15:00 Newbury

Saturday 19 August 2017

All13:2013:5014:2515:0015:3516:0516:4017:15

Betfred TV Ladies Day Handicap (Str)

Off time: 15:01 | Winning time: 1m 28.06s

(11)

Squats²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: Georgia Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: W J Haggas| OR: 95

7/1

Not won since 2014 and beaten badly out of form this season but handicapper has given him a real chance here dropping him 7lb and gets the services of a useful 5lb claimer. Expected to go well.

Form: 43-0000

(10)

Ionization⁴⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: T P O'Shea| T: J P Shanahan| OR: 93

8/1

Won twice last year but is heading up the handicap without winning this campaign and while she's a consistent sort, she will find this tougher than her most recent assignments.

Form: 1-93223

(13)

Fighting Temeraire³¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: R Winston| T: D K Ivory| OR: 93| D

10/1

Won off a 4lb higher mark last year but has generally struggled up in class and unplaced on two outings this time around. Needs to improve as the handicapper is refusing to relent.

Form: 220165-

(3)

Mountain Rescue¹⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: Ted Durcan| T: C F Wall| OR: 91| D

4/1

Back to form with a win last time out but hiked back up in the handicap as a result and he's struggled off marks lower than this in the past. Any soft in the going description probably not to his liking and others arrive with stronger claims.

Form: 077621

(5)

Sir Roderic^t¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: David Probert| T: B R Millman| OR: 90| D

10/1

Won five times last year but out of form this time around and well beaten when last seen at Goodwood. Back down to his last winning mark now but opposable in current mood.

Form: 305800

(9)

Theodorico¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Josephine Gordon| T: D Loughnane| OR: 90| D

8/1

Won twice earlier in the season and back to form with a win at Thirsk last time out. This is tougher and may struggle from a 4lb higher mark.

Form: 104761

(1)

Noble Peace¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: M Harley| T: H Candy| OR: 87| D

4/1

Impressive winner at Goodwood earlier in the year and running well in defeat since off his revised mark. Others may be better handicapped but solid each-way chance with him in good order.

Form: 501352

(16)

Graphite Storm²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Jim Crowley| T: C G Cox| OR: 87| CD

8/1

Followed up his maiden victory with a C&D win at the back end of last year. Disappointing on three of his four starts this campaign. Wants to be held up off a strong pace to be seen at his best and should get that here.

Form: 11-6275

(12)

Francisco²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 8-11| J: Charles Bishop| T: A W Carroll| OR: 80| BF| D

25/1

Won twice in 2015 but inconsistent and couldn't get in the winner's enclosure in 2016. Shaped encouragingly at Sandown on return though and on a very fair mark; could run well on return to 7f for the first time since his maiden win.

Form: 08529-2

(6)

Mullionheir³⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 8-10| J: Kieren Fox| T: J R Best| OR: 79| CD

8/1

Won five times in 2015 but very disappointing last season and returned in similar form this time around. 12lb below his last winning mark which came in this race two years ago so no doubt he's on a fair mark but hard to recommend in current form.

Form: 00-4099

Non-Runners

(14)

Realize²⁸

Weight: 9-9| Age: 7

T: D M Simcock J: S De Sousa

(7)

Sun Lover⁴³

Weight: 9-6| Age: 4

T: R Varian J: Andrea Atzeni

(15)

Hyde Park³⁷

Weight: 9-6| Age: 3

T: J & T Gosden J: Fran Berry

(4)

Scottish Glen²⁴

Weight: 9-4| Age: 11

T: P R Chamings J: H Crouch

(2)

Mamillius³⁶

Weight: 9-2| Age: 4

T: George Baker J: F Sweeney

(8)

Mr Bossy Boots¹⁵

Weight: 9-0| Age: 6

T: Mrs A J Perrett J: S J Drowne

Forecasts

Sun Lover (3/1), Noble Peace (4/1), Mountain Rescue (4/1), Squats (7/1), Realize (7/1), Graphite Storm (8/1), Ionization (8/1), Theodorico (8/1), Mullionheir (8/1), Hyde Park (8/1), Sir Roderic (10/1), Fighting Temeraire (10/1), Scottish Glen (16/1), Mamillius (20/1), Francisco (25/1), Mr Bossy Boots (33/1)

Sun Lover is a progressive sort but with his yard a little out of form at present, it may be worth siding with top-weight SQUATS. William Haggas's runner has been given a real chance by the handicapper and it would be no surprise to see him bounce back here. Hyde Park should enjoy the drop in class and may prove best of the rest.