15:30 Killarney

Sunday 15 July 2018

All13:5014:2515:0015:3016:0516:3517:10

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cairn Rouge Stakes (Fillies' Listed)

Off time: 15:32 | Winning time: 1m 43.24s

(3)

Bella Estrella⁴⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Declan McDonogh| T: D K Weld| OR: 95| CD

12/1

Only three starts, two wins including over C&D, 4½ lengths fourth of six behind Turret Rocks in Listed race at Gowran (1m1½f, good to firm) on seasonal return, having been hampered. Should improve.

Form: 11-4

(5)

Belle Boyd²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: W J Lee| T: W McCreery| OR: 97| D

8/1

Decent effort when neck second of 13 to Carolinae in Listed race at Chelmsford City (7f, AW) recently, this is tough and likely demands career-best effort.

Form: 2123-32

(8)

Clear Skies¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: J A Heffernan| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 104

7/1

Useful mare with five wins from 19 Flat runs having been progressive on the AW at Dundalk over the winter. Capable of challenging back down into Listed company, albeit might prefer a bit further.

Form: 033205

(4)

Panstarr⁶⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: K J Manning| T: J S Bolger| OR: 100

14/1

In good form last year but all her best efforts have come with cut in the ground and while she's likely got a race such as this in her at some point and can enjoy the drop in class here, there's a suspicion conditions have gone against her.

Form: 1134-25

(1)

Petticoat¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: S Foley| T: M Halford| OR: 102| D

11/4

Produced a career-best when winning 10-runner handicap at the Curragh (7f, good to firm) 15 days ago (Most Gifted 2½L second). Potentially still on the upgrade and worth a crack in this company.

Form: 1437-61

(2)

Rickrack⁶⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: C O'Donoghue| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 87| D

20/1

Winner over extended-mile at Cork (soft) in October for this trainer and rates a solid handicapper, connections would be thrilled to make the frame today, in all probability that won't happen.

Form: 7213-22

(10)

Damselfly^t⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: N G McCullagh| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 100

33/1

Running well this season, bit to find with Clear Skies on Gowran meeting in May, ran well last Sunday in Group 3 fare over 7f at Fairyhouse as a 50/1 chance (third of seven) but this is arguably a stronger race.

Form: 908533

(9)

Hence⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: P B Beggy| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 100| D

14/1

Modest 101-rated handicapper who won a Curragh 1m contest in May. Can go well but may find one or two quicker in this contest having been beaten in 7f Group 3 at Fairyhouse a week ago.

Form: 642195

(7)

Most Gifted^t⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Wayne Lordan| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 99

6/1

Has been beaten by a couple of these recently (Hence, Petticoat) and didn't need to improve in winning over 6f at Naas last week. Stamina must be proven over this longer trip and others appeal more despite vaunted connections.

Form: 318321

(6)

Ship Of Dreams^t²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: D O'Brien| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 100

3/1

AW maiden winner at Dundalk over 7f in January, essentially has progressed on turf this term without winning, running against some strong rivals and doing well. Far from disgraced in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot, contender for Derby-winning duo.

Form: 162726

Forecasts

Petticoat (11/4), Ship Of Dreams (3/1), Most Gifted (6/1), Clear Skies (7/1), Belle Boyd (8/1), Bella Estrella (12/1), Hence (14/1), Panstarr (14/1), Rickrack (20/1), Damselfly (33/1)

Ship Of Dreams has been progressive on turf this season without getting her head in front in four starts. She ran well at Royal Ascot and must hold sound claims with the weight-for-age allowance here. The O'Brien's account for half of the ten entered, with Clear Skies the most likely of the Ballydoyle trio, though this test might be sharp enough for her. Bella Estrella is a potential improver but there may also be more to come from recent Curragh winner PETTICOAT. She did it nicely over 7f there and will be tough to crack if getting to the front late on.