14:30 Ayr

Monday 16 July 2018

All14:0014:3015:0515:3516:0516:4017:10

Wemyss Bay Holiday Park Handicap

Off time: 14:33 | Winning time: 1m 13.13s

(3)

B Fifty Two^v¹⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 9-12| J: Harrison Shaw⁽⁵⁾| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife| OR: 70| D

17/2

Used to be pretty classy on his day. Won off 1lb lower at Pontefract back in April but has struggled off higher marks since. Should run well in this grade, but vulnerable off top-weight.

Form: 553940

(7)

Naples Bay^p1³²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Callum Rodriguez⁽³⁾| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 63| CD

5/2

Took advantage of his falling handicap mark to score over C&D penultimate start and had been slowly running himself into form before that, so it wasn't unexpected. Just 4lb higher, with cheekpieces on first-time, should be challenging.

Form: 609-318

(5)

Jessie Allan⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-3| J: George Downing| T: J S Goldie| OR: 61| CD

33/1

Finally off the mark when scoring at Redcar in May from 6lb out of the weights and then made it two in a row over C&D. Took 41 starts to get off the mark and been poor since, handicapper may remain in control.

Form: 511505

(1)

Revenge^p²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 64| BF| D

5/2

Maiden on turf after eight starts (1-7 on the AW), he's made the frame in each of his last four starts, second the previous three over 5f/6f. Wouldn't be winning out of turn.

Form: 532022

(4)

Star Cracker^p⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: Phil Dennis⁽³⁾| T: J S Goldie| OR: 59| C| D

12/1

Standing dish here this season with five runs over 5f/6f since May, competitive in all of those but hasn't really looked like winning despite plenty market support on occasion in this grade.

Form: 225644

(9)

Burmese Blazer²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: P Hanagan| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 62

14/1

Promising on second start for this handler over 5f at Musselburgh this month but didn't back that up over 5f at Hamilton on Saturday. Hard to trust him for now.

Form: 705-634

(8)

Brendan⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 8-7| J: Andrew Breslin⁽⁷⁾| T: J S Goldie| OR: 45

20/1

Quirky long standing maiden who whilst he can produce some creditable runs rarely puts two together. Back to his best when close second over 5f here a week ago, then failed to back that up 24 hours later, 6lb wrong on these terms.

Form: 8-65824

(2)

Erastus^p¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-3| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 52

7/1

Often seen travelling well in his races but there is always a doubt as to whether he will go through with his effort. Has made the frame in four of his last six starts and expected to mount a challenge here.

Form: 222355

(6)

House Of Cards⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: J Fanning| T: I Jardine| OR: 47

10/1

Lightly-raced filly, better effort when third over C&D latest, gives her some hope though case not helped by being 4lb out of the handicap here.

Form: 079063

Forecasts

Revenge (5/2), Naples Bay (5/2), Erastus (7/1), B Fifty Two (17/2), House Of Cards (10/1), Star Cracker (12/1), Burmese Blazer (14/1), Brendan (20/1), Jessie Allan (33/1)

He remains a maiden but ERASTUS has gone close over this trip on similar ground more than once since joining Ruth Carr this term. He travels well in his races and should be getting his head in front soon at this level. Revenge has been running consistent races of late and looks sure to challenge again while B Fifty Two ought to competitive in the grade, though is conceding weight all round. C&D winner Naples Bay is given a chance back here while House Of Cards is not ruled out, despite poor terms.