14:40 Chepstow

Tuesday 27 December 2016

All12:2012:5013:2514:0014:4015:1515:50

Coral Welsh Grand National (Grade 3 Handicap Chase)

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 1  |   3m 5f 110y  |   Soft (Good to Soft in places)  |   20 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 14:40  |   Winning time: 7m 52.7s
The word Sky in blue and Bet in white with a red background.
The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
Horse silk
Native Riverp31(ex 4)
Age: 6|  Weight: 11-12| J: R Johnson| T: C L Tizzard| OR:  155
11/4
Top weight and a consistent performer from a stable with some of the best chasers around, though their record is not good over these fences. Won the Hennessy last month on second start of the season and the front two were five lengths clear of the third. Runs off the same mark again and there's no foreseeable reason he won't be at the business end.
2
Horse silk
Bishops Road31
Age: 8|  Weight: 11-11| J: Paul Moloney| T: Kerry Lee| OR:  154
16/1
Out and out stayer who is back on a winning mark of 141 (has won off 3lb more). Distance not a problem but may want it softer as best performance came on bottomless ground at Haydock.
3
Horse silk
Viconte Du Noyer24
Age: 7|  Weight: 11-11| J: H Cobden(3)| T: C L Tizzard| OR:  154
20/1
Former Irish-trained chaser who has been stepped up in trip in two runs for current yard. Won a Grade 3 at Cheltenham but then disappointed in the Becher Chase over the Grand National fences which may not have suited. A possible outsider in a first test of this marathon trip.
4
Horse silk
Houblon Des Obeauxp264
Age: 9|  Weight: 11-10| J: Charlie Deutsch(3)| T: Miss V Williams| OR:  153
33/1
Pulled-up when last seen but not without a hope if returning to his very best form and his trainer has won this twice. May want softer ground that what he's likely to encounter today.
5
Horse silk
Theatre Guideb,t18(ex 4)
Age: 9|  Weight: 11-10| J: P J Brennan| T: C L Tizzard| OR:  149
16/1
Took a Class 1 at Cheltenham earlier this month after being 17 lengths behind Native River in the Hennessy for which he is 4lb worse off. Shouldn't logically beat his Newbury conqueror here.
6
Horse silk
Vicenteh31
Age: 7|  Weight: 11-8| J: Sam Twiston-Davies| T: P F Nicholls| OR:  151
12/1
Won the Scottish Grand National under 11st 3lbs last April and looked a particularly good young stayer in doing so. Was behind when fell in the Hennessy but represents a top trainer/jockey combination and could easily figure.
7
Horse silk
Harry Topperp689
Age: 9|  Weight: 11-7| J: David Bass| T: K Bailey & M Nicholls| OR:  150
40/1
Has been off the track for two years and his best for has been on heavy ground so not an obvious candidate.
8
Horse silk
Katkeauh,t31
Age: 9|  Weight: 11-6| J: T Scudamore| T: D Pipe| OR:  149
33/1
His jumping can let him down at times and considering he's never won over this far, probably wants softer ground and has failed to win off a mark this high, others have strong claims.
9
Horse silk
Carole's Destrier31
Age: 8|  Weight: 11-5| J: L P Aspell| T: N P Mulholland| OR:  148
6/1
Arguably unlucky to finish second to Native River in the Hennessey last time out, finishing fastest of all and has leading claims on that form. Versatile ground wise and must have a good chance of gaining compensation for his Hennessy defeat.
10
Horse silk
Onenightinviennap50
Age: 7|  Weight: 11-3| J: T J O'Brien| T: P Hobbs & J White| OR:  146
13/2
On a winning mark but all but two of his races have been in small fields and this affair may not suit him. Ground should be ideal and still likely to have plenty of improvement to come.
11
Horse silk
Milansbar24
Age: 9|  Weight: 11-2| J: M D Grant| T: N B King| OR:  145
16/1
Proven at the distance but winning mark below this and no obvious improvement expected.
12
Horse silk
Unioniste45
Age: 8|  Weight: 11-2| J: Nick Scholfield| T: P F Nicholls| OR:  145
12/1
Never successful when stepped up to this class and might be at a shorter price than warranted due to stable.
13
Horse silk
Baie Des Ilesp130
Age: 5|  Weight: 11-0| J: Ms K Walsh| T: R O'Sullivan| OR:  141
25/1
Has been stepping up in trip but mark of 143 far too high on all known evidence.
14
Horse silk
Beg To Differp124
Age: 6|  Weight: 10-13| J: Killian Moore(3)| T: J & A O'Neill| OR:  142
33/1
Wears cheekpieces for the first time but mark surely too high and ground unlikely to be soft enough.
15
Horse silk
Mountainousp24
Age: 11|  Weight: 10-13| J: G Sheehan| T: Kerry Lee| OR:  140
25/1
An out-and-out stayer for whom the ground may not be testing enough.
16
Horse silk
Firebird Flyer38
Age: 9|  Weight: 10-12| J: Adam Wedge| T: Evan Williams| OR:  141
10/1
One of the improvers at the distance as evidenced by his victory over Milansbar at Uttoxeter. Would appreciate some rain but trainer and jockey have a poor record over fences here.
17
Horse silk
Royale Knightp23
Age: 10|  Weight: 10-11| J: Brendan Powell| T: Dr R D P Newland| OR:  140
33/1
Genuine horse who usually gives his running but holds no secrets from the handicapper and hard to fancy for this kind of affair.
18
Horse silk
Goulanesb,t1018
Age: 10|  Weight: 10-10| J: Wayne Hutchinson| T: N P Mulholland| OR:  147
33/1
Would be a remarkable training feat to get this one to win after three and a half years off the track and stable look to have stronger claims with their other runner in the race.
19
Horse silk
Raz De Maree30
Age: 11|  Weight: 10-10| J: G N Fox(3)| T: G P Cromwell| OR:  136
33/1
Irish trained veteran who came in a distant eighth in the 2014 Grand National and it is hard to see him doing any better here.
20
Horse silk
Emperor's Choice23
Age: 9|  Weight: 10-10| J: Jamie Bargary(3)| T: Miss V Williams| OR:  139
33/1
Atthractive trainer/jockey combination but was pulled-up in this last year and appears to be a genuine mudlark.

Forecasts

Native River (11/4), Carole's Destrier (6/1), Onenightinvienna (13/2), Firebird Flyer (10/1), Vicente (12/1), Unioniste (12/1), Theatre Guide (16/1), Bishops Road (16/1), Milansbar (16/1), Viconte Du Noyer (20/1), Baie Des Iles (25/1), Mountainous (25/1), Raz De Maree (33/1), Houblon Des Obeaux (33/1), Beg To Differ (33/1), Royale Knight (33/1), Emperor's Choice (33/1), Goulanes (33/1), Katkeau (33/1), Harry Topper (40/1)

Verdict

CAROLE'S DESTRIER and the younger Native River may very well fight out the finish again, just as they did in the Hennessy, but with the former reversing the placings. Cheltenham winner Theatre Guide and the well handicapped Onenightinvienna are two other improvers who can follow them home. 1. Carole's Destrier 2. Native River 3. Theatre Guide

Prize Money

1st: £85,425.002nd: £32,055.003rd: £16,050.004th: £7,995.005th: £4,020.006th: £2,010.00

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