20:30 Chelmsford City

Thursday 25 January 2018

All17:5518:3019:0019:3020:0020:3021:00

Bet toteWIN At betfred.com Fillies' Novice Stakes

Off time: 20:32 | Winning time: 1m 26.49s

(2)

The Mums^b1⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 81

9/4

Knocking on the door, beaten less than a length on her last three outings and although it's hard to knock her form on paper, she's clearly vulnerable under a penalty here. Should be on the premises but no good thing.

Form: 16733-3

(9)

Belated Breath

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Charlie Bennett⁽³⁾| T: H Morrison

28/1

Bred to do well over this sort of a trip but the yard's horses inevitably take time to find their feet, so likely to need this experience. Yard do have a good record with their 3-y-o's here though, so a bit of market support would help her cause.

Form:

(7)

Catskill Flyer

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: S Donohoe| T: E F Vaughan

16/1

Yard 2-15 with their 3-y-o's here, this one is related to a few winners (including one on the all weather) but she's one that is likely to benefit from the outing. Best watched.

Form:

(5)

Flora Tristan^h⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Gabriele Malune⁽⁷⁾| T: M Botti

16/1

Two starts so far have revealed little, looking short of pace last time, likely to want a bit further than this and will be of more interest once going handicapping.

Form: 5-8

(8)

Kaaba Stone¹⁴¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Callum Shepherd⁽³⁾| T: D M Simcock

4/1

Did better on her second run at Chepstow, staying on in pleasing fashion late in the day to grab third and this step up in trip will suit on breeding. Chance if ready to go after a break, and to that end, market should be informative.

Form: 63-

(1)

No More Thrills⁹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Tom Marquand| T: R HannonWS

5/2

Has run to a similar level in two all weather maidens last year, has had a wind operation since last seen and yard have a 14% strike rate with their 3-y-o's here, so some positives. May need this after a break though, so others preferred.

Form: 36-

(6)

Tough Lass¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: K T O'Neill| T: G Peckham

50/1

Like many from the yard, she seems to be learning her trade on the track and hasn't shown enough in a couple of starts to think she's up to troubling the judge here.

Form: 0-6

(4)

Traumatised⁴⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby

100/1

Tailed off at a big price on her only start to date at Southwell and no realistic chance of success on that here.

Form: 0-

(3)

Zadorra

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: P J McDonald| T: C & M Johnston

9/2

Bred to be decent, dam a half-sister to the useful Plum Pudding. Yard are 11% with their 3-y-o's here and any newcomer they introduce is always to be respected. Market likely to tell us what's expected.

Form:

Forecasts

The Mums (9/4), No More Thrills (5/2), Kaaba Stone (4/1), Zadorra (9/2), Flora Tristan (16/1), Catskill Flyer (16/1), Belated Breath (28/1), Tough Lass (50/1), Traumatised (100/1)

The Mums has the form in the bank but she's clearly susceptible to anything with improvement, or a good newcomer. ZADORRA might be good enough at the first time of asking if she knows her job - she's bred to be smart, and if attracting a bit of market support, that would indicate she's ready to go well tonight. Kaaba Stone was going the right way when last seen, and will do better. Belated Breath is another that's worth a market check.