14:15 Newton Abbot

Friday 6 July 2018

All13:4014:1514:5015:2015:5516:3017:05

Betfair Supporting Racing Welfare Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 14:16 | Winning time: 6m 56.80s

Petrou²¹

Age: 8| Weight: 11-12| J: Harry Skelton| T: D Skelton| OR: 130| BF

3/1

Reverts back to hurdles after some goof efforts over fences, although has found winning one tricky. Trip and ground fine and a slightly lower mark to work from, so with yard still in excellent form, has to be one to consider.

Form: 2244-32

Lillian²⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 11-5| J: Kevin Jones⁽⁵⁾| T: J W Mullins| OR: 123| CD

11/1

Progressive last year when gamely landing a couple of handicap hurdles under conditions similar to today's, shaped nicely on reappearance at Southwell last month (weakened late) and if fitter for that, could easily get back to winning ways here.

Form: 21136-9

Kentford Heiress³¹

Age: 8| Weight: 11-4| J: Daniel Sansom⁽⁵⁾| T: J W Mullins| OR: 122| C| D

10/1

Has found her form in a big way, winning back-to-back handicaps at Uttoxeter and Southwell and handicapper hasn't overreacted, putting her up just 7lb for them. Track trip and ground all fine and can't be ruled out in such rude health.

Form: 124-511

Bodega^p¹⁵

Age: 10| Weight: 11-2| J: T J O'Brien| T: Ian Williams| OR: 120| BF| D

7/1

Seems to follow a good run with a bad one, so perhaps his flop when made favourite at Ffos Las last time wasn't to be unexpected after an easy win at Market Rasen the time before. This mark means he needs to find a bit more improvement.

Form: 141/615

Join The Clan^p⁴⁷

Age: 9| Weight: 11-2| J: Aidan Coleman| T: J & A O'Neill| OR: 120| D

10/1

Has plenty of ability but difficult to win with, and like many from the yard, predicting when a good run is coming is a game in itself. Conditions fine and comes here off the back of a solid effort at Stratford but no guarantees of backing it up.

Form: 440P5-2

Very Extravagant^p³⁸⁰

Age: 9| Weight: 10-12| J: T Scudamore| T: N P Mulholland| OR: 116| D

50/1

Nicely handicapped now, being 1lb lower than her last win (back in 2016) but hasn't been seen out for over a year, and yard struggling for winners at present. Best watched.

Form: 1PF4/6P-

Western Sunrise¹⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 10-3| J: Sam Twiston-Davies| T: J Farrelly| OR: 107| BF| C

9/1

Just the one win in 19 starts but on the plus side, that did come here (back in 2016) and she comes into this off the back of two second place finishes at Ffos Las and Uttoxeter. Slight question mark over trip, but that aside, holds a chance.

Form: 366U-22

Mr Mafia¹¹

Age: 9| Weight: 10-3| J: Harry Stock⁽⁵⁾| T: M Keighley| OR: 107

6/4

Has really turned a corner for his new yard, rattling off a hat-trick in quick time and looking a reformed character. Goes up in grade and trip here, both of which ask a new question, but very hard to discount given current form.

Form: 045-111

Amron Kali^t²⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 10-0| J: P J Brennan| T: P Henderson| OR: 102

33/1

Won a couple of lower-grade handicaps last year but has done little since then, and hard to make much of a case for after a couple of lacklustre efforts this spring. Others readily preferred.

Form: 0P9-28P

Forecasts

Mr Mafia (6/4), Petrou (3/1), Bodega (7/1), Western Sunrise (9/1), Kentford Heiress (10/1), Join The Clan (10/1), Lillian (11/1), Amron Kali (33/1), Very Extravagant (50/1)

With a recent run under her belt, better can be expected from LILLIAN here and she can be tough to pass on a going day. This track suits her well and she can get back to winning ways. Petrou keeps picking up the place money and should do so again here. With Mr Mafia likely to find it tougher here, preference for the minor money goes to Kentford Heiress.