15:15 Chelmsford City

Saturday 11 August 2018

All13:3014:0514:4015:1515:5016:2517:00

Bet totetrifecta At totesport.com Fairwood Fillies' Handicap

Off time: 15:16 | Winning time: 1m 24.02s

(7)

Lucymai⁵²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: Jack Duern⁽³⁾| T: D K Ivory| OR: 100| CD

3/1

Goes well here and blasted to an all-the-way win over C&D on her penultimate start. Well held off a revised mark last time but not discounted now she's been dropped 3lb by the handicapper. Personal best still required.

Form: 535217

(8)

Carolinae⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: S Donohoe| T: C Fellowes| OR: 98| CD

7/2

Surprise winner of a Listed race here in June but struggled when upped to a Group 3 latest. This is much more realistic and no surprise to see her bounce back over a C&D that holds no fears for the filly.

Form: 429310

(1)

Rock On Baileys^p²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Lewis Edmunds⁽³⁾| T: C A Dwyer| OR: 102| C

4/1

Hit a rich vein lately and made the most of things to win two small field handicaps. Has also won over 6f at this course but yet to taste success over this intermediate trip.

Form: 576811

(5)

Dubai One²⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Rossa Ryan⁽³⁾| T: S bin Suroor| OR: 92

5/1

Best form up to now has been achieved over 6f but no reason on pedigree that an additional furlong won't suit. Worth a betting check but does need to dig deeper than he has before in terms of overcoming his current mark.

Form: 1-85855

(4)

Juliet Foxtrot^h⁸⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Harry Bentley| T: C Hills| OR: 94| D

8/1

Winner of a novice stakes at Goodwood last season and highly tried subsequently. However, not seen since finishing last in a Listed race at York in May and questions to answer. The betting can guide as to her fitness.

Form: 515-54

(2)

She Believes¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: K T O'Neill| T: S Kirk| OR: 90| D

12/1

Enjoyed a profitable spell last summer but struggled when upped the weights. Recent form suggests she still needs to drop a little further in the weights before she can be confidently recommended.

Form: 1167-40

(3)

Orsera⁷⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-1| J: L Morris| T: P W Chapple-Hyam| OR: 83| BF| D

7/1

Showed promise in two starts last season but not so impressive on seasonal debut at Brighton in May. Possible she needed that run and today's drop in trip will help, so still worth bearing in mind if the market suggests she has been forgiven.

Form: 15-5

Non-Runners

(6)

Whitefountainfairy²⁸

Weight: 8-10| Age: 3

T: A M Balding J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Lucymai (3/1), Carolinae (7/2), Rock On Baileys (4/1), Dubai One (5/1), Orsera (7/1), Juliet Foxtrot (8/1), She Believes (12/1), Whitefountainfairy (14/1)

A chance is taken on CAROLINAE making the most of dropping back into a handicap as she has already proved her ability to handle the surface and has nothing to fear over the trip. Orsera is much likely better than she consented to show on her seasonal return and, therefore, merits consideration on these terms, while Dubai One and Juliet Foxtrot come with risks attached but merit close scrutiny in the betting.