16:45 Ayr

Monday 13 August 2018

All13:3514:0514:4015:1015:4016:1516:4517:15

Western House Hotel Handicap

Off time: 16:47 | Winning time: 1m 0.4s

(1)

Fabric^v³⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Donagh O'Connor⁽³⁾| T: J F Levins| OR: 63| D

14/1

Maiden winner when with Richard Hannon (5f, good) her form in handicaps is fair although she has yet to win one. Not been shown to the best effect in four runs for this yard and is now tried again in a visor after starting slowly last time.

Form: 0300-60

(16)

Eternalist^h⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: Harrison Shaw⁽⁵⁾| T: J S Goldie| OR: 63| D

8/1

This looks easier than the majority of races that she's been contesting having lacked an end product to her races most of the time. Has yet to repeat her winning run at Musselburgh in July off a 3lb lower mark in three subsequent outings.

Form: 341462

(9)

One Boy¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-10| J: G Lee| T: P T Midgley| OR: 61| D

16/1

Stable are excellent with sprinters (won twice in 2017) but he's not been at his best this year so far running well below-par. Continues to fall in the weights but so far hasn't been able to take advantage; will look well weighted if he does.

Form: 774957

(14)

Hot Hannah¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Callum Rodriguez⁽³⁾| T: M Dods| OR: 61| CD

20/1

C&D winner last summer off this same mark she's run two poor races this term separated by a break of 3 months. On the evidence of those two runs she's very hard to support here as she looks to bounce back to form.

Form: 1280-88

(7)

Burmese Blazer^h¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: P J McDonald| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 62

10/1

Form for this yard so far has a rather irregular feel to it although he appeared to appreciate the drop back to 5f last time (first-time hood). Only beaten by one dropping markedly in class; repeat of that run would put him in the mix off 2lb higher.

Form: 5-63452

(10)

First Bombardment^t²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: J Fanning| T: G Elliott| OR: 59| D

7/2

His losing sequence is starting to get to an extended level now (16 runs) but he's started to look to have an attractive mark to work with. Plenty to like about his stable debut here over 6f recently and no surprise to see him involved.

Form: 00308-4

(15)

Our Place In Loule⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Connor Beasley| T: N Wilson| OR: 58| D

9/1

Got his season underway with a win (after a break) at Hamilton over 5f in a lowly grade off a 3lb lower mark. Hasn't quite managed to build on those foundations but has run with credit twice since; needs a career-best to win off this mark.

Form: 0-20144

(3)

Palavicini Run^p¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: Ben Robinson⁽³⁾| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 54| D

40/1

Offered little encouragement when last seen over 5f and has for the most part run poorly over longer trips. Continues to fall in the weights and headgear goes back on but hard to imagine her winning this.

Form: 5-97670

(8)

Pillar^b¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Rowan Scott⁽³⁾| T: A McGuinness| OR: 53| D

9/2

The losing run now stands at 29 but he's now fallen to a level where he should be able to win (1lb above his last wining mark). Well supported last time and looked to be back to form; does need everything to fall right to break that losing run.

Form: 790382

(11)

Dutch Dream³⁴²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-1| J: A Mullen| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 52| D

50/1

One of three runners in the race for the trainer this one looks a rather unlikely winner coming back from a long absence. Was very out of sorts when last seen and best watched in this.

Form: 121779-

(12)

Kibaar¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 51| CD

7/1

Showed improved form when scoring here on his last visit (took advantage of a fall in the weights) winning a weak race but does have a lot of scope in handicapping terms on his old form. Now 6lb higher he remains very well treated on his old form.

Form: 486361

(5)

Redeeming^p¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: Jason Hart| T: E J Alston| OR: 45

10/1

Second to Kibaar over C&D on his last visit he has an even bigger field to try and dominate this time around. Showed plenty of speed last time and off the same mark has a sound chance of figuring at the finish again.

Form: 0-70352

(2)

Brendan¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 8-8| J: Phil Dennis⁽³⁾| T: J S Goldie| OR: 45

20/1

Maiden handicapper who has now had 14 attempts to break his duck in handicaps and has on occasions looked like doing so although he remains a rather ungainly sort. Well behind Kibaar last time and looks to have work to do to reverse the form.

Form: 824430

(13)

Simbas Song^b1,e/s²⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: D E Sheehy⁽⁵⁾| T: A Keatley| OR: 45

16/1

From a yard that are always worth a second glance here she now wears blinkers for the first-time along with eyeshields. There have been some glimmers of ability but she remains a maiden; of interest if there is market support.

Form: 0-93697

(17)

Cheeni^b²

Age: 6| Weight: 8-8| J: Paula Muir⁽⁵⁾| T: J S Goldie| OR: 45| C

33/1

Her only win came here over 6f but that means there are 31 other Flat runs to account for and her record isn't a consistent one. Hard to find much hope in her recent runs and only beat one home here on Saturday night over 6f.

Form: 429900

(6)

House Of Cards¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: Jamie Gormley⁽³⁾| T: I Jardine| OR: 45

33/1

One of two three-year-olds in the field she did show some ability when 3rd over 6f here in July but has run poorly since only beating one rival home in those three outings. Last of 14 behind Kibaar over C&D last time and hard to recommend.

Form: 063900

Non-Runners

(4)

Goninodaethat²

Weight: 8-8| Age: 10

T: J S Goldie J: Andrew Breslin

Forecasts

First Bombardment (7/2), Pillar (9/2), Kibaar (7/1), Eternalist (8/1), Our Place In Loule (9/1), Burmese Blazer (10/1), Redeeming (10/1), Fabric (14/1), Simbas Song (16/1), One Boy (16/1), Brendan (20/1), Hot Hannah (20/1), Goninodaethat (25/1), Cheeni (33/1), House Of Cards (33/1), Palavicini Run (40/1), Dutch Dream (50/1)

The trainers that have won this race between them for the last three years – Jim Goldie and Linda Perratt – have seven runners between them in an attempt to keep that run going with Eternalist and Burmese Blazer their best respective chances. Both will do well to beat KIBAAR though who bids to follow-up his C&D win a couple weeks ago where he had five of today’s rivals behind him. All of those will have a job to reverse the form as Ruth Carr’s charge is still very well weighted on his old form. The other well handicapped runner is First Bombardment who if he can cope with the drop to 5f looks on a competitive mark for his new yard with Pillar another to consider.