329

(18)

Rio Ronaldo¹²

Age: 6| Weight: 10-2| J: Faye McManoman⁽⁷⁾| T: M Murphy| OR: 85| D

28/1

Best suited by a strong early pace over the minimum trip (hold up performer); high in the weights now following his ready Salisbury win (5f) in June, and seemingly not as effective over 6f.

Form: 441204

(19)

Black Isle Boy¹³⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 10-2| J: Hollie Doyle| T: D O'Meara| OR: 85| D

14/1

Burst onto the scene fresh in 2017, winning three on the bounce (all over 6f), and a similar scenario this year - game neck winner at Thirsk in April (6f good to soft); up 1lb, and his 136-day absence is arguably a positive rather than a negative.

Form: 16270-1

(17)

Rebel Surge^v²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-2| J: Rhiain Ingram⁽⁵⁾| T: R Spencer| OR: 85| D

12/1

Difficult to win with, but the application of a visor helped to reinvigorate her at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) last month when a ¾L scorer from Highland Pass; 5lb higher; finished sixth of 13 in this race in 2017.

Form: 723461

(5)

The Armed Man³³

Age: 5| Weight: 10-1| J: Paula Muir⁽⁵⁾| T: C W Fairhurst| OR: 84| D

12/1

9lb higher than when scoring at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) in June, and whilst winning since at Redcar (beat Kenny The Captain by a neck) competes off a joint-career high mark, and that makes him vulnerable.

Form: 441216

(3)

Related^b²⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 10-1| J: Rachel Richardson| T: P T Midgley| OR: 84| D

20/1

Tough to knock any of his Town Moor efforts over the past 12 months (has course form this season with Dougan); just over 2L fourth (off 1lb higher) to Buccaneers Vault in this race in 2017; chance.

Form: 432437

(13)

Oriental Lilly¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Shannon Watts⁽⁷⁾| T: J S Goldie| OR: 83| D

25/1

Exceptional AW record (4-7), but as she's improved with racing, she's also become more proficient on turf; beaten just a neck by Rebel Assault off this mark in a 7f Class 3 fillies handicap at Musselburgh last month.

Form: 711352

(15)

Buccaneers Vault²⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: Georgia Cox⁽³⁾| T: P T Midgley| OR: 80| CD

16/1

Beat Kenny The Captain by 1L (Related fourth, Rebel Surge sixth) when winning this race off a 7lb lower mark in 2017 (good to soft); in fair form in the main this season, but the handicapper probably just about has his measure.

Form: 713385

(4)

London^h¹²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Grace McEntee⁽⁷⁾| T: P S McEntee| OR: 78

66/1

Has won just once in 13 starts on turf - 7f Heavy at Epsom in October 2017; out of sorts in three runs on grass in 2018 (mainly good to soft), and difficult to consider despite falling 10lb in the weights (cumulative).

Form: 550505

(7)

Kenny The Captain⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-9| J: Mrs Emily Roberts⁽⁷⁾| T: T D Easterby| OR: 78| BF| CD

7/2

Runner-up in this in 2017 off a 1lb lower mark (good to soft), and definitely merits serious consideration with conditions firmly in his favour; solid third (beaten 1L) to Yes You at Thirsk (6f, soft) last week.

Form: 235593

(11)

Big Lachie⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Jessica Cooley⁽⁷⁾| T: D M Loughnane| OR: 75| D

12/1

Kept busy on the AW last winter, and has competed on seven occasions (five-time runner-up) since scoring at Bath (5f, good) in June; holds few secrets from anyone, let alone the handicapper, and this mark of 75 looks too high.

Form: 222224

(9)

Top Boy^v⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 9-4| J: Miss Serena Brotherton| T: D Shaw| OR: 73

25/1

Decent AW strike-rate (5-32), but perfectly fair to say that he's far from prolific on turf (1-50); ½L runner-up to Excellent George on his penultimate start at Newmarket (5f, good to firm).

Form: 6-65228

(1)

Sir Billy Wright¹⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: Katherine Begley⁽⁷⁾| T: P D Evans| OR: 73| D

66/1

Runner-up on his penultimate start at Ffos Las (6f, good), and 10lb below his last winning mark (July 2017), but increasingly is more miss than hit; finished last of seven at Chepstow (6f, good to soft) latest.

Form: 4-88027

(8)

Ninjago²⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 9-3| J: Hayley Turner| T: P T Midgley| OR: 72| D

10/1

Infrequent winner (no win for over 12 months), but is becoming alarmingly well handicapped and historically could deliver a telling turn of foot from off the pace; runner-up at Leicester latest (looked to be a shade unfortunate); interesting.

Form: 243842

(6)

Tukhoom²⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Jane Elliott⁽³⁾| T: M Herrington| OR: 71

12/1

No win since his Goodwood maiden success (1m) for Marcus Tregoning in June 2016, but back to form with a respectable second to Pursuing Speed over 7f here last month; up 4lb, down in trip - can he back that run up?

Form: 5/0750-2

(2)

Siege Of Boston²⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Ms Lisa O'Neill⁽³⁾| T: J Balding| OR: 71

16/1

Still a maiden on turf (0-18), but is a three-time 7f AW winner; his best effort this season came at York in July when finishing 1½L third to Quick Look at odds of 50/1 (in a 19-runner Class 4 6f handicap); top rider booked.

Form: 430037

Non-Runners

(10)

Lucky Beggar⁷

Weight: 9-2| Age: 8

T: D C Griffiths J: Laura Coughlan

Forecasts

Kenny The Captain (7/2), Dougan (6/1), Eastern Impact (13/2), Ninjago (10/1), Big Lachie (12/1), Rebel Surge (12/1), Tukhoom (12/1), The Armed Man (12/1), Black Isle Boy (14/1), Buccaneers Vault (16/1), Siege Of Boston (16/1), Related (20/1), Top Boy (25/1), Oriental Lilly (25/1), Oeil De Tigre (28/1), Rio Ronaldo (28/1), Lucky Beggar (33/1), London (66/1), Sir Billy Wright (66/1)

2017 Silk Series champion Megan Nicholls will be hopeful of a good run from the well-handicapped Eastern Impact as she defends her crown in the season finale, whilst the 2017 race winner Buccaneers Vault again locks horns with KENNY THE CAPTAIN (second), Related (fourth) and Rebel Surge (sixth). Fellow Doncaster proven performers Dougan and Tukhoom are capable of bold showings, whilst the talented but equally frustrating Ninjago is massively appealing with Hayley Turner booked to ride. However, in reality whilst this is a 'flick of the coin job', the selection has his optimum conditions and is clearly in good form at present.