16:40 Kempton
Tuesday 20 December 2016
All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:4017:1017:40
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- 2YO only | Class 6 | 6f | Standard | 12 Runners | Polytrack | Weighed In
- Off time: 16:41 | Winning time: 1m 12.08s
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
On a hat-trick following successes at Lingfield (60) and most latterly at Southwell (66). Three-pounds higher here (69) and likely to take all of the beating off the front end.
A reducing mark of 66 gives her every chance of putting her best foot forward (successful over seven furlongs off 74 in August). Has shaped as if a drop back to six furlongs could suit and interesting in blinkers.
Not shown a great deal in two starts in handicaps, including when last of 12 most recently at Lingfield in a race where Texas Katie was fifth. Headgear tried in hope of a step forward.
75,000 Guineas yearling, £40,000 two-year-old. Nearest at the finish over shorter trip at Lingfield on latest run. Step back up to six furlongs for nursery debut seems a logical move.
Raised three pounds to a mark of 63 following a solid second placed effort to a subsequent winner (Dazacam) on nursery debut over five furlongs at Wolverhampton late last month. Much respected.
Raced on Tapeta in nursery company most recently. Had the misfortune to meet the progressive Dazacam on both occasions, but on Wolverhampton showing is most likely held by Debonaire David. Up in trip today.
Ran well from a wide draw here over seven furlongs on her penultimate start. The form of which suggests shes worth dropping back in trip. No surprise to see her go well in a tight little race.
Off since late July, and poorly drawn. First try at this trip on both her All-Weather and Nursery debut.
Three runs in maidens (twice here) during November, and caught the eye as a likely improver on most recent start when seventh of 12 to Pavillion. Making nursery debut from a mark of 60, the one to watch in the market for clues.
Better drawn today than when caught out wide here two starts back. Shaped with distinct promise thereafter when second in a Maiden Auction Stakes at Chelmsford, but raised five pounds for that run to a mark of 60.
Three career starts, the most recent of which was when well held by Gracious Tom in a seller at Lingfield early this month. Little reason to expect her to reverse placings with the progressive winner.
Three figure odds in each of her three starts in Maidens. Finished last in two of those races, and whilst this represents a much more realistic assignment, she's hard to enthuse about off a 71 day absence from an Official Rating of 45.
Forecasts
Gracious Tom (5/2), Debonaire David (4/1), Texas Katie (4/1), Dream Reversion (7/1), Snuggy (9/1), Lord Cooper (10/1), Chough (14/1), Fair Selene (16/1), Zaatar (25/1), Sliceoflife (25/1), Hollywood Style (50/1), Miriam Violet (66/1)
The hat-trick seeking Gracious Tom forms the obvious starting point, and is again likely to race prominently on his final start in this grade for a while. However, this race is a shade more competitive than the races he won at both Lingfield and Southwell. Texas Katie appeals dropping back in trip with her August success off an eight-pound higher mark in mind, but DEBONAIRE DAVID gets the tentative vote going the other way (stepping up from five furlongs) and raised just three pounds for an excellent second placed effort behind the progressive Dazacam on Nursery debut at Wolverhampton last month.
1. Debonaire David
2. Texas Katie
3. Gracious Tom
Prize Money
1st: £2,264.002nd: £674.003rd: £337.004th: £168.00
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