16:05 Ayr
Thursday 12 October 2017
All14:0014:3015:0515:3516:0516:4017:10
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- 3YO plus | Class 6 | 1m 5f 26y | Heavy | 10 Runners | Turf | Weighed In
- Off time: 16:05 | Winning time: 3m 11.29s
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
French maiden winner (1m3f, heavy) last year, but unable to win a handicap either there or on these shores and also struggled so far over hurdles. Can't be recommended until we have seen more from him.
1-17, his sole win being at Haydock (1m2f, soft) last year for Richard Hannon. Has slid 15lb in five runs for this yard so far this year and not sure the latest 5lb drop and a step up to this trip will work the oracle.
Returned from a break to run second at both Musselburgh (1m4½f, good to firm) and Yarmouth (1m3½f, good to firm) in August. Again went well on the All Weather last time and the return to this grade gives him a serious chance of a maiden success.
Sole win to date was on soft at Leicester (1m4f) in May when just 3lb lower. Since gelded and perhaps did a bit too much from the front on heavy at Haydock last time. Arguably still unexposed and you can definitely make a case for him.
Scored over 1m6f at Wetherby (soft) in June from today's mark. Form has not been as strong since, including back on this mark over 2m last time, but he does tend to pop up with a better effort every few starts and you couldn't rule that out today.
Came the closest she has to winning when beaten just a neck at Thirsk (1m4f, good) in August and has not been far from that form in three out of four starts since. Trip shouldn't be an issue and back in this grade with a 3lb drop she has claims.
0-12 but has shown a reasonable level of form in the context of this race so far this season. Stays 1m4f and acts on good to soft, though still to prove he handles it any softer. Likely to need to be at his best to win from this mark.
It's now over two years since his sole success at Hamilton (1m3f, good), which came from a stone higher mark. Has not often threatened a repeat since then and at 2lb higher than when a 1½L fourth at Thirsk in July, others make more appeal.
Yet to make the frame in 15 starts and no surprise to find him 6lb out of the handicap after several thrashings recently both on the Flat and over hurdles. Impossible to recommend him as a betting medium.
Very moderate form so far in maidens and handicaps. Optimists might give him a squeak of making the frame based on his first of two runs here in August (1m2f, good), but flopped when favourite on first start for this yard last time.
Non-Runners
8
(4)
Traditional Dancer11
Weight: 8-11| Age: 5
T: I Jardine J: Jamie Gormley
NR
Forecasts
King Of Scotland (15/8), Eyreborn (5/1), Traditional Dancer (5/1), Red Star Dancer (6/1), Mambo Dancer (13/2), Druid's Diamond (7/1), Adherence (9/1), Celtic Power (25/1), Main Fact (40/1), Glance My Way (40/1), Rob's Legacy (66/1)
It is possible that Red Star Dancer simply got stuck in the mud when made favourite at Carlisle last time and you couldn't rule out a much better effort here, given the confidence in him that day. However, he looks risky and the suggestion is KING OF SCOTLAND, who has a soft ground win to his name, should see this out and may prove to be a little bit better than he has let on so far. Mambo Dancer looks like being a serious danger, while others to consider are Eyreborn, Traditional Dancer and the inconsistent Adherence.
- King Of Scotland
- Mambo Dancer
- Traditional Dancer
Prize Money
1st: £2,588.002nd: £770.003rd: £385.004th: £192.00
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