20:20 Chepstow

Friday 27 July 2018

All17:5018:2018:5019:2019:5020:2020:55

Play At interbet.com Live Casino Handicap

Off time: 20:24 | Winning time: 3m 35.58s

(11)

Ochos Rios¹⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: Rossa Ryan⁽³⁾| T: P D Evans| OR: 59

9/2

Quirky sort whose latest win came on Guernsey in May and showed his best form last time when runner-up to a progressive sort at Newbury. Can be slow away but generally finds for pressure (strong finisher); drops in grade here.

Form: 371292

(8)

Ivanhoe¹²⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 9-9| J: Finley Marsh⁽⁵⁾| T: M Blanshard| OR: 54| D

14/1

A Flat record that reads 2-46 hardly inspires confidence and not seen since running over hurdles in March (showed little). Did manage to finish second over C&D on his last turf Flat start off a 4lb higher mark but may need this and best watched for n

Form: 499280-

(4)

Timoshenko^p⁶^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: L Morris| T: Sir Mark Prescott| OR: 62| C

1/3

From a stable that can often get their handicappers on a real roll and he's been well placed to win three handicaps while only rising 4lb in the handicap. Not tried over 2m yet but should have no problems with the trip upped a further 6lb.

Form: 009-111

(12)

Crindle Carr^b⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: T E Whelan| T: J L Flint| OR: 50| D

25/1

Bounced back to form on the AW over this trip on his penultimate start (off 3lb lower) doing well as he stumbled badly 3f out. Well below-par last time though; left poorly placed in the race and blinkers now replace cheekpieces.

Form: 605419

(10)

Aristocracy³⁰⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: Charles Bishop| T: F O'Brien| OR: 49| C| D

12/1

Course winner who hasn't been seen in this sphere since this time last year when he was 4th over C&D under very different conditions (heavy ground). A winner over hurdles when last seen he does have a fair absence to overcome; chance if ready though.

Form: 006/664-

(6)

Clearance^t¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: David Probert| T: Tim Vaughan| OR: 46

8/1

Produced a performance last time which must rank as a career-best although all-in-all the form is rather modest overall. Kept on well off a basement mark and races here off just a 1lb higher mark; place claims if repeating that win.

Form: 574753

(7)

Bumble Bay^p,h,t¹³

Age: 8| Weight: 9-0| J: Callum Shepherd| T: R Stephens| OR: 45| D

12/1

Last two turf Flat runs have suggested that he could win a race such as this (not well placed last time) and despite a poor hurdles run last time he's not out of this. Always runs in this combination of headgear and not written off on his Flat form.

Form: 0844-36

(13)

Amenhotepthethird^p¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-0| J: Noel Garbutt⁽³⁾| T: Mark Gillard| OR: 45

66/1

Has so far shown very little form and in fact has displayed more temperament than ability; hard to see him getting involved here from 1lb out of the handicap.

Form: 0080-65

Non-Runners

(3)

Iona Island¹¹

Weight: 9-11| Age: 5

T: Jean-Rene Auvray J: M Dwyer

(5)

Casemates Square¹⁵

Weight: 9-4| Age: 4

T: Ian Williams J: J Mitchell

(9)

Royal Hall¹⁵

Weight: 9-0| Age: 6

T: G & J Moore J: S W Kelly

(1)

Dizoard²³

Weight: 9-0| Age: 8

T: I Jardine J: George Downing

(2)

Lyford³⁸

Weight: 8-4| Age: 3

T: S Kirk J: Liam Jones

Forecasts

Timoshenko (1/3), Ochos Rios (9/2), Casemates Square (7/1), Clearance (8/1), Aristocracy (12/1), Bumble Bay (12/1), Ivanhoe (14/1), Lyford (14/1), Dizoard (16/1), Royal Hall (16/1), Crindle Carr (25/1), Iona Island (25/1), Amenhotepthethird (66/1)

Gradually stepping up in trip TIMOSHENKO has the look of a typical improver from this yard who has been well placed avoiding any big increases in his handicap mark with the cheekpieces added last time (retained here) bring about some more improvement. Ochos Rios isn’t an easy ride but he appears genuine enough although he does give himself plenty to do with some slow starts. Aristocracy will be of interest if he’s ready to roll after a 10 month absence while Bumble Bay and Clearance have chances on their recent form of hitting the frame again.