15:45 Carlisle Wed 12 September 2018

  • Smarkets British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Class 5)
  • 5f 193y, Heavy
  • 11 Runners
  • Winner£4,205.002nd£1,251.003rd£625.004th£313.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 18.05sOff time:15:49:24
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
3
(7)
29-0OR:
33/1

Done little in two starts to suggest she'll be doing anything other than making up the numbers here.

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4
(4)
29-0OR:
66/1

Sent off 125-1 for Newcastle debut and finished last of 12, beaten over 20l. No realistic chance of success here on that.

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5
(9)
29-0OR:
10/3

Has run to a similar level on both starts and has at least shown some ability, having finished a staying-on fourth at Thirsk last time out. That's only moderate form but still makes her one of the main contenders here.

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6
(8)
8/1

Pastoral Pursuits filly that's bred to have a bit of speed but yard rarely have 2yo winners here and even less so first time up. Best watched.

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7
(10)
29-0OR:
16/1

Showed a little bit more on her second start at Ayr, despite only beating one home. Different ground conditions to cope with, and may be one of more interest in nurseries after today.

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8
(6)
29-0OR:
11/4

Kyllachy filly that was getting the hang of things late on her debut at Beverley, finishing midfield. Ought to improve on that and if handling the slower conditions, is one of the more likely ones.

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9
(13)
29-0OR:
100/1

Has only beaten one horse home in two starts, tailed off both times, and looks of limited ability on what we've seen so far.

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10
(11)
8/1

There's some encouragement to be taken from her pedigree that this could be a suitable test on debut but yard just 3-63 with their 2yos here, and that is offputting, even in an event as weak as this.

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11
(5)
29-0OR:
66/1

Sent off 50-1 and 100-1 for her two starts so far and has shown very little. Not hard to look elsewhere for the winner.

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12
(2)
10/3

Stepped up on her Kempton debut when fourth at Chelmsford last time, travelling well but finding less than expected for pressure. Nevertheless, that form makes her the one to beat, so if handling the ground, holds a clear chance.

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13
(1)
29-0OR:
12/1

Some promise on her debut at Thirsk but took a backwards step at Nottingham latest. Step back up to 6f may help, and if getting back on track, could challenge for places in a very modest contest.

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Non-Runners

1
(12)
Caledonia Lass36
29-0OR: -
T: R M SmithJ: Nathan Evans
2
(3)
Cuban Sun74
29-0OR: -
T: J G GivenJ: Non Runner

Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Rosebank (11/4), Musical Sky (10/3), Unbeatable Dancer (10/3), Summer Daydream (8/1), Mythical Pursuits (8/1), War Tigress (12/1), Oh Yes Please (16/1), Cuban Sun (25/1), Fflur (33/1), Lady Shanawell (66/1), Swiss Lady (66/1), Se Green (100/1), Caledonia Lass (100/1)

Verdict

You'll have to go some way to find a weaker novice stakes than this, and the heavy ground only makes it more of a lottery. Something could possibly improve from leftfield and run well at a big price but it's anyone's guess what. Best to stick with those with form and that means MUSICAL SKY and Unbearable Dancer look the pair to concentrate on. Preference is just for the former who has at least shown he acts with some cut, and that sways the vote his way. Unbeatable Dancer will need to dig in better on this ground if she's to come out on top. The Fahey pair of War Tigress and Roseview are others to consider for the places.
  1. Musical Sky
  2. Unbeatable Dancer
  3. War Tigress

Video Replay

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F: 2413-11

T: Ian Williams

Baron Alco

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Most Followed

Lalor

F: 1/23201-

T: Kayley Woollacott

Sceau Royal

F: 9/12111-

T: A King

First Assignment

F: 2413-11

T: Ian Williams

Baron Alco

F: 12122/2

T: G L Moore

The Glancing Queen

F: 1-

T: A King

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