Saturday January 12 Bets of the Day: Free tips racing, football, Australian Open tennis and NFL
The Sporting Life team join together to compile their best bets across racing, football, tennis and NFL for the weekend ahead.
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RACING
David Ord
Totally Magic - 1630 Newcastle
It’s been a long time between drinks for Totally Magic but she can finally regain the winning thread in the Follow Top Tipster Templegate At Sunracing Handicap at Newcastle. She’s readily forgiven a poor run at Southwell last time, seemingly ill-at-ease on the surface, and had shaped well on two previous outings here.
Her last win can over course and distance in October 2016 but she’s now 12 pounds lower than that mark and Barry McHugh replaces a three-pound claimer here. Throw in first-time blinkers and she’s worth chancing in a weak heat. If there is to be another day for her – this looks to be it.
Ben Linfoot
Lungarno Palace – 1535 Warwick
Lungarno Palace looks a good bet in the Pertemps qualifier at Warwick on Saturday. Fergal O’Brien’s horse steps up in trip to three miles for the first time, but the way he’s run on over two-and-a-half miles at Cheltenham on his last couple of starts gives plenty of hope the trip will suit.
He gets a 16lb pull at the weights with likely favourite First Assignment on the first of those Cheltenham runs, for just a five-length defeat, yet is just about double the price of the Ian Williams horse.
Oli Bell
Won four of his five chases to date - only defeat came at the hooves of Santini - and looks a good bet to get the better of the latter's stablemate Ok Corral and land this for trainer Kim Bailey.
Simon Holt
The six-year-old has been a bit frustrating in the past, often pulling too hard in the early stages, but he was given a peach of a ride by Lorcan Williams when cruising effortlessly through from the back of the field at Ascot last time and he appears to have serious ability.
Darling Maltaix has gone up 12lb for that defeat of the re-opposing Milrow but Williams can take off 5lb here as opposed to 3lb on that occasion in a race restricted to conditional jockeys.
This weaker-than-average renewal could well be run to suit the selection, who seems ground versatile, with the likes of And The New and Erick Le Rouge likely to set a decent pace. A steady run through the pack, as at Ascot, is anticipated.
FOOTBALL
Paul Higham
These two hapless rearguards have shipped 63 goals in 42 games between them in the Premier League. Arsenal have let in 11 in their last four away games, while West Ham have conceded in their last eight games at the London Stadium
George Pitts
Backing the hosts to score twice was initially the best bet before seeing the price available on Scottish forward Callum Paterson to score anytime. The 24-year-old is four games without a goal but the Bluebirds man averages nearly two shots per game and can return to scoring form against a relegation rival.
He is likely to lead the line and is Cardiff's danger man in opposition boxes, so nearly 3/1 looks a tad overpriced and too good to turn down.
Tom Carduff
Scunthorpe to beat Walsall at 23/10
After months of poor performances and results, Scunthorpe look like a team on the up at the moment with Stuart McCall's side stringing together three consecutive wins.
The fact that their last two wins came against play-off hopefuls Peterborough and Coventry makes it look even more impressive, and they are well-equipped to grab another victory here.
They take on a Walsall side who are out of form at the moment. They are winless in their last six and have won just one of their last six games at home.
Everything points towards a team who are making their way back up the table, with the right man at the helm bringing in his own signings. At a price of 23/10, it is more than worth a small stake on a Scunthorpe win.
Premier League Vitals
Liverpool have earned 38 corners in their last five Premier League matches, including 10 or more in three of those. Jurgen Klopp’s side have racked up 132 corners this season, only bettered by Manchester City, and face a Brighton team who have conceded 16 corners in their last three, with 15 of those coming in two fixtures.
E. Elliott (DAL), T. Gurley (LAR) & E. Ebron (IND) all to score a touchdown at 11/2
Ezekiel Elliott has been a top rusher in the NFL this season and in the LA Rams he faces a defence that ranks bottom against the run, which should make for some joy for the Dallas Cowboys man.
On the other side, though, Todd Gurley was in MVP form before missing the last two games of the season with injury – but he’s had three weeks off now to recover and if back to his best can add to his tally of 21 scores this season. He’s equally as dangerous catching the ball as he is running it.
The Indianapolis Colts may be big underdogs at the Kansas City Chiefs, but Andrew Luck has throw 39 touchdowns this season, 15 of them to tight end Eric Ebron and with the Chiefs not being great in defence there should be plenty of opportunity for him to add another at Arrowhead Stadium.
TENNIS
Tim Clement
Novak Djokovic looks an irresistible bet at odds-against to win the 2019 Australian Open as he looks to claim an unprecedented seventh title Down Under.
Motivation has clearly been the issue for Djokovic, who won all of his four titles last year at Masters or grand slam level and with Rodger Federer in the field. That means we can dismiss his recent semi-final Qatar Open loss to Roberto Bautista-Agut as little more than a lack of focus and he's a strong fancy.
Temperatures are set to rise up to 37c by Tuesday and this will suit Djokovic’s superior conditioning compared to Federer's.
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