15:35 Newmarket

Friday 29 September 2017

All13:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:4517:20

Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2)

Off time: 15:36 | Winning time: 1m 38.67s

(3)

Sovereign Debt²⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 9-7| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 114| D

14/1

Rattled off a hat-trick this campaign, following up a win on AW Championships Finals Day with two Group wins. Form has dipped a little since and may struggle to concede a penalty to this field.

Form: 111534

(7)

Custom Cut^p²⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 9-4| J: D Tudhope| T: D O'Meara| OR: 107| CD

33/1

Seven-time Group winner in his career and ended a long losing run with a Group 3 win at Leopardstown earlier in the campaign. Plenty more needed in Group 2 company though, as seen when last of seven back at Leopardstown last month.

Form: 178237

(1)

Jallota²⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: J P Spencer| T: C Hills| OR: 110| C

20/1

Course winner in 2013 whose latest success came in a Group 3 at Chantilly over a year ago. Out of form this year in generally weaker events that this and not certain to appreciate the step back up in class for a yard a little out of form.

Form: 203845

(4)

Mustashry³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Jim Crowley| T: Sir Michael Stoute| OR: 112| D

7/2

Improving at a rate of knots in recent times and produced a career best at York last time out (had Sovereign Debt in behind). Capable of making his presence felt here and should run well provided he copes with what may be softer conditions.

Form: 124-011

(5)

Whisky Baron²⁴⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: Greg Cheyne| T: Brett Crawford| D

20/1

Rattled off a five-timer in South Africa, culminating with a win in Group 1 company last time. Interesting runner if he's ready to go after an absence having spent the last three months in quarantine but yard have voiced concerns over soft ground.

Form: 4111-11

(6)

Beat The Bank⁵⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A M Balding| OR: 114| C| D

11/8

Won four of his five starts and didn't need to improve to win a weak Group 3 at the Goodwood Festival last time. Ground versatile and shapes like he may be even better over further. He will need a career best to win this though.

Form: 11011

(9)

Sir John Lavery²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R L Moore| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 111| BF| D

3/1

Listed winner at Cork, improving for the drop back to this trip and unsuited by the way the race developed at Leopardstown last time out. Could be more to come and likely to be finishing with a rattle. Trainer and jockey won this last year.

Form: 31-6914

(8)

Whitecliffsofdover^b,t²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: S M Levey| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 107| C

20/1

Course winner at the start of the campaign and ran well here towards the end of last year. Unplaced on all recent efforts though, including last time when a place behind his stablemate and likely to be on pacemaking duties here.

Form: 130745

Non-Runners

(2)

Zonderland³⁴

Weight: 9-4| Age: 4

T: C G Cox J: A Kirby

Forecasts

Beat The Bank (11/8), Sir John Lavery (3/1), Mustashry (7/2), Zonderland (7/2), Sovereign Debt (14/1), Jallota (20/1), Whisky Baron (20/1), Whitecliffsofdover (20/1), Custom Cut (33/1)

Aidan O'Brien won this contest last year with Cougar Mountain and Sir John Lavery should go close for the yard this time around if he gets more luck in the run that he got last time. However, preference is for the improving MUSTASHRY after a smart effort at York last time out and with trainer, Sir Michael Stoute in good form at present, his four-year-old may be able to improve past his rivals here. Zonderland is another with few miles on the clock and he could be bang there if he takes a step forward from his come back run. However, Beat The Bank looks the main danger for an in form yard and his versatility from a ground, and from a tactics perspective, makes him a solid option.