13:00 Nottingham

Wednesday 1 November 2017

All12:3013:0013:3014:0014:3015:0015:3016:00

EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 2)

Off time: 13:01 | Winning time: 1m 45.94s

(2)

Agar's Plough¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: D Tudhope| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 79| BF

10/1

Looked green and in need of this trip on his first two starts before quicker ground had him in trouble against better opposition last time. Stable's horses are going well and he has to be considered a serious contender.

Form: 725

(1)

Chikoko Trail¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Charles Bishop| T: M R Channon

100/1

Related to plenty of winners but made an inauspicious debut and finds himself in what appears to be a hotter race.

Form: 8

(6)

Come On Tier²³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Jim Crowley| T: D M Simcock

5/1

Raced keenly and found trouble in running on debut three weeks ago. That did not look a strong race and the time backed up that view. Nevertheless, runners from this yard do improve for a run and the jockey has a 22% strike rate for them.

Form: 3

(9)

Dawn Dancer

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding

40/1

Dawn Approach half-brother to the ill-fated Ballet Concerto and French 2000 Guineas runner-up Havane Smoker. Yard took this in 2015 and one to check in the market.

Form:

(4)

Ispolini^t1

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: James Doyle| T: C Appleby

8/11

Cost 1.2m gns as a yearling by Dubawi out of a US Grade 2 winner who has also produced the useful Playful Sound. Yard have an exceptional group of juveniles and Godolphin have enjoyed success in this event previously.

Form:

(10)

Petit Palais

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden

14/1

220,000 gns Champs Elysees half-brother to 2000 Guineas winner Galileo Gold. Represents a yard that have successfully targeted this race in previous years, notably with the horse this race is named after.

Form:

(3)

Rich Identity²⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: J Mitchell| T: R Varian| BF

3/1

Latest effort when rolled over at short odds has to be considered disappointing given the promise shown on debut. The extra furlong should help but he may vulnerable to a decent newcomer in what looks the stronger division of this event.

Form: 23

(5)

Seaborough¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: F Sweeney| T: A King

100/1

Yard took this in 2015 but otherwise hard to pick out any positives based on his two AW efforts so far.

Form: 69

(8)

The Lincoln Lawyer

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: F Norton| T: C & M Johnston

40/1

Son of Lawman fetched €40,000 as a yearling and the third foal of a dam who was successful at Listed level and who has produced one middle-distance winner. Yard have had a good year with this age group and the market should be instructive.

Form:

(7)

Trevithick

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: G Lee| T: B Smart

100/1

Champs Elysees colt who cost 13,000 gns as a yearling and half-brother to one winner. Stable have had a relatively quiet year and are just 3-70 with this age group in 2017.

Form:

Forecasts

Ispolini (8/11), Rich Identity (3/1), Come On Tier (5/1), Agar's Plough (10/1), Petit Palais (14/1), The Lincoln Lawyer (40/1), Dawn Dancer (40/1), Chikoko Trail (100/1), Trevithick (100/1), Seaborough (100/1)

The market will be informative as to the prospects of the newcomers Ispolini and Petit Palais. Both have excellent pedigrees and represent connections with a history in this whose juveniles are in excellent form. The percentage call is for an each-way wager on AGAR'S PLOUGH who should be seen to better effect over this trip and if the ground remains on the soft side. His Ascot second suggested he would have little difficulty in landing a maiden and conditions are more favourable than at York last time. Rich Identity was disappointing at Redcar but that was a fast run race in which he missed the break and he may prove that form to be misleading.