18:10 Ayr

Tuesday 7 August 2018

All17:4018:1018:4519:1519:5020:2020:50

Counselling And Therapies Nursery

Off time: 18:13 | Winning time: 1m 0.54s

(10)

One One Seven⁴³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-8| J: Cam Hardie| T: A Brittain| OR: 61| D

25/1

Won a poor claimer for Amy Murphy and his limitations have been exposed since. Back amongst his peers in a poor race but he still looks a shade too high in the weights based on that Beverley success.

Form: 46108

(3)

Don't Tell Dandy²⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: Connor Beasley| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 60

14/1

Had been making steady progress until racing too freely last time. Down in grade and drawn to get more cover this time.

Form: 67426

(9)

Micronize²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-6| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 59

25/1

Yet to beat a rival in three starts. Comes from a yard that knows what they are doing with two-year-olds but much more needed to make an impact.

Form: 066

(8)

Hey Jazzy Lady⁴⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: G Lee| T: A Crook| OR: 58

18/1

The form of her Catterick fourth would probably be good enough to land this, but she only beat one home next time and she is hard to evaluate.

Form: 640

(7)

Northern Society³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Rowan Scott⁽³⁾| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 58

3/1

Did not see out the extra furlong at Hamilton on Saturday, but finished just behind stable companion Don't Tell Dandy prior to that at the same venue. There is little to separate them on form and a market check is advised.

Form: 0632

(2)

Geography Teacher⁹⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: J Fanning| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 57

11/2

Has not shown much so far but he makes his handicap debut in a weak affair. This is more his level and it will be the first time he has had a sound surface on turf.

Form: 067

(5)

Caramel Curves¹⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-3| J: B A Curtis| T: T D Barron| OR: 56

8/1

Showed plenty of speed in a Ripon seller last time and the third has won since. This looks little better and she looks nicely treated on nursery debut.

Form: 992

(6)

Macho Lady²⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: D Tudhope| T: D O'Meara| OR: 55

5/1

Has looked a short runner in her first three starts but can now go handicapping off a lowly mark. Will get few easier opportunities to show her worth.

Form: 854

(4)

Tobeeornottobee²²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S Donohoe| T: D Carroll| OR: 53

11/4

Improved effort last time despite being trapped out wide and 3lb out of the handicap. Down in grade and has to go on the shortlist.

Form: 98964

(1)

Miss Maben²⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 8-6| J: Jamie Gormley⁽³⁾| T: I Jardine| OR: 45

80/1

Well-beaten at huge odds on each start having been outpaced. Out of the weights here and only an inspired gamble would earn her a second look.

Form: 800

Forecasts

Tobeeornottobee (11/4), Northern Society (3/1), Macho Lady (5/1), Geography Teacher (11/2), Caramel Curves (8/1), Don't Tell Dandy (14/1), Hey Jazzy Lady (18/1), One One Seven (25/1), Micronize (25/1), Miss Maben (80/1)

It is hard to be convinced about any in this but TOBEEORNOTTOBEE is dropped in class having been out of the weights last time when producing a career best. Caramel Curves was beaten in a seller last time, but the third has won since and that form line suggests she is on the right side of the handicapper. The Keith Dalgleish pair, Northern Society and Don't Tell Dandy, are hard to separate judged on their clash at Hamilton. The former has shown the greater improvement since and looks the stronger candidate of the pair.