14:50 Southwell

Tuesday 6 March 2018

All14:2014:5015:2015:5016:2016:5017:20

Read Richard Johnson On Betway Insider Blog Handicap

Off time: 14:51 | Winning time: 2m 40.23s

(1)

Up Ten Down Two^t⁷⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 9-7| J: Nathan Evans| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 65| D

7/1

Halted his poor form when taking advantage of a drop back into 0-65 grade that had seen him successful previously. Those wins came over 2m and he may well be helped by stepping up a little in distance here having proved himself on this surface.

Form: 796783-

(7)

Lean On Pete⁴²

Age: 9| Weight: 9-6| J: A Mullen| T: Ollie Pears| OR: 64| C| D

4/1

A consistent sort on Fibresand he's finished second on both his tries over C&D having won twice over a furlong shorter trip here. Ran well last time when runner-up behind a well-handicapped sort and should go well again.

Form: 42021-2

(6)

Avocet^p⁷^{(ex 6)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: L Morris| T: O Murphy| OR: 55| CD

11/10

Not been long with this in form yard long but has already recorded back-to-back wins on her last two starts, the first over C&D off a 15lb lower mark. Both wins have come in a lowly grade and this is tougher but hard to ignore even under a penalty.

Form: 60-3511

(3)

Ochos Rios⁴⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Fran Berry| T: P D Evans| OR: 60| BF| C

9/2

Now back with his previous yard after a sojourn with Neil Mulholland he has won here over 1m3f when turning in a remarkable effort to win after blowing the start and looking a hard ride. Repeated the trick here last time out and won't want to be on the backfoot in this better company.

Form: 0033/1-5

(5)

Mr Frankie¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-10| J: E J Walsh⁽³⁾| T: R Brotherton| OR: 54

40/1

Has already been around the block and is already with his 5th yard but his overall career record of 1/29 probably tells the story. Well held on his first run for this yard over today's trip and his one previous run here was modest; makes little appeal.

Form: 72957-0

(2)

Go On Gal²⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: Shelley Birkett⁽³⁾| T: Miss J Feilden| OR: 53| CD

16/1

Her form here and more specifically over this trip is very consistent (23213) and her penultimate run over this trip saw her face little luck in running. Not quite in the same form on a different surface last time (ran too free) and may well come back to life on Fibresand.

Form: 514-436

(4)

Simply Clever¹²

Age: 5| Weight: 8-7| J: Josephine Gordon| T: D H Brown| OR: 46

50/1

Career form figures on Fibresand read 454263 with the third coming over this trip last time out. It is though modest form and she never really threatened and looked a hard ride for much of the way; needs others to underperform to take a hand.

Form: 88-3963

Forecasts

Avocet (11/10), Lean On Pete (4/1), Ochos Rios (9/2), Up Ten Down Two (7/1), Go On Gal (16/1), Mr Frankie (40/1), Simply Clever (50/1)

Olly Murphy is building a good reputation with horses that he gains from other yards and AVOCET looks to be another one having won her last two and proved herself on this surface and she looks hard to beat under a penalty. Up Ten Down Two will prove a worthy opponent though as he looked back to form last time and this extra furlong will suit him. Lean On Pete can’t be discounted either with his last four Fibresand starts yielding form figures of 2212 and he ran into an improver last time. Go On Gal is consistent here but may find a couple too strong for her here while Ochos Rios needs to start far better to have a chance as he won’t find these easy to catch if he gives them lengths from the stalls.