17:10 Ayr

Thursday 12 October 2017

All14:0014:3015:0515:3516:0516:4017:10

William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

Off time: 17:12 | Winning time: 2m 7.66s

(7)

Dwight D¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: P Mathers| T: W Coltherd| OR: 77| D

50/1

Won a Wolverhampton maiden (1m½f, AW) last year when with William Haggas and was competitive from marks in the mid-80s in turf handicaps. Not so this season, however, since joining this yard and remains to be seen if another 3lb drop will help.

Form: 5635-00

(9)

Mustaqbal^p⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-1| J: Callum Rodriguez⁽³⁾| T: M Dods| OR: 65| C

7/2

Scored here over 1m (soft) last week, despite dwelling at the start. 1lb lower going into this, but although he ran on well that day, he has yet to convince over further than 1m and carries risks on stamina grounds for those playing.

Form: 773831

(10)

Infamous Lawman¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: D Tudhope| T: D O'Meara| OR: 67

4/1

Has put together a string of similar efforts, though none has yet come close to being good enough to win a race. Goes into this on the same mark as when beaten over 6L at Beverley (1m½f, soft) last time, so needs improvement to break his maiden.

Form: 53365

(5)

Chinese Spirit¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: P J McDonald| T: R M Smith| OR: 67| C

6/1

Scored here over 1m (good to soft) in August from 2lb lower. Handles soft ground, though has only raced on heavy when last on his debut. May just be in the grip of the assessor already, though return to this sort of trip may help.

Form: 440147

(8)

Dellaguista¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: A Mullen| T: T D Easterby| OR: 65

9/1

Another former William Haggas inmate who won a Lingfield maiden (7f, AW) for that trainer in December, but could not add a handicap before joining current yard. Dropped 3lb since last run, when she appeared to handle heavy. Not ruled out.

Form: 384576

(3)

Spes Nostra^b³⁷

Age: 9| Weight: 8-10| J: P Hanagan| T: I Jardine| OR: 60| C| D

22/1

Has a soft ground turf win to his name (1m2f). Is better on the All Weather and a very poor run of turf form has seen him drop 19lb since a Newcastle win in May. Eyecatching jockey booking but otherwise little chance on recent form.

Form: 098077

(2)

Cliff Bay⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: J Fanning| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 63| C

7/2

Both his win have come from a mark of 63, including here last time over 1m (soft). Escapes a penalty for that apprentice success and if he can handle the forecast heavy conditions as well then he has every chance.

Form: 555431

(6)

Bo Bridget²⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: J P Sullivan| T: A Murray| OR: 57

7/2

0-14 so far but has been creeping closer to success in Ireland this year and put up her best effort since her 2015 debut when a 1½L third at Gowran Park (1m, soft/heavy) last time. Has to be much respected from just 2lb higher.

Form: 0-23733

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to board prices only - deduction 10p in the pound

Non-Runners

(4)

She's Pukka²⁴

Weight: 9-3| Age: 3

T: I Jardine J: G Lee

(1)

Riviere Argentee²

Weight: 8-12| Age: 3

T: K R Burke J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Cliff Bay (7/2), Mustaqbal (7/2), Bo Bridget (7/2), Infamous Lawman (4/1), She's Pukka (9/2), Chinese Spirit (6/1), Dellaguista (9/1), Spes Nostra (22/1), Riviere Argentee (25/1), Dwight D (50/1)

Mustaqbal will be popular after winning last time, though this extra furlong looks likely to stretch him, while She's Pukka probably has claims, though she didn't beat much on debut and will need to have come on a fair bit from that to follow up. Preference, therefore, is for CLIFF BAY, who escapes a penalty for winning last time and can repeat the dose from this mark. Irish raider Bo Bridget had to be respected, while Dellaguista would be very interesting if supported.