Emaraaty Ana looks a good bet on Friday
Emaraaty Ana looks a good bet on Friday

Value Bet Ben Linfoot's free racing tips for Newmarket June 5 2020


Ben Linfoot's Value Bet returns for the first time since racing has resumed with the Coronation Cup heading a stellar card at Newmarket on Friday.

Recommended Bets, Newmarket June 5


1pt win Staxton in 1.50 Newmarket at 20/1

1pt win Emaraaty Ana in 2.25 Newmarket at 10/1

1pt win Oh This Is Us in 3.00 Newmarket at 16/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record


Racing is back and Friday marks the return of the Group One, a lesser-spotted race last seen in Britain, on turf, on British Champions Day at Ascot almost eight months ago on October 19.

The Hurworth Bloodstock Coronation Cup will have a 2020 renewal in the record books but not at its usual home, Epsom, with Newmarket’s Rowley Mile course chosen as this year’s venue for the mile and a half contest for older horses.

And it's a very different test with the short run to the one and only right-handed turn, with the majority of the race run on the long home straight.

Aidan O’Brien won the last Group One in Britain, with Magical in the Champion Stakes, but if he’s to go back-to-back one of Anthony Van Dyck or Broome, separated in the Derby by half a length, will have to have improved.

That’s not beyond the realms of possibility, but gears are likely to be required here on a much easier track than Epsom, and that’s a real concern when it comes to Stradivarius, as well.

This is an interesting bit of placing from John Gosden, but it’s likely to be due to circumstance and the wish to get a prep run into him ahead of the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot.

With that in mind this race should do the job just nicely, but I’d be surprised if he had the pace to win this especially against a top-notch horse like Ghaiyyath, who has plenty of pace.

Rated 126 thanks to a bloodless win in Germany last September, he put his Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe flop behind him with a win at Meydan in February and he’s easily forgiven his Paris run given he did far too much too soon.

On Friday he has loads in his favour, as he goes well fresh, he’s racing against rivals that don’t usually lead and the good to firm ground is perfect for him, as well.

He’s going to be incredibly hard to peg back and general odds of 6/4 look very fair – I’m certainly not wanting to take him on.

On a card that looks likely to feature plenty of short-priced favourites Ghaiyyath might well be the most solid, but others seem more vulnerable and I’m keen to have a go against Brando in the Betway Abernant Stakes at 2.25.

He has been a fine servant to Kevin Ryan but he is eight now and he was beaten in this race last year, while he needed a couple of runs last season before he was at his best.

There’s not a lot between the rest of them, but Brando’s stablemate EMARAATY ANA has more upside than most and he’s worth backing at 10/1 (Coral, 9/1 General).

Ryan paid for trying to stretch his stamina to a mile in the Guineas last year, but he showed signs of a revival once dropped back to sprinting trips and he got his head back in front over six furlongs at Salisbury in September.

Rated 112 after his Gimcrack win as a two-year-old, a race in which he beat horses of the calibre of Shine So Bright and Space Traveller, this horse has always had a good deal of pace and ability and he remains unexposed after just five career starts at the trip.

Ryan reported this week that he’s wintered really well, so much so that a tilt at the Diamond Jubilee is on the cards, and, considering the array of riches he has in the sprinting department, it could pay to sit up and take notice of such an intention.

Earlier on Swindler has obvious claims in the Betway Handicap (1.50) over six furlongs and while he has got plenty in his favour, the one nagging doubt is that he usually comes from off the pace and he might just be more suited to Ascot than the Rowley Mile.

He takes a fair chunk out of the market, though, so I want to take him on and Summerghand, Open Wide and Pass The Vino were all considered against him.

However, I can’t resist the 20/1 (General) about Tim Easterby’s STAXTON.

He’s the outsider of the field on account of a poor end to last season, but those runs came at the end of a long and busy campaign and he’s consequently dropped to the lowest mark of his career.

Rated 93 on Friday, he’s won off 95 and 99 before, while he’s been placed off marks of 100 or higher on three occasions.

He goes well fresh, has won on the Newmarket July Course and looks likely to be in the front rank from the off under David Allan.

In the hope that the long break has done him good, he’s worth a small bet at big odds.

Finally, OH THIS IS US looks overpriced at 16/1 (General) in the Listed Betway Paradise Stakes at 3.00.

Sangarius is the hot favourite here, but he needed his first run last season and improved markedly on his second start, which was also on soft ground over 10 furlongs.

This mile contest on fast ground could be a bit sharp for him and it’s mystifying to see Oh This Is Us so far down the list in the betting.

He’s achieved a higher level of form than any horse in this race, including Sangarius, and has done so many times, too, while he has shown no signs of decline now he has hit the age of seven.

Another horse that goes really well fresh - he’s won off the back of a 100-plus day break on a couple of occasions - a mile on fast ground is ideal for him and a decent pace for him to chase looks guaranteed with Vale Of Kent and Marie’s Diamond in the field.

With a few of those more prominent in the betting being extremely lightly-raced, there’s a chance Oh This Is Us’ plethora of experience could be a defining factor, also.

16s is fair.

Posted at 1700 BST on 04/06/20


Click here for the full Value Bet record


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