17:45 Chelmsford City

Thursday 5 April 2018

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45

Bet placepot At totesport.com Fillies' Novice Stakes

Off time: 17:47 | Winning time: 1m 39.43s

(5)

Shanakill Star³³⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Rosie Jessop⁽³⁾| T: Miss J Ellis

100/1

Started at 50/1 on her only outing so far and looked very much one for the longer term after being slowly away over a mile in a Yarmouth maiden. Never landed a blow there and likely to need this.

Form: 7-

(9)

Tennessee Belle¹⁹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: L Morris| T: J Tate

20/1

Only has two very modest maiden runs over a mile on the AW to her name and looked very green here last time. Now returns from a winter break and may be capable of better but does have a bit to learn yet.

Form: 77-

(2)

Dancing Brave Bear¹⁰⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: S Donohoe| T: E F Vaughan

4/7

Wasn't a cheap purchase ($230,000 yearling) so perhaps it wasn't a surprise that she was able to make a winning debut despite starting at 20/1. Yard are hardly prolific with newcomers so there may well be some improvement to come now upped to a mile.

Form: 1-

(1)

Astolat¹²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: P Cosgrave| T: E Walker

14/1

Came on from her debut when finishing in mid-field over a mile on Tapeta in December and needs this run for a mark with handicaps over further looking her best option. Expected to show a little more again with handicapping the ultimate goal.

Form: 75-

(8)

Bescaby

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Jason Watson⁽⁷⁾| T: R Brisland

33/1

Newcomer who is a half-sister to three winners including a winner at up to 1m2f. Her dam was a winner at up to 1m4f and this might prove a little sharp for her on debut.

Form:

(4)

Dillie Dallie²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Hayley Turner| T: George Scott

20/1

Had just the one outing when with Henry Spiller over 7f on the AW but showed very little for her new yard here over 7f after a break. Always behind more is needed now with hopes pinned on a step up to a mile for improvement.

Form: 4-9

(7)

Lait Au Chocolat⁵⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan

33/1

Looked green and never really threatened when making her debut over 7f at Newcastle being slowly away and making very little impression. From a good yard though and quite possible she could show more second time out.

Form: 0

(3)

Tamaara

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: S De Sousa| T: R Varian

11/2

Hails from a top yard making her debut here out of dam who was an unraced half-sister to a Group 2 winner at up to 1m2f and Listed winner at 1m6f. Makes some appeal on pedigree but may need a stiffer test to be seen at her best.

Form:

(6)

Trump Alexander¹⁹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A Watson

7/2

Formerly with Richard Hannon she was well fancied on her second run after a promising debut but went backwards from that initial outing. Now with a new yard she makes her AW debut and is worth another chance to confirm her early promise.

Form: 58-

Forecasts

Dancing Brave Bear (4/7), Trump Alexander (7/2), Tamaara (11/2), Astolat (14/1), Tennessee Belle (20/1), Dillie Dallie (20/1), Bescaby (33/1), Lait Au Chocolat (33/1), Shanakill Star (100/1)

Hardly a strong event and even with a penalty DANCING BRAVE BEAR is given a sound chance of following up her win at Lingfield with this extra furlong expected to suit. Plenty of these will be looking for handicap marks soon so the main dangers are seen as the newcomer Tamaara and Trump Alexander who looks the sort with some potential to bounce back from a poor second run after showing up well on her debut.